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CJohn

Frozen OS thread

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Frozen has a shot at 1B actually, if it does half of MU numbers in Japan.

 

Anything less than 900M WW is locked. Three targets for it at this point:

 

DM2 (918m + China wont do much)

1B (380m DOM + 580m + 40m Japan)

TS3 1.063B (400m DOM + 600m + 63m Japan)

 

IMO

Edited by firedeep
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I think OS it will make near $550-600 so $900 WW is very likely, 1B is a posibilitty but let's wait and see how it holds after the holidays. Whatever happens, what a great run to watch Frozen!

600m OS = 1B WW

 

Remember it is doing at least 360m DOM. So 550m OS means 910m WW is locked, not just likely.

Edited by firedeep
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550 is not locked. It may happen with good performance here on, but it might not as well. Now that the holidays are over, it will have big drop next weekend (something to the tune of 45-50% is possible). And weekdays won't be contributing much from here on. And we don't know how China and Japan will perform. They can do 100m combined, or they can fail to do even 50m. So we need to wait a bit before calling 550m a lock.

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You are right firedeep 550 should be locked. Actual: $342 M. + $50 M. more from Europe + $50 M. from Latin America + $100 M. from Asia (China + Japan + South Korea) + $8 M. more from Australia = $550 M. :-)

 

Hasn't it just opened in Latin America. It should have good legs and can do more. Australia also should do more than 8M. China/Japan are big question mark but 50M should happen. I think 500M is locked. Anything more will be clear once we see next weekend hold. I have a feeling it will surprise us again. I am thinking 600M+ OS with good holds even post holidays.

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So Tangled opened to $2.8M in Korea. For comparison, Ralph's OW number was something like $1.5M and How to Train Your Dragon's was $7.2M. Since Frozen has built some hype and the competition is intense so I'm guessing somewhere between $4-5M, hopefully. $30M-$40M total would be fantastic but $20M will be a reasonable target for now since Korean market's like a graveyard for American animated films. (except Dreamworks')

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Disney’s animation posted a terrific $4.8m (£2.9m) fifth weekend to climb to $50.4m (£30.8m) in the UK. That represents a remarkable week-on-week drop of just 17%, with 2D screenings providing a huge 82.31% of the weekend gross and 73.07% of the film’s entire gross.

Frozen has now surpassed Monsters University’s $50.1m (£30.6m) UK result and could even challenge Iron Man 3’s $60.5m (£37m) to become Disney’s strongest 2013 release.

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Disney’s animation posted a terrific $4.8m (£2.9m) fifth weekend to climb to $50.4m (£30.8m) in the UK. That represents a remarkable week-on-week drop of just 17%, with 2D screenings providing a huge 82.31% of the weekend gross and 73.07% of the film’s entire gross.

Frozen has now surpassed Monsters University’s $50.1m (£30.6m) UK result and could even challenge Iron Man 3’s $60.5m (£37m) to become Disney’s strongest 2013 release.

Impressive. Who knew Elsa would pose a threat to Tony Stark?! :P
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