The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[abracadabra1998]

4 minutes ago, AniNate said:

Mario maybe if you can, just to have another VG movie reference. 

 

Honestly though argylle seems close enough

 

Yeah probably going with Argylle then going with Expend4bles on Thursday, feel like apt comparisons

[Caption Action 3]

Amazing sales for open caption screenings of Deadpool & Wolverine. Tracked sales as best as we could from Thursday to Sunday.  Kept adding theaters to tracking spreadsheet - now 320 theaters. Final results are the best we have seen since Barbenheimer. This is the lowest percentage of zero solds we have ever seen.

 

Deadpool and Wolverine – Nationwide OC
# of Tickets/# of Markets	9108	263	34.63
# of tickets/#of theaters	9108	320	28.46
#of tickets/#of screen times	9108	394	23.12
# of Zero solds/# of screen times	24	394	0.06

[emoviefan]

19 minutes ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minnesota Previews:

 

Alien: Romulus (T-18):

Day: T-18	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 23 theaters	103	61	326	17314	1.88

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		257	39	78.83
MTC1:		246	50	75.46
Other chains:		80	11	24.54

 

Comps:

0.79x Twisters (w/ EA): $8.43 Million

1.66x Quiet Place Day One: $11.31 Million

0.95x Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (w/ EA): $6.25 Million

1.42x Fall Guy (w/ EA): $4.48 Million

1.34x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.03 Million (17 theaters)

3.16x Exorcist Believer: $9.02 Million (17 theaters)

 

With this being a horror franchise don't think expecting Apes type of walk-ups is that crazy, expecting for at least $6 Million previews for now

 Looking good. Assuming RR's spouse does not knock him out of the number one spot in two weeks  a R rated Disney movie  might be number one until Beetlejuice opens on Sept 6. 

[Flip]

On 7/22/2024 at 11:26 AM, Flip said:

Alien: Romulus (T-25)

 

6 showtimes/ 28 tix sold

 

.27x AQP D1 (T-25) [1.84m]

Alien: Romulus (T-18) 7 days of sales 

 

6 showtimes/44 tix sold (+18)

 

.32x AQP D1 (T-18) [2.18m]

 

good growth especially over the weekend 

[Flip]

23 hours ago, Flip said:

Trap Previews (T-5)

 

8 showtimes/192 tix sold (+9)

 

Missed AQP Day One (T-5) [.]

Missed The Watchers (T-5) [.]

.91x Longlegs (T-5) [2.73m]
 

Slowly starting to experience some capacity issues, besides that pace is slowing as well, let’s see how much review bump helps it

Trap Previews (T-4)

 

8 showtimes/211 tix sold (+19)

 

.75x AQP Day One (T-4) [5.1m]

4.22x The Watchers (T-4) [4.22m]

1.01x Longlegs (T-4) [3.03m]

 

Stronger day than Saturday. Tomorrow is the real important day to see how final ramp up goes. Expecting 30-35 tickets 

[Flip]

On 7/26/2024 at 10:53 PM, Flip said:

It Ends With Us Previews (T-13)

 

4 showtimes/ 52 tickets sold

 

For some reason it’s only in 1 theater (out of 3) currently. Aside from that the sales are good, but nothing crazy.

It Ends With Us Previews (T-11)

 

4 showtimes/64 tickets sold (+12)

 

.72x Trap Previews (T-11) [???]

.37x AQP D1 Previews (T-11) [2.52m]

 

Mainly comping with Trap since that will be handy for pace + I have it daily. I’m not tracking EA since I haven’t before, but at one showing there is 48 tickets sold.

[Flip]

Trap Friday (T-5)

 

10 showtimes/164 tix sold

 

.24x Inside Out 2 Friday (T-5) [12.13m]

 

inside out is not a good comp, but it’s the best one I have (until T-3 when Longlegs kicks in)

[Boxofficerules]

3 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

Trap needs good reviews, but if it gets good reviews it should be M. Night's highest opening since Glass for sure.

Trap isn’t being screened for critics so if it gets good reviews they may not kick in till the weekend.

[el sid]

New presale numbers in a few hours. 

 

Counted Trap on Friday (= 3 days ago) for Thursday and it had already 281 sold tickets (with shows in 5 theaters, so far no shows in the AMCs in NY and Texas). Best sales in the AMCs in California. 

 

Comps (all four movies counted on Monday of the release week for Thursday = 3 days left for Trap to overtake or increase the margin) Knock at the Cabin (1.5M from previews) had 356 sold tickets,

The Invitation (775k) had 96,

M3gan (2.75M) had 247 

and Smile (2M) had 213 sold tickets. 

 

Interest is there. If this movie gets decent reviews, I'm also very optimistic that it reaches 20M+ OW. 

 

[el sid]

And the next possible overperformer: It Ends with Us, counted on Friday for Thursday, had 215 sold tickets (with shows in 5 theaters, again still no shows in the AMCs in NY and Texas). Best sales in the AMC Sunset Place in Miami (86), decent numbers everywhere. 13 days left. 

 

Comps (always counted for Thursday): Crawdads (2.3M from previews) finally (= on Thursday of the release week for Thursday which means that It Ends with Us has 13 days left to overtake) 262 sold tickets. 

No Hard Feelings (2.15M) also finally had 368 sold tickets. 

And Don't Worry Darling (3.1M from previews on Thursday and Monday) had on Monday of the release week (= 10 days left for It Ends with Us to come closer or overtake) 512 sold tickets. 

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-17	Jax	5	39	152	152	7,073	2.15%
		Phx	6	28	142	142	5,645	2.52%
		Ral	8	36	103	103	5,034	2.05%
	Total		19	103	397	397	17,752	2.24%
It Ends With Us	T-10	Jax	5	17	189	189	1,511	12.51%
		Phx	5	19	91	91	2,196	4.14%
		Ral	7	24	276	276	1,842	14.98%
	Total		17	60	556	556	5,549	10.02%
It Ends With Us (EA)	T-9	Jax	3	3	121	121	331	36.56%
		Phx	3	3	57	57	306	18.63%
		Ral	3	3	79	79	209	37.80%
	Total		9	9	257	257	846	30.38%
Trap	T-3	Jax	5	23	107	107	1,855	5.77%
		Phx	5	17	86	86	1,711	5.03%
		Ral	7	21	70	70	1,761	3.98%
	Total		17	61	263	263	5,327	4.94%

 

Trap T-3 adjusted comps

 - Crawdads (Total) - .543x (1.48m)

 - Death on the Nile - 1.594x (1.72m)

 - Old - 2.63x (4.18m)

 - Haunting in Venice (Total) - 1.32x (1.52m)

 

Old came on strong really late here.  We'll see if this one can follow suit.

 

It Ends With Us (Total) T-10 adjusted comps

 - Crawdads (Total) - 4.065x (9.57m)

 - John Wick 4 - .828x (6.04m)

 - Magic Mike 3 - 9.679x (8.13m)

 - Sound of Freedom (OD) - .698x (3.63m)

 - Downton Abbey (Total) - 1.904x (3.51m)

 - Elvis (Total) - 2.494x (7.51m)

 

Alien Romulus T-17 adjusted comps

 - Scream VI - .753x (4.55m)

 - Nope - 1.423x (9.32m)

Edited July 29 by katnisscinnaplex
Add Alien comps

[abracadabra1998]

3 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Alien Romulus	T-17	Jax	5	39	152	152	7,073	2.15%
		Phx	6	28	142	142	5,645	2.52%
		Ral	8	36	103	103	5,034	2.05%
	Total		19	103	397	397	17,752	2.24%
It Ends With Us	T-10	Jax	5	17	189	189	1,511	12.51%
		Phx	5	19	91	91	2,196	4.14%
		Ral	7	24	276	276	1,842	14.98%
	Total		17	60	556	556	5,549	10.02%
It Ends With Us (EA)	T-9	Jax	3	3	121	121	331	36.56%
		Phx	3	3	57	57	306	18.63%
		Ral	3	3	79	79	209	37.80%
	Total		9	9	257	257	846	30.38%
Trap	T-3	Jax	5	23	107	107	1,855	5.77%
		Phx	5	17	86	86	1,711	5.03%
		Ral	7	21	70	70	1,761	3.98%
	Total		17	61	263	263	5,327	4.94%

 

Trap T-3 adjusted comps

 - Crawdads (Total) - .543x (1.48m)

 - Death on the Nile - 1.594x (1.72m)

 - Old - 2.63x (4.18m)

 - Haunting in Venice (Total) - 1.32x (1.52m)

 

Old came on strong really late here.  We'll see if this one can follow suit.

 

It Ends With Us (Total) T-10 adjusted comps

 - Crawdads (Total) - 4.065x (9.57m)

 - John Wick 4 - .828x (6.04m)

 - Magic Mike 3 - 9.679x (8.13m)

 - Sound of Freedom (OD) - .698x (3.63m)

 - Downton Abbey (Total) - 1.904x (3.51m)

 - Elvis (Total) - 2.494x (7.51m)

 

Alien Romulus T-17 adjusted comps

 - Scream VI - .753x (4.55m)

 - Nope - 1.423x (9.32m)

Similar to pretty much everything I’m seeing on my end too, it ends with us ridiculously strong

[jeffthehat]

Indiana

Trap T-3

Sales	Seats	Shows
349	7713	74

TC = 25, pulled 10AM EST

Comps

2.84x Imaginary T-3 = $2.1m

0.27x Twisters T-3 = $2.3m

0.51x AQP D1 T-3 = $3.5m

 

AVG = $2.59m

Edited July 29 by jeffthehat

[Tinalera]

Alien Romulus 

Toronto and Montreal Canada

Thurs Aug 15 Fri Aug 16 (t-18)

 

Toronto	Thurs	4	17	128	9197	9325	0.0137
	Fri	4	23	70	5285	5355	0.0130
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Montreal	Thurs	2	9	90	2655	2745	0.0327
	Fri	1	4	46	1274	1320	0.0348

 

[ThomasNicole]

Any idea how Coraline is doing? It did 7M last year. This year it’ll screen a whole week and they remastered the whole thing in 3D. Can be quite big for a re-release

 

My shows are nearly sold out and people here doesn’t usually care about re-releases 

[ThomasNicole]

Alien reviews go up on August 14, same pattern of every Disney release this year. Reactions should come sooner tho, it’s screening this week for critics. It can boost an already impressive presales cycle. It does looks like 6-7M THU is possible. 
 

Trap seems to be doing very well too. I don’t even think the reviews matter, horror fans don’t care unless it’s absolutely destroyed, and this won’t be screened for critics at all so it shouldn’t have any significant effect during the OW.

[Boxofficerules]

17 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

 

Trap seems to be doing very well too. I don’t even think the reviews matter, horror fans don’t care unless it’s absolutely destroyed, and this won’t be screened for critics at all so it shouldn’t have any significant effect during the OW.

Trap doesn't look like a horror movie at all.

[ThomasNicole]

Just now, Boxofficerules said:

Trap doesn't look like a horror movie at all.

Fair, it’s being sold more as a thriller than horror (some Letterboxd reviews did say the tone of it it’s very weird and closer to comedy tho) 

 

Maybe that’s why there won’t be reviews, should be another love or hate Shyamalan movie.

[keysersoze123]

@katnisscinnaplex Can you take a look at showtimes for Trap. Seems unusual based on what I see in MTC1. Friday show count seem similar to previews so far. I am not seeing a breakout(will provide data later this evening) so far. It needs strong reviews to spur walkups. As I had said a while ago, this movie could have been more attractive with a bigger star headlining it (Say Damon for example).

[katnisscinnaplex]

18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

@katnisscinnaplex Can you take a look at showtimes for Trap. Seems unusual based on what I see in MTC1. Friday show count seem similar to previews so far. I am not seeing a breakout(will provide data later this evening) so far. It needs strong reviews to spur walkups. As I had said a while ago, this movie could have been more attractive with a bigger star headlining it (Say Damon for example).

Looks pretty standard to me.  

 

MTC1

Previews - 1,700 (518 TC)

Friday - 2,419 (520)

Saturday - 2,427 (516)

Sunday - 2,375 (517)

 

Overall

Previews - 6,583 (2,073)

Friday - 9,318 (1,931)

Saturday - 9,378 (1,922)

Sunday - 9,104 (1,909)

 

Should jump quite a bit throughout the week.  Looks like most places just adding a fourth show per day on their one reserved screen before expanding.