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Weekdays 01/08-01/11

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1 hour ago, MightyDargon said:

VERY cynical but it should be obvious TCP was gonna take a bad hit once Book of Clarence/American Fiction appeared.

I'm pretty sure TCP will take a bad hit even if these movies didn't appeared.

 

The legs for TCP has been terrible, so I'm not surprised many theaters want to just replace that movie.

Edited by Kon
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The weekdays hold for Wonka, Aquaman and Migration are far weaker than ATOW and PIB2 last year. ATOW and PIB2 managed to keep week-to-week drop around 50%-55% but this year the main holdovers are dropping in the range 70%+. 

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3 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

The weekdays hold for Wonka, Aquaman and Migration are far weaker than ATOW and PIB2 last year. ATOW and PIB2 managed to keep week-to-week drop around 50%-55% but this year the main holdovers are dropping in the range 70%+. 

People actually liked those other 2 movies instead of them being "XMas defaults"?

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Yeah, Avatar getting a 5+ multiplier off a $134M opening and Puss in Boots getting a 15 multiplier are the exceptions, not the norm. Anyone But You keeping pace with those two is pretty nuts. 

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yeah Wonka may still miss 200. The daily numbers are not great and if the weekend holds are not great like this weekend because of terrible weather and such it's really going to be hard. Def a hit but it still feels like it have done more. we may go damm near a year with no 200 mill  movie DOM unless Dune 2 surprises or GVK 2 or the Fall Guy really pops which Universal does seem to think is possible it seems. 

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I think the Wed/Thur drop for Warner movies  are normal because of the Mean Girls impact which taken all the Imax and PLF Screens of Wonka and Aquaman and for TCP, he lose 2/3 of theaters today

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So much unnecessary hand-wringing here...

 

TCP's $1443 PTA last weekend was the 4th worst among the top 14 (all in at least 750 locations, and some still expanding) so it was a prime candidate for theater loss. Also a film that's going to have an atypical distribution, stronger in major market and weaker in the lower half, so those bottom ~1500 locations already weren't adding much (as evidenced by only a -15% Thursday when those screen losses really began). Location count is just catching up to the underlying reality

 

Wonka made $17.6M for the full post-NY week, and even with a basic 2x that total from here it would get over $200M (albeit barely). December films don't really go below that 2x unless they get pushed out of theaters by low grosses and/or competition

 

Also, would be careful in focusing too much on daily drops week/week - there's just so many variables baked into the nuance of the calendar (and even weather) that makes such direct comparisons a little fuzzy

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1 hour ago, MightyDargon said:

People actually liked those other 2 movies instead of them being "XMas defaults"?

 

Bingo.

 

But but Avatar has no cultural relevancy! Just shows that good hook worths more than cultural relevancy without one. They released stunning previews and movie was good too so WOM created an event. 

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5 hours ago, emoviefan said:

yeah Wonka may still miss 200. The daily numbers are not great and if the weekend holds are not great like this weekend because of terrible weather and such it's really going to be hard. Def a hit but it still feels like it have done more. we may go damm near a year with no 200 mill  movie DOM unless Dune 2 surprises or GVK 2 or the Fall Guy really pops which Universal does seem to think is possible it seems. 

Yeah it’s absolutely dismal that it could be a year or so with no 200 DOM hit. Thats just not sustainable for tentpole filmmaking at all. Granted, I’m more and more confident in Fall Guy being a huge breakout if WOM is there (thank you Ryan Gosling), but that would still be close to a year between 200 grossers. 

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9 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I think Emma Stone is very much a draw in the right role, and I would like to see her finally get her Barbie tentpole (those lame Spideys ain’t it). She could propel the right one to huge numbers. 

 

Speaking of Spideys that was the only question she was asked by the reporters after her Golden Globe win. Was she coming back? :facepalm:

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