Weekend Numbers [June 28-30, 2024] | Estimates | 57.4M INSIDE OUT II | 53.0M AQP: DAY ONE | 11.0M HORIZON: AAS - CHAPTER 1

[Krissykins]

1 hour ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

Paramount seems to put out decent movies , if only they had responsible budgets they be in better shape.

A Quiet Place Day One budget was $67m, that seems reasonable. 
 

Hoping Day One wins the weekend! Seeing it in IMAX later. 

[Madhuvan]

IO2 620m finish seems the most likely scenario

Expecting 50m 3rd weekend. I was sure AQP will affect it due to adult demo.

Also DM4 will cut more legs.

50m 3rd weekend is nice overall 

[Migs20242]

3 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

IO2 620m finish seems the most likely scenario

Expecting 50m 3rd weekend. I was sure AQP will affect it due to adult demo.

Also DM4 will cut more legs.

50m 3rd weekend is nice overall 

predictions are very off again.

[eddyxx]

2 hours ago, cinema pal said:

16% from top critics for Horizon is brutal. Looks like some kind of vendetta)

Or maybe they just didn’t like it.

[Migs20242]

 

[Joyous Legion]

4 hours ago, emoviefan said:

This is going to be an awesome weekend thread.  No down the rabbit hole doom discussions about the Box Office  at least there should not be.

When horizon+bikeriders pull 10M combined we can have ourselves a nice refreshing 20 page discourse about the death of adult cinema 

[Joyous Legion]

Anyway bit weak Th for IO, hop it can come in more like 11.5 but probably looking at 55-60ish   
 

Looking very bad reception for AQP which I think will cost the weekend, but still have it mid 50s so very much a competitive race

Edited Friday at 08:58 AM by Joyous Legion

[Migs20242]

2 minutes ago, Joyous Legion said:

Anyway bit weak Th for IO, hop it can come in more like 11.5 but probably looking at 55-60ish   
 

Looking very bad reception for AQP which I think will cost the weekend, but still have it mid 50s so very much a competitive race

IO2 and AQP Day One could both overperform this weekend.

[toutvabien]

A weekend with a tight race for #1 between films that both can score $55-60m, WE ARE SO BACK??

[Joyous Legion]

 

With ~156M IO2 scores 6th biggest 2nd week, as expected. Only behind AEG outside of xmas period

 

Updated est of mid 90s for 3rd week, guessing it will just short of Av2 for 4th, but top 3 definitely in play. Should definitely surpass Barbie for biggest 3rd week outside xmas

 

May do 4ths in a bit if I get some time to kill

[cinema pal]

1 hour ago, eddyxx said:

Or maybe they just didn’t like it.

Of course some/most of them didn't, but the wording is important and some reviews are quite telling 

[LonePirate]

4 hours ago, Madhuvan said:

IO2 620m finish seems the most likely scenario

Expecting 50m 3rd weekend. I was sure AQP will affect it due to adult demo.

AQP won’t affect it because of the adult demo. AQP will affect it because it has taken a large number of the PLF screens that had been showing IO2. The loss of PLF screens is one of the biggest drivers of week to week drops nowadays.

[justnumbers]

YEAH I'M THINKING 

[ThomasNicole]

Horrible audience score on RT, i really think they messed up selling a full action monster movie 

 

Hopefully it won´t go below B on cinemascore, we saw with Apes that it doesn´t necessarily kill legs 

 

Still, shouldn´t hurt the OW... if it does 7M previews i think there´s a shot at 60M OW

Edited Friday at 12:40 PM by ThomasNicole

[cannastop]

So it looks like it might be a tight race for #1 at the weekend box office.

[ringedmortality]

I completely forgot Horizon was coming out this weekend 

[Firepower]

3 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:

I completely forgot Horizon was coming out this weekend 

[cinema pal]

27 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Horrible audience score on RT, i really think they messed up selling a full action monster movie 

There's some deja vu in the air, I think War of the worlds got similar reactions.  Personally I expected more actian and distruction mayhem from Spielberg and less hiding in cellars with Tim Robbins)

[filmlover]

Horror seems sort of immune to negative WOM (remember Hereditary having good-ish legs following a D+ CS grade?) so it's way too soon to assume what the reception for A Quiet Place will be when it's barely been out.

[ThomasNicole]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Horror seems sort of immune to negative WOM (remember Hereditary having good-ish legs following a D+ CS grade?) so it's way too soon to assume what the reception for A Quiet Place will be when it's barely been out.

Indeed, and the movie seems to be very downbeat and moody which usually brings CS down too

 

I think even with a B or B-, it can ended up not crumbling