JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[raulbalarezo]

10 minutes ago, Olive said:

Weekend drop est

DM3 -33.5%

SMH -44%

TF5 -44%

POTC5 -47%

Not good for spidey right? 

 

[Deja23]

39 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

Not good for spidey right? 

 

I'm speculating here but I think that drop fine. Yes, it's higher than DM3, but that's not surprising since animation films do well in Japan from what I've read on this thread. Given that last weekend was a holiday, it was inflated and the drop looks worse than normal. TASM dropped 39% according to BOM. I think SMH should still cross $25 mil, but I may be wrong. 

[Cynosure]

Corpse :

 

Weekend Actuals (08/05-06)
01 (01) ¥375,739,700 ($3.4 million), -29%, ¥3,102,899,500 ($28.1 million), Despicable Me 3 (Toho-Towa) WK3
02 (---) ¥328,260,500 ($3.0 million), 0, ¥451,899,700 ($4.1 million), Transformers: The Last Knight (Toho-Towa) NEW
03 (---) ¥250,455,600 ($2.3 million), 0, ¥250,455,600 ($2.3 million), Kamen Rider Ex-Aid: True Ending (Toei) NEW
04 (03) ¥205,537,100 ($1.9 million), -19%, ¥945,719,900 ($8.6 million), I Want To Eat Your Pancreas (Toho) WK2
05 (---) ¥165,513,800 ($1.5 million), 0, ¥226,321,600 ($2.1 million), JoJo's Bizarre Adventure.: Diamond Is Unbreakable (Toho) NEW
06 (04) ¥147,675,400 ($1.3 million), -38%, ¥2,730,665,500 ($24.9 million), Gintama (Warner Bros.) WK4
07 (02) ¥146,373,300 ($1.3 million), -53%, ¥857,803,700 ($7.8 million), The Mummy (Toho-Towa) WK2
08 (07) ¥137,453,700 ($1.2 million), -29%, ¥2,120,225,600 ($19.3 million), Pokemon: I Choose You! (Toho) WK4
09 (05) ¥130,779,600 ($1.2 million), -44%, ¥5,831,299,600 ($52.3 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) WK6
10 (06) ¥99,003,900 ($903,000), -58%, ¥549,884,200 ($5.0 million), Tokyo Ghoul (Shochiku) WK2

Weekend Actuals (08/12-13)
01 (---) ¥448,491,500 ($4.1 million), 0, ¥775,406,300 ($7.1 million), Spider-Man: Homecoming (Sony) NEW
02 (01) ¥405,337,900 ($3.7 million), +08%, ¥4,284,028,400 ($38.9 million), Despicable Me 3 (Toho-Towa) WK4
03 (04) ¥197,791,700 ($1.8 million), -04%, ¥1,557,038,800 ($14.2 million), I Want To Eat Your Pancreas (Toho) WK3
04 (02) ¥184,442,900 ($1.7 million), -44%, ¥993,865,700 ($9.1 million), Transformers: The Last Knight (Toho-Towa) WK2
05 (08) ¥143,037,600 ($1.3 million), +04%, ¥2,547,071,700 ($23.2 million), Pokemon: I Choose You! (Toho) WK5
06 (06) ¥133,782,700 ($1.2 million), -07%, ¥3,155,229,700 ($28.8 million), Gintama (Warner Bros.) WK5
07 (09) ¥118,478,600 ($1.1 million), -09%, ¥6,163,779,200 ($55.3 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) WK7
08 (07) ¥102,594,500 ($937,000), -30%, ¥1,158,191,100 ($10.5 million), The Mummy (Toho-Towa) WK3
09 (11) ¥102,305,000 ($935,000), +05%, ¥2,533,497,900 ($23.1 million), Mary and the Witch's Flower (Toho) WK6
10 (03) ¥98,870,500 ($902,000), -60%, ¥548,643,200 ($5.0 million), Kamen Rider Ex-Aid: True Ending (Toei) WK2

 

Weekend Estimates (08/19-20)
01 (---) ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), 0, ¥350,000,000 ($3.2 million), High & Low 2: End of Sky (Shochiku) NEW
02 (---) ¥275,000,000 ($2.5 million), 0, ¥450,000,000 ($4.1 million), Fireworks, Should We See It from the Side or the Bottom? (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥271,000,000 ($2.5 million), -33%, ¥5,575,000,000 ($50.7 million), Despicable Me 3 (Toho-Towa) WK5
04 (01) ¥255,000,000 ($2.3 million), -43%, ¥1,850,000,000 ($16.9 million), Spider-Man: Homecoming (Sony) WK2
05 (03) ¥159,000,000 ($1.4 million), -19%, ¥2,200,000,000 ($20.1 million), I Want To Eat Your Pancreas (Toho) WK4
06 (04) ¥103,000,000 ($940,000), -44%, ¥1,450,000,000 ($13.2 million), Transformers: The Last Knight (Toho-Towa) WK3
07 (05) ¥97,000,000 ($885,000), -32%, ¥2,975,000,000 ($27.2 million), Pokemon: I Choose You! (Toho) WK6
08 (06) ¥82,000,000 ($750,000), -39%, ¥3,500,000,000 ($32.5 million), Gintama (Warner Bros.) WK6
09 (09) ¥72,000,000 ($660,000), -29%, ¥2,850,000,000 ($26.1 million), Mary and the Witch's Flower (Toho) WK7
10 (07) ¥63,000,000 ($575,000), -47%, ¥6,475,000,000 ($58.1 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) WK8

This is the post-Obon Festival Weekend, so drops are typically high -- unsurprisingly since Obon Week (Mon-Fri) can deliver grosses more than double a films' previous weekend gross, which was the case for most holdovers this year.

High & Low 2: End of Sky came in a little lower than its predecessor by around 15%, but that'll be enough to take the #1 spot in the post-Obon Festival weekend. The first film was very frontloaded, so I'm sure this one will be, too, especially since it opened at the end of Summer. I wouldn't expect more than ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

Fireworks, Should We See It from the Side or the Bottom? delivered a solid start, but its legs will be the focal point of its performance. It's the type of animated film that can develop incredible legs, over a 10 multiplier, but audience scores I've seen are very mixed... For now, I'd say a ¥2 billion (~$20 million) total is likely, but we'll have to wait and see where this goes.

Despicable Me 3 becomes the highest-grossing non-Disney/Pixar imported animated film of all-time, and will become the first to ever reach ¥6 billion (~$55 million) or maybe even ¥7 billion (~$65 million). Illumination couldn't have hoped for more, and this result that's comfortably above the blockbuster milestone puts them on the same level as, if not above, Disney Animation/Pixar now in the market.

Spider-Man: Homecoming debuted slightly higher than The Amazing Spider-Man 2 last week, and due to the holidays, should remain ahead of it and eventually outgross it, along with The Amazing Spider-Man. Aside from the two Avengers films, the only Marvel/DC films to gross over ¥3 billion (~$30 million) have been Spider-Man films (all of them), and Homecoming will likely continue the streak.

I Want To Eat Your Pancreas delivered an excellent post-Obon Festival weekend drop, and will effortlessly achieve the most-impressive run this Summer in terms of legs (already near a 9 multiplier after just 4 weeks). It's likely headed for a total above ¥3 billion (~$30 million), which would give it a multiplier of almost 12.

Transformers: The Last Knight still can't stabilize and will end up as the lowest-grossing film in the franchise with around ¥2 billion (~$20 million).

Pokemon: I Choose You! is on the cusp of ¥3 billion and whether it hit the mark over the weekend or in the next couple days, it'll become the first film in the franchise since 2013 to reach the milestone. I don't think it'll quite make it to ¥3.5 billion (~$32/33 million), but the Pokemon Company and Toho has to be pleased with how well it recovered versus the last three/four films in the series.

Gintama continues to perform very well, and will settle for about ¥4 billion (~$36/37 million); exceeding the milestone will depend on the final week of summer weekdays. It's the highest-grossing domestic live-action film this year, and it'll be tough to top.

Mary and the Witch's Flower held steady in its seventh weekend, and post-Obon Festival weekend, and will soon exceed the ¥3 billion milestone. Overall, its performance has been a bit underwhelming all around, and certainly isn't the result that Studio Ponoc (comprised of former Studio Ghibli staff) was wanting. It's aiming for about ¥3.5 billion ($32/33 million), which is "good", but barely to qualify as a mild success.

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales remains in the Top 10 in its eighth weekend of release, which will probably be its last there. The fifth film in the Pirates franchise is still currently the lowest-grossing in the series, but I think it has just enough left in the sails to exceed the first film's ¥6.8 billion total. So, a total near ¥7 billion ($62/63 million) appears to be the landing spot and that should be enough to make it the #1 film of Summer 2017... unless Gru and his minions survive the post-Summer and manage to sink the ship.

[ZattMurdock]

7 hours ago, Cynosure said:

Spider-Man: Homecoming debuted slightly higher than The Amazing Spider-Man 2 last week, and due to the holidays, should remain ahead of it and eventually outgross it, along with The Amazing Spider-Man. Aside from the two Avengers films, the only Marvel/DC films to gross over ¥3 billion (~$30 million) have been Spider-Man films (all of them), and Homecoming will likely continue the streak.

 

That's amazing news for Homecoming if it turns out to be true. I'm hoping for $40m from Japan, so let's see. 

[raulbalarezo]

52 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said:

That's amazing news for Homecoming if it turns out to be true. I'm hoping for $40m from Japan, so let's see. 

That's what i thought, really good if it can reach $40M

[fmpro]

2 hours ago, iJackSparrow said:

That's amazing news for Homecoming if it turns out to be true. I'm hoping for $40m from Japan, so let's see. 

40 mill is not possible. Be very happy if it crosses 30 mill which is a great number

[raulbalarezo]

13 minutes ago, fmpro said:

40 mill is not possible. Be very happy if it crosses 30 mill which is a great number

Corpse thinks it is possible :/

[a2k]

So glad that POTC will cross 60m usd.

[fmpro]

29 minutes ago, raulbalarezo said:

Corpse thinks it is possible :/

30 mill yes. Certainly not 40 mill

[ZattMurdock]

13 minutes ago, fmpro said:

30 mill yes. Certainly not 40 mill

I honestly don't think that's set in stone. People thought that Homecoming wouldn't be able to cross $300m for a long time, let alone getting anywhere close to $330m. It's going to do and then some. Let's see what happens after WW is out this week. 

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

What do you guys expect for WW?

[MinaTakla]

VARIETY

 

“High & Low the Movie 2 End of Sky,” the third film in a multi-media project featuring the all-male dancing and singing group Exile Tribe, opened atop the Japanese box office. For the Aug. 19-20 weekend the film made $3.2 million on 266,000 admissions from 314 screens, with Shochiku distributing.

 

The score was 27% weaker than the opening weekend of the first “High & Low” actioner about warring street gangs, which finished with $19 million following its July 2016 release. But it was 18% better than the second film, which earned $11 million in Oct. 2016.

 

Toho-Towa’s “Despicable Me 3,” which had held the number one spot for four weekends, fell to number two with $2.5 million. The film passed the $48 million lifetime figure of “Despicable Me” and is forecast to finish around $70 million.

 

Opening in third was “Fireworks, Should We See It from the Side or The Bottom?,” an animation by Akiyuki Shinbo based on a 1993 made-for-TV film by Shunji Iwai. Distributed by Toho on 301 screens, this time-traveling teen romance recorded $4.2 million in three days and looks likely to exceed $15 million.

[Cochofles]

On 8/21/2017 at 8:39 AM, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

What do you guys expect for WW?

 

[MinaTakla]

CORPSE - ACTUALS

 

01 (---) ¥351,468,600 ($3.2 million), 0, ¥412,313,400 ($3.8 million), High & Low 2: End of Sky (Shochiku) NEW

02 (---) ¥294,497,600 ($2.7 million), 0, ¥466,454,300 ($4.3 million), Fireworks, Should We See It from the Side or the Bottom? (Toho) NEW

03 (02) ¥276,814,200 ($2.5 million), -31%, ¥5,559,872,300 ($50.6 million), Despicable Me 3 (Toho-Towa) WK5

04 (01) ¥254,860,600 ($2.3 million), -43%, ¥1,841,193,300 ($16.8 million), Spider-Man: Homecoming (Sony) WK2

05 (03) ¥164,145,400 ($1.5 million), -17%, ¥2,197,594,100 ($20.0 million), I Want To Eat Your Pancreas (Toho) WK4

06 (04) ¥104,420,900 ($956,000), -43%, ¥1,456,594,000 ($13.3 million), Transformers: The Last Knight (Toho-Towa) WK3

07 (05) ¥100,426,500 ($919,000), -30%, ¥2,972,634,000 ($27.2 million), Pokemon: I Choose You! (Toho) WK6

08 (06) ¥83,328,700 ($762,000), -38%, ¥3,480,224,800 ($32.3 million), Gintama (Warner Bros.) WK6

09 (09) ¥72,299,500 ($662,000), -29%, ¥2,853,083,600 ($26.1 million), Mary and the Witch's Flower (Toho)

WK710 (07) ¥64,643,600 ($592,000), -46%, ¥6,471,667,700 ($58.1 million), Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (Disney) WK8

 

High & Low 2: End of Sky came in a little lower than its predecessor by 14%, selling 266,064 admissions across 314 screens over the weekend frame, and 296,471 admissions since opening on Friday. The first film was very frontloaded, so I'm sure this one will be, too, especially since it opened at the end of Summer. I wouldn't expect more than ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).F

 

ireworks, Should We See It from the Side or the Bottom? delivered a solid second place debut, selling 220,018 admissions over the weekend frame across 299 screens, and 354,753 admissions since opening on Friday. It's the type of animated film that can develop incredible legs, over a 10 multiplier, but audience scores I've seen are very mixed... For now, I'd say a ¥2 billion (~$20 million) total is likely, but we'll have to wait and see where this goes.

 

Despicable Me 3 became the highest-grossing non-Disney/Pixar imported animated film of all-time, and will become the first to ever reach ¥6 billion (~$55 million) or maybe even ¥7 billion (~$65 million). After five weeks in release, the third film -- in the recently announced highest-grossing animated franchise of all-time worldwide -- has sold over 4.7 million admissions. Illumination couldn't have hoped for more, and this result that's comfortably above the blockbuster milestone puts them on the same level as, if not above, Disney Animation/Pixar now in the market. 

 

Spider-Man: Homecoming continues to outpace both Amazing Spider-Man films, and is on its way to a ¥3 billion+ (~$30 million) total. It'll become the sixth Spider-Man film to reach this milestone, and aside from the two Avengers films, the overall Spider-Man series is the only Marvel/DC franchise to reach said milestone -- very impressive, and interest remains high for the friendly-neighborhood Spider-Man in the market.

 

I Want To Eat Your Pancreas delivered an excellent post-Obon Festival weekend drop, and will effortlessly achieve the most-impressive run this Summer in terms of legs (already near a 9 multiplier after just 4 weeks). It's likely headed for a total above ¥3 billion (~$30 million), which would give it a multiplier of almost 12.

 

Pokemon: I Choose You! is on the cusp of ¥3 billion now, and it'll become the first film in the franchise since 2013 to reach the milestone. I don't think it'll quite make it to ¥3.5 billion (~$32/33 million), but the Pokemon Company and Toho has to be pleased with how well it recovered versus the last three/four films in the series.

 

Gintama continues to perform very well, and will settle for about ¥4 billion (~$36/37 million); exceeding the milestone will depend on the final week of summer weekdays. It's the highest-grossing domestic live-action film this year, and it'll be tough to top.

 

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales remains in the Top 10 in its eighth weekend of release, which will probably be its last there. The fifth film in the Pirates franchise is still currently the lowest-grossing in the series, but I think it has just enough left in the sails to exceed the first film's ¥6.8 billion total. So, a total near ¥7 billion ($62/63 million) appears to be the landing spot and that should be enough to make it the #1 film of Summer 2017... unless Gru and his minions survive the post-Summer and manage to sink the ship.

[ZattMurdock]

Amazing news for Spidey. Now let's go for $30m and just to keep going until $40m. 

 

But I need to make a correction: Spider-Man: Homecoming is outpacing just TASM2, not TASM. Homecoming has $16.8m after it's second weekend, while TASM2 had $14.3m after it's second weekend. If can manage to keep outpacing TASM2, I think it's possible to think of something closer to $40m. So let's see. 

Edited August 23, 2017 by iJackSparrow

[Omni]

Spider Man will struggle to 30M dollars, and won't get to that if WW hurts it enough.

[the beast]

How Is Dunkirk Expected to do here?

[a2k]

04 (01) ¥255,000,000 ($2.3 million), -43%, ¥1,850,000,000 ($16.9 million), Spider-Man: Homecoming (Sony) WK2

 

I don't see SM doubling it's cume ($16.9m) and doing $34m. $30m at most imo. Not that I am very well versed with Japanese bo, but just from what little I have followed that is how it looks.

Edited August 23, 2017 by a2knet

[fmpro]

3 hours ago, Omni said:

Spider Man will struggle to 30M dollars, and won't get to that if WW hurts it enough.

 

I agree. Looks like 28-30 mill. 

40 mill prediction is ridiculous in this case

[ZattMurdock]

2 minutes ago, a2knet said:

04 (01) ¥255,000,000 ($2.3 million), -43%, ¥1,850,000,000 ($16.9 million), Spider-Man: Homecoming (Sony) WK2

 

I don't see SM doubling it's cume ($16.9m) and doing $34m. $30m at most imo. Not that I am very well versed with Japanese bo, but just from what little I have followed that is how it looks.

I'm way less versed than you are, but I'd guess it depends on how the upcoming drops go. That's TASM2 second weekend:

 

Quote

May 3–4

4

$3,705,093

-9.8%

765

+2

$4,843

$14,374,880

2

If it manages to do hold better than TASM2 during weekdays and keeping the edge on its total like it seems to be doing now, I'd say it's completely feasible.