JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[KP1025]

On 7/19/2019 at 9:10 AM, catlover said:

WWY full Friday: 208,996

TS4 first Friday: 146,259

WWY is 43% over TS4 for the full day

 

 

One Piece OD Friday: 234,881 (12.4% higher than Weathering With You OD)

Lion King OD Friday: 133,862 (8.5% lower than Toy Story 4 OD)

[Minnale101]

Fantastic day by one piece

[ThomasNicole]

Seems good for TLK... maybe can make $ 70-80M afterall

[cannastop]

8 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

Seems good for TLK... maybe can make $ 70-80M afterall

I anticipate a multiplier of about 10 from its Saturday+Sunday.

[catlover]

2 hours ago, KP1025 said:

One Piece OD Friday: 234,881 (12.4% higher than Weathering With You OD)

Lion King OD Friday: 133,862 (8.5% lower than Toy Story 4 OD)

Great for One Piece, and good for TLK. Also, am I seeing this right? TS4 only dropped 11.5% and WWY 9% from last week despite One Piece and TLK opening. We'll see how it goes tomorrow, but it's looking good for all four of them.

[cannastop]

Corpse

https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2243283#p2243283

08/09 (Friday)
¥515 million ($4.9 million), 0, ¥515 million ($4.9 million), One Piece Film Stampede (NEW)
¥275 million ($2.6 million), 0, ¥275 million ($2.6 million), The Lion King (NEW)
¥181 million ($1.7 million), -09%, ¥6.820 billion ($63.5 million), Weathering With You (Day 22)
¥105 million ($990,000), -11%, ¥7.316 billion ($67.9 million), Toy Story 4 (Day 29)
¥x73 million ($690,000), -64%, ¥1.148 billion ($10.9 million), Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Day 08)
¥x45 million ($425,000), -11%, ¥1.055 billion ($10.0 million), The Secret Life of Pets 2 (Day 15)
¥x38 million ($360,000), -71%, ¥667 million ($6.4 million), Dragon Quest: Your Story (Day 08)
¥x28 million ($265,000), -35%, ¥1.029 billion ($9.7 million), The Great War of Archimedes (Day 15) 
¥x26 million ($245,000), -11%, ¥2.192 billion ($20.3 million), Pokemon: Mewtwo Strikes Back - Evolution (Day 29)
¥x21 million ($200,000), 0, ¥x78 million ($735,000), Bring the Soul: The Movie (Day 3)
 

[cannastop]

Corpse

https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2243284#p2243284

Quote

One Piece Film Stampede, celebrating the 20th anniversary of the anime, delivered big on its first day, earning the biggest Friday this year. The last three films have all opened above ¥1 billion, but as the first Friday release in the franchise, will Stampede follow suit, or did it burn off enough fan demand to miss the mark?

The Lion King did pretty well, though the Friday start does suggest it won't be an uber-blockbuster in the market. That said, this is a film where its opening day (even opening weekend) could be misleading. Obon Festival is literally around the corner (Monday), and as one of the three major holiday periods in Japan, it can easily change a film's trajectory. 

Rather than a Weekend Forecast, I'll be tracking these films "hourly" over the weekend and post updates to see how they compare to other big openers over the past several years.

 

[cannastop]

2 minutes ago, cannastop said:

¥x73 million ($690,000), -64%, ¥1.148 billion ($10.9 million), Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (Day 08)

¥x38 million ($360,000), -71%, ¥667 million ($6.4 million), Dragon Quest: Your Story (Day 08)

yikes

[KP1025]

18 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Corpse

 

The Lion King did pretty well, though the Friday start does suggest it won't be an uber-blockbuster in the market.

 

Lion King's Friday actually seems good to me, being basically identical to Aladdin's and only slightly below Toy Story 4's. 

[cannastop]

1 minute ago, KP1025 said:

Lion King's Friday actually seems good to me, being basically identical to Aladdin's and only slightly below Toy Story 4's. 

I think more people might have been off from school this Friday though.

[cannastop]

Corpse

https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2243286#p2243286

One Piece Box-Office History (2000-)

Opening Weekends:
¥1.372 billion ($16.7 million) / 1,140,081 - One Piece Film Z (2012)
¥1.155 billion ($11.0 million) / 820,830 - One Piece Film Gold (2016)
¥1.038 billion ($11.9 million) / 819,738 - One Piece Film Strong World (2009)
¥326.6 million ($2.7 million) / 300,000 - One Piece: Dead End Adventure (2003)
¥286.4 million ($2.7 million) / 256,157 - One Piece: The Cursed Holy Sword (2004)
¥255.8 million ($2.0 million) / 237,000 - One Piece: Chopper's Kingdom on the Island of Strange Animals (2002)
¥175.0 million ($1.7 million) / 163,000 - One Piece: Baron Omatsuri and the Secret Island (2005)
¥166.1 million ($1.4 million) / 149,000 - One Piece: The Desert Princess and the Pirates: Adventures in Alabasta (2007)
¥162.1 million ($1.6 million) / 148,274 - One Piece: Episode of Chopper Plus: Bloom in the Winter, Miracle Sakura (2008)
¥135.1 million ($1.2 million) / 120,000 - One Piece: Giant Mecha Soldier of Karakuri Castle (2006)
N/A - One Piece: The Movie (2000)
N/A - One Piece: Clockwork Island Adventure (2001)

Totals:
¥6.87 billion ($77.1 million) / 5.70 million - One Piece Film Z (2012)
¥5.18 billion ($50.3 million) / 3.91 million - One Piece Film Gold (2016)
¥4.80 billion ($58.1 million) / 4.10 million - One Piece Film Strong World (2009)
¥3.00 billion ($25.8 million) / 2.78 million - One Piece: Clockwork Island Adventure (2001)
¥2.16 billion ($20.3 million) / 2.00 million - One Piece: The Movie (2000)
¥2.00 billion ($15.2 million) / 1.85 million - One Piece: Chopper's Kingdom on the Island of Strange Animals (2002)
¥2.00 billion ($16.4 million) / 1.85 million - One Piece: Dead End Adventure (2003)
¥1.80 billion ($16.2 million) / 1.65 million - One Piece: The Cursed Holy Sword (2004)
¥1.23 billion ($11.8 million) / 1.10 million - One Piece: Baron Omatsuri and the Secret Island (2005)
¥920 million ($9.2 million) / 850,000 - One Piece: Episode of Chopper Plus: Bloom in the Winter, Miracle Sakura (2008)
¥900 million ($7.6 million) / 835,000 - One Piece: Giant Mecha Soldier of Karakuri Castle (2006)
¥900 million ($7.6 million) / 835,000 - One Piece: The Desert Princess and the Pirates: Adventures in Alabasta (2007)

[cannastop]

I wonder what caused the recent explosion in the grosses of One Piece and Detective Conan movies. The absence of Miyazaki maybe?

[cannastop]

Corpse

https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2243291#p2243291

Quote

Looking at Saturday's pre-sales:

The Lion King pre-sales are almost 40% below Aladdin's. This isn't surprising, and it shouldn't be seen as "disappointing." This is the weekend before Obon Festival begins, and it will make serious money over the upcoming weekdays.

One Piece Film Stampede is clearly frontloaded. It burned off a lot of demand on Friday (it's the first film in the franchise to open on a Friday), and its Saturday is likely going to see a noticeable decline, which is pretty rare in the market. It'll take a miracle for it to open above ¥1 billion over the weekend frame, though its 3-day total will probably be roughly on par with the first three days of release of the previous film.

Weathering With You is looking at a potential sub-10% decline. If that happens, it could defend its position at #1 in its fourth weekend. And if it does... it's probably going to be #1 well into September. 

All of this means we could be in store for a three-film race for the #1 spot this weekend. 

And because I'll get asked, Toy Story 4 is also aiming at a sub-10% drop, so it's going to easily manage the new competition as well.

 

[RealLyre]

3 hours ago, cannastop said:

I wonder what caused the recent explosion in the grosses of One Piece and Detective Conan movies. The absence of Miyazaki maybe?

2009-2012 was the peak of the series's popularity. and One Piece Film Strong World is what got a lot of Japanese people into One Piece and when the manga sales skyrocketed.

 

we've only had 3 one piece films since 2009 excluding specials.

 

 

[cannastop]

9 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

2009-2012 was the peak of the series's popularity. and One Piece Film Strong World is what got a lot of Japanese people into One Piece and when the manga sales skyrocketed.

 

we've only had 3 one piece films since 2009 excluding specials.

 

 

well yeah but they're all also big successes.

 

Corpse

https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=2243289#p2243289

Quote

With the release of Strong World, Eiichro Oda (author/creator of One Piece) became a chief supervisor of the One Piece films. He writes the story, designs the characters, and provides the team with hundreds of pages of sketches. 

His direct involvement immediately got the many, many fans (it's still far and away the most popular manga in the country/the world) interested in the films versus just the anime viewers. The films are much higher quality now ("Film" in their titles isn't for nothing), and have been released three/fours years apart. Since Strong World, Oda has also created loose-canon chapters that lead up to the release of the films. And Toei Animation has also been dedicating the month leading up to the release of the new films with original episodes that tie-in with the story.

 

Edited August 9, 2019 by cannastop

[fabiopazzo2]

+ $ 18M for OP?!?? 

[pepsa]

21 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

+ $ 18M for OP?!?? 

It's going to  end today 23% lower than Aladin and TS4's saturday.

I would guess it won't go anywhere near that unless absurt high ticket prices.  

[Omni]

Lion King running 30% lower than Aladdin and 40% lower than Toy Story 4. Not bad at all. Should open around 7/8M dollars and end above Zootopia, Dory and Despicable Me 3.

[pepsa]

3 hours ago, Omni said:

Lion King running 30% lower than Aladdin and 40% lower than Toy Story 4. Not bad at all. Should open around 7/8M dollars and end above Zootopia, Dory and Despicable Me 3.

TLk is at 164k with 1.5h more to go so maybe it will get 166k. Aladdin had 270k so that would be 38.5% lower than Aladdin and 39% lower than TS4 saturday in theathers that get tracked (70% of the market). TS4 had a holiday sunday so it went to 400k + and aladdin did 275k or so.  

 

One piece is looking to end 191k today that down from friday that did 235k. So OP is probably looking at 12.9m OW + Friday.

TLK is looking at a 9.4m including friday. Or a $6.8m weekend. Honestly in a few hours corpse will probably report his predictions that will be a lot better  

 

Btw I use a sunday that was a decent big stronger than saturday for my calculation of TLK. 

[john2000]

3 hours ago, Omni said:

Lion King running 30% lower than Aladdin and 40% lower than Toy Story 4. Not bad at all. Should open around 7/8M dollars and end above Zootopia, Dory and Despicable Me 3.

60-70 would be great for lion king