China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[peludo]

1 hour ago, bulletproofsqui said:

I'm just a normal boxoffice lover, Oliver, Gavin & I used to in the same local forum

i do have to admit that i've been lurking BOT and several foreign forums about film for years, not a talkative guy anyway

 

speak about Hi, Mom, back in 2017 when we tracking Ex-File 3, after it barely droped after New Years Holiday end i suspect it has a shot on The Mermaid, the top gross film in Mainland China back then, but it start to drop hard after day 10

same thing happened on Dying to Survive, i'm expecting ￥5000M+ total after it opening 9.0 on Douban while it start crashing after limited release & first weekend breakout end

 

the theoretical basis is that, drama/comedy audience requirement has distance with blockbusters, like the Top grossing list now, Top 5 all blockbusters while DC2 & The Mermaid stop around ￥3500M, or the limit has rise to ￥5500M now while blockbusters like Wandering Earth 2 can do ￥7000M? only time will tell

First of all, welcome to the forums

 

My feeling is that non usual bockbusters are way more unpredictable and have more potential, not only in China, but everywhere. A blockbuster can have the initial boost of the hype and a big opening to take advantage but to have good legs it depends more on multiple views. But if a drama/comedy connects with people... sky is the limit.

[LPLC]

55 minutes ago, jatvision said:

Monday was almost biggest single day pre DC3 & AEG opening day, so yep. Tuesday will beat AEG Saturday for 3rd biggest non-opening day after DC3 Sat and Sun.

So Tuesday > $109M but < $115M ?

[setna]

...amazing, i thought that 40 million first monday of TFA never will be broken, and now we have 2 movies at the same time overpassing this, crazy!!!!

[charlie Jatinder]

31 minutes ago, setna said:

...amazing, i thought that 40 million first monday of TFA never will be broken, and now we have 2 movies at the same time overpassing this, crazy!!!!

Actually if you are considering worldwide, the first Monday record was broken by The Mermaid in Feb 2016 itself. Furious 7 had $30M Monday in April 2015.

 

In USA Black Panther broke the record, no?

[LPLC]

37 minutes ago, setna said:

...amazing, i thought that 40 million first monday of TFA never will be broken, and now we have 2 movies at the same time overpassing this, crazy!!!!

This TFA record had already been broken by black panther in 2018

[Gavin Feng]

Hi, Mom & Chinatown 3 already prove we're in the era of $1 billion lifetime in a single market no matter if they hit it or not. Lots of local blockbusters are aiming to come in summer and National Day holidays. We have great chance to see more and more crazy box office run.

 

But right now, I highly doubt upcoming Hollywood films could benefit much from it. Recent numbers might make those executives in town feel thrilled, but local industry -- including those from Chinese office of Hollywood -- don't really think audience here are so eager to see their contents in cinemas. 

[charlie Jatinder]

I mean yeah. The ticket prices have started to increase. At WW2 admits we will have 7.75-7.9B grosser today. That's $1200M plus today, with improving exchange rates, that may get even bigger. 

 

So $1B is pretty low target IMO. We should be talking about $1.25B+.

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Tuesday

 

Hi, Mom - 585M ($91M) / 2173M ($336M)

Detective Chinatown 3 - 316M ($49M) / 3339M ($517M)

[charlie Jatinder]

Wednesday projection

 

Hi, Mom - 530-550M

DC3 - 230-250M

[charlie Jatinder]

 

 

Among major markets atleast. Some smaller market may have some film perhaps.

[Cookson]

Some good news for Hollywood films if there was one. Have a feeling Godzilla vs Kong will do very well. Still surprised no confirmation of its release date there. 

[Jiffy]

Well this has been quite the turnaround.

 

What is "Hi, Mom" about?

[LeoC]

I love Grace's latest analysis of China Box Office. She called the numbers fake because she didn't think it's possible.

[XXR vs XXR]

5 minutes ago, LeoC said:

I love Grace's latest analysis of China Box Office. She called the numbers fake because she didn't think it's possible.

 

Grace Randolph is the alpha dumbass. The Kim Kardashian of YouTube movie content. 

[setna]

9 hours ago, jatvision said:

Actually if you are considering worldwide, the first Monday record was broken by The Mermaid in Feb 2016 itself. Furious 7 had $30M Monday in April 2015.

 

In USA Black Panther broke the record, no?

Black Panther did it, but it was holiday, but i didn´t rememeber about Mermaid...

[setna]

7 hours ago, jatvision said:

Tuesday

 

Hi, Mom - 585M ($91M) / 2173M ($336M)

Detective Chinatown 3 - 316M ($49M) / 3339M ($517M)

 

91 million plus 49 in a Tuesday?????

 

wtf!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Lion Roar]

16 minutes ago, setna said:

 

91 million plus 49 in a Tuesday?????

 

wtf!!!!!!!!!!!!

It's official CNY holiday from 2/11-2/17. Nobody is working so same as weekend. 

[NCsoft]

4 hours ago, LeoC said:

I love Grace's latest analysis of China Box Office. She called the numbers fake because she didn't think it's possible.

Probably the single most infuriating video that I've seen from her, and she has a lot of annoying videos....

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, setna said:

Black Panther did it, but it was holiday, but i didn´t rememeber about Mermaid...

All of them did on holiday. Official or not. 

[Legion Again]

Yeah. Biggest non-holiday Monday is Endgame DOM.