The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[TheFlatLannister]

23 hours ago, TheFlatLannister said:

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-7

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
557	3049	110297	2.8%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

225

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-7

(1.326x) of Apes $6.63M

(2.074x) of Fall Guy $4.77M

(1.186x) of Furiosa $4.15M
Comps AVG: $5.18M 

 

Review bump hasn't really move the needle much. Pace is still bleh this close to release. Played with comps a bit, This should do $5M+

FLORIDA 

 

TWISTERS

 

Thursday 

 

T-6

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
557	3228	110297	2.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

179

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

COMPS

T-6

(1.206x) of Apes $6.03M

(2.135x) of Fall Guy $4.91M

(1.120x) of Furiosa $4.20M
Comps AVG: $5.05M 

 

No noticeable bump from the Bogo Xfinity deal in Florida. Actually, pace is depressed compared to past two days. 

Edited July 12 by TheFlatLannister

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, VanillaSkies said:

Do we know how much “reach” Xfinity has? Like, in comparison to T-mobile, what kind of customer base? 

They have 30 million broadband customers. But not all customers use it. That is no different from customers using TMobile offers as well. 

[Cmasterclay]

I just don't see how the tracking numbers for Twisters are possible whatsoever. There's just zero sales evidence for it. I'd have to see a ton more data from smaller markets or something. At this point I question it even hits 50.

[excel1]

Twisters with the epic heartland walk ups incoming 

[emoviefan]

We still have next week on Twisters. It could still be a late bloomer. 50+ m is possible with late buys and walkups. Why would this be a movie people feel like they have to get tickets well in advance. At the same time the 60-80 talk of Shawn and BO Pro seems way unlikely at this point unless this is a mini Jurassic World in Walkups.

[titanic2187]

At this point I would say it is up to just hooked up female audience is for Daisy-Powell romance subplot for Twister.  

[keysersoze123]

22 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Longlegs MTC1

Previews Final - 70979/161276 1041293.08 +31885

Friday - 56447/304689 807706.88 2798 shows +19361

MTC2 Previews - 41860/121318 531299.28 1346 shows

 

 

Walkups were good but not as much as i expected. Still should be good for 3m+ previews. I am bumping down OW to late teens. 

 

FYI just for records

 

MTC1 Friday

Longlegs - 132709/362539 1849409.59 3323 shows

Fly me - 35224/202247 464080.59 1879 shows

 

Longlegs did add tons of shows today and did great with walkups while Fly me just did not click. I would have guessed 7m+ TF for longlegs but its probably under indexing here. Fly me may not hit 4m even with all the early BO including previews and early gross last weekend. 

[crazymoviekid]

On 7/10/2024 at 11:29 PM, crazymoviekid said:

Fly Me To The Moon:

 

Thursday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 7 Tickets

Theater 2: 14 Tickets 

 

The Fall Guy: $3.27M

Argylle: $3.25M

ABY: $.32M

MBFGW3: $.61M

Strays: $2.23M

NHF: $3.01M

TtP: $1.05M

 

Comps going up. Suspiciously up. Will go around $2M-$3M for now.

 

Friday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 12 Tickets

Theater 2: 2 Tickets 

 

The Fall Guy: $3.11M

Argylle: $2.58M

ABY: $.77M

MBFGW3: $.60M

Strays: $2.72M

NHF: $3.27M

TtP: $.94M

 

Weak day of sales. Will come back, but based on these comps, $3M.

Fly Me To The Moon:

 

Final Friday Comps:

 

Theater 1: 25 Tickets

Theater 2: 52 Tickets 

 

The Fall Guy: $3.97M

Argylle: $2.23M

ABY: $1.31M

MBFGW3: $1.22M

Strays: $3.51M

NHF: $1.65M

TtP: $2.20M

 

Most jumps in comps. Thought it would be bigger. Going for $3.5M-$4M.

[crazymoviekid]

On 7/10/2024 at 11:31 PM, crazymoviekid said:

Longlegs:

 

Thursday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 56 Tickets

Theater 2: 37 Tickets

 

Challengers: $4.20M

Civil War: $9.70M

FNAF: $3.35M

Talk to Me: $5.51M

Evil Dead Rise: $4.74M

TBP: $5.01M

The Northman: $6.20M

 

Comps are converging. Going for $3.5M-$4.5M.

 

Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 57 Tickets

Theater 2: 34 Tickets

 

MaXXXine: $5.54M

Challengers: $4.72M

Civil War: $26.68M

FNAF: $3.57M

Talk to Me: $16.79M

Evil Dead Rise: $10.50M

TBP: $8.45M

The Northman: $7.19M

 

Narrowing between $4.5M-$5.5M

 

The mini-breakout hype is real. 

Longlegs:

 

Final Friday Comps: 

 

Theater 1: 244 Tickets
Theater 2: 126 Tickets

 

Challengers: $6.42M
Civil War: $21.38M
FNAF: $6.83M
Talk to Me: $11.75M
Evil Dead Rise: $8.77M
TBP: $8.62M
The Northman: $13.08M

 

Not as high as I thought it could go, but still pretty strong. $7M-$8.5M

[keysersoze123]

On 7/11/2024 at 6:24 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1

Previews(T-14) - 225916/1288803 4121395.50 7915 shows +3688

Friday - 116677/1494156 2178011.80 8318 shows 

MTC2 Previews - 103232/579945 1561868.66 4378 shows

 

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-13) - 230503/1288803 4199319.05 7925 shows +4587

 

Good day as it hit final 2 week stretch. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

26 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-13) - 230503/1288803 4199319.05 7925 shows +4587

 

Good day as it hit final 2 week stretch. 

But this is more than 24h right. Or just posted late

[THUNDER BIRD]

47 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Deadpool & Wolverine MTC1 Previews(T-13) - 230503/1288803 4199319.05 7925 shows +4587

 

Good day as it hit final 2 week stretch. 

We're entering Highway to the Danger Zone, Strap in fellas.

[keysersoze123]

On 7/11/2024 at 1:30 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 10875/67005 230576.15 295 shows +3256

Previews(7-18) - 22471/557818 434216.85 2758 shows +5951

Friday - 19942/775943 374401.94 3813 shows +6024

 

1 week to go. Around +5 days of presales. Let us see how final week goes. Early reviews should help with pace. 

Twisters MTC1

Early Shows(7/17) - 12667/68767 267703.19 304 shows +1792

Previews(T-6) - 26228/559818 503665.68 2763 shows +3757

Friday - 23870/779621 445408.74 3827 shows +3928  

 

Day and half of data. May be its amping up a bit but I want to see something more to be optimistic. 

 

[keysersoze123]

26 minutes ago, Menor the Destroyer said:

But this is more than 24h right. Or just posted late

bit here and there. But posted bit late. Definite sign of acceleration. 

[Porthos]

23 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-14 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	287	30109	37168	7059	18.99%

 

Total Showings Added Today	33
Total Seats Added Today	2752
Total Seats Sold Today	174

 

T-14 Comp

	%		Sold T-14	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.88		190	10399		0/351	32037/42436	24.51%		21117	33.43%		24.44m
L&T	107.79		195	6549		0/228	25051/31600	20.72%		16962	41.62%		31.26m
BP2	99.99		230	7060		2/294	29934/37024	19.07%		16800	42.02%		28.00m
AM3	148.08		150	4767		0/238	28027/32794	14.54%		10475	67.39%		25.91m
GOTG3	196.41		47	3594		0/203	25501/29095	12.35%		10750	65.67%		34.37m
Bats	172.72		164	4087		0/285	31380/35467	11.52%		11757	60.04%		37.31m
Dune 2	318.69		65	2215		0/171	22519/24734	8.96%		6001	117.63%		38.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     1648/13029  [12.65% sold]
Matinee:    457/4466  [10.23% | 6.47% of all tickets sold]
3D:             825/7745  [10.65% | 11.69% of all tickets sold]
PLF:        3365/11729  [28.69% | 47.67% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold     168 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold     171 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS
———

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.65x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-14 [40.20m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]   

 

Deadpool & Wolverine Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

T-13 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	287	29960	37168	7208	19.39%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

149

 

T-13 Comp

	%		Sold T-13	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
MoM	67.90		216	10615		0/351	31821/42436	25.01%		21117	34.13%		24.45m
L&T	105.78		265	6814		0/228	24786/31600	21.56%		16962	42.49%		30.68m
BP2	99.42		190	7250		2/296	29904/37154	19.51%		16800	42.90%		27.84m
AM3	147.40		123	4890		0/238	27904/32794	14.91%		10475	68.81%		25.80m
GOTG3	196.03		83	3677		0/203	25377/29054	12.66%		10750	67.05%		34.31m
Bats	170.04		152	4239		0/285	31225/35464	11.95%		11757	61.31%		36.73m
Ava 2	244.59		148	2947		0/145	18537/21484	13.72%		8986	80.21%		41.58m
Dune 2	308.03		125	2340		0/174	22847/25187	9.29%		6001	120.11%		36.96m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Deadpool & Wolverine's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      1676/13029  [12.86% sold]
Matinee:     470/4466  [10.52% | 6.52% of all tickets sold]
3D:              844/7745  [10.90% | 11.71% of all tickets sold]
PLF:         3399/11729  [28.98% | 47.16% of all tickets sold]
———    
DP3 sold     141 seats today at same sources of tracking I had for Captain Marvel
DP3 sold     143 seats today at the same sources of tracking I had for TROS
———    

***EXTREMELY AND EXCEEDINGLY UNOFFICIAL COMP***    
DP3 = 1.62995x Captain Marvel at the same sources of tracking at T-13 [39.71m] [ATP adj'ed by 118%]   

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/12/2024 at 8:18 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Twisters	T-6	Jax	5	57	19	162	9,841	1.65%
		Phx	7	36	15	142	6,843	2.08%
		Ral	8	45	17	152	6,354	2.39%
	Total		20	138	51	456	23,038	1.98%
Twisters (EA)	T-5	Jax	5	11	22	249	2,391	10.41%
		Phx	1	2	2	23	618	3.72%
		Ral	2	2	2	49	412	11.89%
	Total		8	15	26	321	3,421	9.38%

 

 

Twisters (Total) T-6 adjusted comps

 - Fall Guy (Total) - 3.12x (9.83m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .883x (7.96m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Total) - 1.299x (8.58m)

 - No Time to Die (Total) - missed

 - Ghostbusters FE - 1.567x (6.89m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .649x (5.71m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Total) - .183x (3.61m)

 - Furiosa - 2.176x (7.62m)

 - Bad Boys (Total) - 1.483x (8.71m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - 1.803x (8.49m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.87m

 

Pace chart:

 

Movie	3-day pace	Prev 3-day	Prev 3-day	Last Day
Twisters Total	31.47%	16.07%	-	11.00%
Fall Guy Total	31.05%	12.11%	19.76%	12.67%
Godzilla x Kong	33.74%	24.16%	-	13.26%
Kingdom of Apes Total	25.37%	15.72%	8.46%	11.36%
Ghostbusters: FE	24.94%	8.31%	18.41%	3.98%
M:I 7 Total	25.71%	14.27%	18.97%	8.61%
Top Gun 2 Total	22.31%	13.97%	18.94%	7.99%
Furiosa	40.55%	25.98%	-	19.00%
Bad Boys 4 Total	38.99%	14.59%	-	22.72%
Bullet Train Total	41.31%	27.21%	-	20.73%

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Twisters	T-5	Jax	5	57	6	168	9,841	1.71%
		Phx	7	36	0	142	6,843	2.08%
		Ral	8	45	12	164	6,354	2.58%
	Total		20	138	18	474	23,038	2.06%
Twisters (EA)	T-4	Jax	5	11	32	281	2,391	11.75%
		Phx	1	2	2	25	618	4.05%
		Ral	2	2	6	55	412	13.35%
	Total		8	15	40	361	3,421	10.55%

 

Twisters (Total) T-5 adjusted comps

 - Fall Guy (Total) - 3.09x (9.74m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .846x (7.63m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Total) - 1.191x (7.86m)

 - No Time to Die (Total) - missed

 - Ghostbusters FE - 1.486x (6.54m)

 - M:I 7 (Total) - .626x (5.51m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Total) - .183x (3.61m)

 - Furiosa - 2.072x (7.25m)

 - Bad Boys (Total) - 1.483x (8.71m)

 - Bullet Train (Total) - 1.773x (8.35m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 6.73m

 

Twisters (Thu) T-5 adjusted comps

 - Fall Guy (Thu) - 2.91x (6.83m)

 - Godzilla x Kong - .48x (4.33m)

 - Kingdom of Apes (Thu) - 1.142x (5.71m)

 - No Time to Die (Thu) - missed

 - Ghostbusters FE - .843x (3.71m)

 - M:I 7 (Thu) - .579x (3.7m)

 - Top Gun 2 (Thu) - .153x (2.31m)

 - Furiosa - 1.176x (4.12m)

 - Bad Boys (Thu) - .924x (5.36m)

 - Bullet Train (Thu) - 1.415x (4.85m)

 

Size adjusted comps - 4.66m

[AniNate]

On 7/7/2024 at 11:06 PM, AniNate said:

 

TWISTERS

 

NORTH CANTON

 

Wednesday EA - 64
Thursday - 59
Friday - 111
Saturday - 110
Sunday - 81

 

VALLEY VIEW

 

Wednesday EA - 34
Thursday - 49
Friday - 40
Saturday - 33
Sunday - 12
 

 

 

TWISTERS

 

NORTH CANTON

 

Wednesday EA - 127
Thursday - 90
Friday - 149
Saturday - 178
Sunday - 119

 

VALLEY VIEW

 

Wednesday EA - 90
Thursday - 68
Friday - 82
Saturday - 50
Sunday - 18

 

EA sales about doubled at both theaters which might be a sign of that "walkup" crowd starting to make plans. Valley View interest beginning to pick up in general.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 7/12/2024 at 9:20 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Deadpool Wolverine	T-13	Jax	5	125	30	2,285	17,504	13.23%
		Phx	6	148	69	2,141	21,941	9.76%
		Ral	8	145	58	1,958	16,253	12.05%
	Total		19	418	157	6,414	55,698	11.52%

 

Deadpool Wolverine T-13 adjusted comps

 - Dr Strange 2 - .634x (23.37m)

 - Thor 4 - missed

 - Batman (Total) - missed

 - Ant-Man 3 - missed

 - No Way Home - .368x (19.49m)

 - Black Panther 2 - 1.02x (29.24m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Deadpool Wolverine	T-12	Jax	5	136	77	2,361	18,957	12.45%
		Phx	6	148	97	2,238	21,941	10.20%
		Ral	8	145	49	2,007	16,253	12.35%
	Total		19	429	223	6,606	57,151	11.56%

 

Deadpool Wolverine T-12 adjusted comps

 - Dr Strange 2 - .644x (23.75m)

 - Thor 4 - missed

 - Batman (Total) - missed

 - Ant-Man 3 - 1.695x (29.66m)

 - No Way Home - .367x (19.47m)

 - Black Panther 2 - missed

 

*I had a typo in yesterday's sales for Jacksonville that inflated it by 30 sales.  Post and quoted post have been updated.  

[katnisscinnaplex]

21 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-34	Jax	5	33	32	32	5,520	0.58%
		Phx	6	27	36	36	5,437	0.66%
		Ral	6	32	29	29	4,694	0.62%
	Total		17	92	97	97	15,651	0.62%

 

Day 1 comps

 - Ghostbusters: FE - .471x (2.07m)

 - Halloween Ends - .584x (3.23m)

 - Quite Place 3 - .588x (4m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-33	Jax	5	33	3	35	5,520	0.63%
		Phx	6	27	9	45	5,437	0.83%
		Ral	7	34	6	35	4,876	0.72%
	Total		18	94	18	115	15,833	0.73%

 

Day 2 comps

 - Ghostbusters: FE - .5x (2.2m)

 - Halloween Ends - missed

 - Quite Place 3 - .608x (4.14m)

 - Scream VI - .53x (3.2m)

[AniNate]

Did some rough calculating of the pace of Wed-Fri ticket sales for Twisters at each theater for all my incremental updates. Numbers are average minutes between each sale. 

 

06/19	NORTH CANTON	352
	VALLEY VIEW	235
06/28	NORTH CANTON	225
	VALLEY VIEW	675
07/07	NORTH CANTON	121
	VALLEY VIEW	239
07/13	NORTH CANTON	59
	VALLEY VIEW	45

 

 

Edited July 13 by AniNate