JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[cannastop]

Corpse sez:

 

Quote

(C) 2016 Twentieth Century Fox Film Corporation All Rights Reserved

Weekend Estimates (07/09-10)/2016年07月09日-2016年07月10日
01 (---) ¥550,000,000 ($5.5 million), 0, ¥625,000,000 ($6.2 million), Independence Day: Resurgence (Fox) NEW
02 (01) ¥344,000,000 ($3.4 million), -19%, ¥1,225,000,000 ($12.1 million), Alice Through the Looking Glass (Disney) WK2
03 (02) ¥148,000,000 ($1.4 million), -18%, ¥950,000,000 ($9.1 million), Too Young To Die! (Toho/Asmik Ace) WK3
04 (03) ¥104,000,000 ($1.0 million), -06%, ¥7,550,000,000 ($70.0 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK12
05 (04) ¥74,000,000 ($735,000), -18%, ¥1,950,000,000 ($18.4 million), Evergreen Love (Shochiku) WK6
06 (06) ¥66,000,000 ($655,000), -16%, ¥175,000,000 ($1.7 million), Anpanman: Nanda and the Runda of the Toy Star (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK2
07 (05) ¥62,000,000 ($615,000), -26%, ¥800,000,000 ($7.6 million), Sadako vs Kayako (Kadokawa) WK4
08 (07) ¥37,000,000 ($370,000), -42%, ¥1,550,000,000 ($14.7 million), 64: Part 2 (Toho) WK5
09 (---) ¥35,000,000 ($350,000), 0, ¥35,000,000 ($350,000), Kingsglaive: Final Fantasy XV (Aniplex) NEW
10 (08) ¥30,000,000 ($295,000), -41%, ¥285,000,000 ($2.7 million), The Worst Bad Guys in Japan (Toei) WK3

Independence Day: Resurgence is off to a pretty successful start, and looks to have opened 5-10% higher than last year's Terminator: Genisys; another sequel to a popular old franchise, which opened over the same weekend (pre-Summer Vacation weekend). 

If it were to follow Terminator's run from this point forward, it'll finish around ¥3 billion ($30 million). However, Terminator was notable frontloaded for a July release, and while that may end up being the case with Independence Day as well (Sunday was pretty rough), it should be able to do better than that, even if just slightly. So depending on tomorrow's actuals, I think we're looking at a ~¥3.5 billion ($35 million) finish.

 

[James]

11 hours ago, cannastop said:

Corpse sez:

 

 

That is a great hold for Alice, right? Didn't the forecast predict it would drop 40%? Also, according to IMDB, The Conjuring 2 should have opened this weekend. Did that happen?

[cannastop]

5 hours ago, James said:

That is a great hold for Alice, right? Didn't the forecast predict it would drop 40%? Also, according to IMDB, The Conjuring 2 should have opened this weekend. Did that happen?

All holdovers did better than expected. However, a new Pokemon movie and Finding Dory movie will be released on July 16th, so they all will be weighed down by that.

 

Also, IMDB is not a reliable source for release dates. I can't find any indication that The Conjuring 2 was released in Japan this week, and I can't find any other confirmed release date for it.

Edited July 11, 2016 by cannastop

[cannastop]

Judging by this site:

 

http://www.kogyotsushin.com/archives/alltime/

 

Zootopia did a little bit better on its 12th weekend than Corpse estimates.

[ttr]

All holdovers did better than expected. However, a new Pokemon movie and Finding Dory movie will be released on July 16th, so they all will be weighed down by that.

 

Also, IMDB is not a reliable source for release dates. I can't find any indication that The Conjuring 2 was released in Japan this week, and I can't find any other confirmed release date for it.

Don't see them competing directly with AiW2, but then again I am not sure if Pokemon is not just for kids. Anyone?

[titanic2187]

can anyone give some clues on how finding dory would perform here?

[cannastop]

1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

can anyone give some clues on how finding dory would perform here?

I'm personally expecting an opening weekend of ¥1Billion and a final total of ¥10Billion.

[titanic2187]

13 minutes ago, cannastop said:

I'm personally expecting an opening weekend of ¥1Billion and a final total of ¥10Billion.

if so, this would be the 3rd pixar film to cross that milestone! 

[SchumacherFTW]

Isn't a billion a tough ask on opening weekend? 

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Isn't a billion a tough ask on opening weekend? 

Not for Pixar.

[cannastop]

Corpse sez:

 

Quote

(C) 2016 Twentieth Century Fox Film Corporation All Rights Reserved

Weekend Actuals (07/09-10)/2016年07月09日-2016年07月10日
01 (---) ¥570,225,600 ($5.67 million), 0, ¥631,925,700 ($6.3 million), Independence Day: Resurgence (Fox) NEW
02 (01) ¥338,551,400 ($3.37 million), -20%, ¥1,237,691,300 ($12.2 million), Alice Through the Looking Glass (Disney) WK2
03 (02) ¥139,097,800 ($1.38 million), -23%, ¥950,699,400 ($9.1 million), Too Young To Die! (Toho/Asmik Ace) WK3
04 (03) ¥99,199,300 ($987,000), -11%, ¥7,556,356,600 ($70.1 million), Zootopia (Disney) WK12
05 (04) ¥72,329,000 ($719,000), -20%, ¥1,969,523,900 ($18.6 million), Evergreen Love (Shochiku) WK6
06 (06) ¥71,163,900 ($708,000), -10%, ¥187,075,300 ($1.8 million), Anpanman: Nanda and the Runda of the Toy Star (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK2
07 (05) ¥61,915,700 ($616,000), -26%, ¥805,375,700 ($7.7 million), Sadako vs Kayako (Kadokawa) WK4
08 (07) ¥38,661,700 ($385,000), -40%, ¥1,564,637,000 ($14.8 million), 64: Part 2 (Toho) WK5
09 (---) ¥35,516,460 ($353,000), 0, ¥35,516,460 ($353,000), Kingsglaive: Final Fantasy XV (Aniplex) NEW
10 (08) ¥33,124,400 ($329,000), -38%, ¥300,040,400 ($2.8 million), The Worst Bad Guys in Japan (Toei) WK3

>Independence Day: Resurgence earns itself a debut atop the box office, and delivered a pretty impressive opening weekend in the process. The sequel to Roland Emmerich's original uber-blockbuster achieved the biggest debut for an imported film since Star Wars: The Force Awakens in the market, selling 381,521 admissions on a whopping 963 screens over the weekend frame, and 422,779 admissions since opening on Friday. 

The opening, while impressive, could have been higher given how successful the original film was in the market, but if you consider how poorly it's performed elsewhere throughout the world, then it's pretty strong. The likelihood of exceeding the ¥3 billion ($30 million) milestone is good, and as long as it survives the upcoming summer competition, then a total around ¥3.5 billion ($35 million) isn't too unreasonable. 

>Alice Through the Looking Glass almost mirrored its predecessor's second weekend drop; it's just too bad that it's earning just a third of its predecessor's gross. The fact that it's nearly tripled its opening weekend after two weeks is impressive and doesn't suggest the film will be frontloaded like it was, I believe, in every other market. 

Alice's second outing is still on target for around ¥3 billion ($30 million), but if it, too, can survive the upcoming summer competition, then maybe it can finish closer to ¥3.5 billion ($35 million) as well.

>Too Young To Die! continues to hold on very well and what was seen just a potential ¥1 billion earner, has become a likely ¥1.5 billion ($15 million) earner. While that isn't much, it's notable given its troubled production and poor release date (mid/late June). 

>Zootopia is still playing strongly in its twelfth week of release; and even though it finally dipped below the ¥100 million mark over the weekend, the vast majority of films can only dream of achieving a twelfth weekend this high. I believe it'll see a significant drop when Finding Dory andPokemon open this upcoming weekend, though it should finish its absolutely incredible run around ¥7.8 billion ($72 million) with just over 6 million admissions (for a multiplier of 17.5). 

>Kingsglaive: Final Fantasy XV achieved a Top 10 debut despite its limited release. The 3DCG animated film managed to sell 22,818 admissions on 44 screens to rank tenth over the weekend, but its high avg. ticket price allows it to achieve ninth place in terms of gross.

 

[Olive]

Next Monday is national holiday ,will see a boost for Dory.

[CelestialFairyIX]

The marketing campaign for the new Pokemon film, the 19th film in the 20 year old franchise has seen a clear dip compared to the previous campaign for the Hoopa and the Clash of Ages film.  The film, however, seems to be faring much better critically than the previous two X and Y films, but when in competition with Pixar's most beloved creations, Pokemon's opening weekend will suffer quite a large blow not only in attendance, but gross as well.  Last year's marketing campaign was by far the most extensive and expensive ones (even beating out the likes of the first Black and White film) and in the franchise's history and the Hoopa film failed to garner much box office success.  Budget cuts resulting in a muted marketing campaign, Dory opening during the same weekend, and the relative weakness of the ANIME brand of Pokemon (Pokemon Go has taken the world by storm and Sun/Moon are expected to outsell X/Y to become the No. 1 bestselling 3DS games of all time), one can expect Dory to open anywhere between the Y750 million - Y1 billion.  If the upper estimates reign true, then 2016 will garner a staggering FOUR Y1 billion openers, a record if there ever was one! 

 

On the other hand, the better than expected critical reception for the Pokemon film coupled with the hype surrounding the 7th generation of Pokemon and the 20th anniversary (the anime's 20th anniversary is actually next year), the 19th film in the franchise could potentially hang in much longer and finish with better legs than the average Pokemon film of this decade.  All in all, the consensus seems to be that Dory will open massive, Pokemon sub-par to normal, and the Japanese summer box office scene will begin to truly get fired up! 

[cannastop]

World of KJ, where Corpse posts, is down. You'll have to rely on looking here, or at the sources yourself.

Edited July 13, 2016 by cannastop

[Quigley]

1 hour ago, cannastop said:

World of KJ, where Corpse posts. is down. You'll have to rely on looking here, or at the sources yourself.

 

Is it a temporary issue or is it down forever?

[cannastop]

2 hours ago, Quigley said:

 

Is it a temporary issue or is it down forever?

I don't know.

[keysersoze123]

it should be back up. Some backend work needs to be done to restore the DB. But dont know how long the site will last. Karl wanted to give it up. Lecter(Arthur) and Loyal I thought were supposed to take it up but nothing confirmed.

[cannastop]

4 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

it should be back up. Some backend work needs to be done to restore the DB. But dont know how long the site will last. Karl wanted to give it up. Lecter(Arthur) and Loyal I thought were supposed to take it up but nothing confirmed.

Alright, it wasn't back at first, but now I see it's there. Nice work!

[Olive]

Based on pre-booking, Dory should open slightly under MU.

[Fullbuster]

6 minutes ago, Olive said:

Based on pre-booking, Dory should open slightly under MU.

 

Noooooo, I want $100m!!