Weekend numbers thread (close between TH and DU 31.5-31 so far)

[Elessar]

And it was $15M because...? You say so?Run along now.

Why are you so mean to meeeee?

[Gopher]

300 is safe for The Hobbit. It needs a 3.4x multiplier from this weekend to hit it and nothing is opening for families in January. This debate is silly.

Edited December 30, 2012 by Gopher

[John Marston]

And it was $15M because...? You say so?Run along now.

And how do you know it was more than 15m? Same thing

[MovieMan89]

What are you doing predicting numbers here anyway? I thought you had announced that you will stop predicting numbers if WIR didn't get 4x multiplier.BTW it is really funny that I owned you on THG 2nd weekend, TASM and TH1 total gross, but all you can seem to remember is THG late legs.

Lol, I still think it's hilarious that you hold on to one weekend in a movie's gross as your crowning victory over me as a box office predictor. Why not use winning the summer game or something actually relevant? The difference between me and you is I admit when I was wrong on a movie and you can't. I was wrong on my TASM and TH1 predictions. Although you were just as wrong on TASM as me. Your prediction was 50m+ off from what actually happened, same as mine. And if I'm wrong on 350m for Hobbit I'll be wrong on that. I'm not even officially predicting it merely saying it's definitely possible. And BTW, I think I've more than paid up on our TASM bet and will be removing that heinous quote in my signature now. Halle-freakin-lujah. Edited December 30, 2012 by HobbitMan89

[filmnerdjamie]

No lock by any means, but far far from impossible.

http-~~-//youtu.be/FqYYly-wQyA

[Elessar]

Yeah, NYE`s a pretty dead day except for basement dwellers who have no party to go but watch TH dressed as dwarves.

NYE is anything but dead. It's a MUCH better day than a normal midweek day.

[baumer]

NYE is anything but dead. It's a MUCH better day than a normal midweek day.

It's dead in comparison to other days and nights over the holidays.

[Poseidon]

NYE is not dead for every movie, I expect Lincoln and maybe Silver Linings to go up.

[Elessar]

IMPOSSIBLE.

There's a difference between very unlikely and impossible.

[Fake]

FOTR gained 13% of its gross after Oscar nominations were announced.TTT gained 5%.ROTK gained 9%, but had the benefit of Oscar noms being announced a couple of weeks earlier than FOTR or TTT.

Why are we using movies with MUCH BETTER WOM from 10 YEARS AGO with OSCAR BOOSTS to gauge late legs?

[Elessar]

Hobbit will drop 35-40% tomorrow and go up 30-35% on Tues. So it will be at about 235 by NYD.

$238m

[MovieMan89]

There's a difference between very unlikely and impossible.

Don't bother reasoning with him or explaining what the definition of words mean. He still thinks THG hitting 400 is "impossible" despite it actually happening.

[dashrendar44]

Except Nemo's a much older man. Not to mention Continental (I don't buy Leo as European). Let Leo be Land and give Nemo to Neeson or somebody.

Nemo is an indian prince, Prince Dakkar, actually...

[Elessar]

Why are we using movies with MUCH BETTER WOM from 10 YEARS AGO with OSCAR BOOSTS to gauge late legs?

Dude, read the thread before asking stupid questions.

[fishstick]

300 is safe for The Hobbit. It needs a 3.4x multiplier from this weekend to hit it and nothing is opening for families in January. This debate is silly.

Didn`t you read above posts? Impossible. It`s a family movie opening next week.

[John Marston]

How much did movies drop Monday last time New Years Eve was on Monday?

[Plain Old Tele]

Why are we using movies with MUCH BETTER WOM from 10 YEARS AGO with OSCAR BOOSTS to gauge late legs?

I wasn't. I was showing that FOTR had a significant late boost (attributable to Oscar noms + WOM) moreso than TTT or even ROTK. I don't expect TH1 to have anything like that.

[Fake]

Lol, I still think it's hilarious that you hold on to one weekend in a movie's gross as your crowning victory over me as a box office predictor. Why not use winning the summer game or something actually relevant? The difference between me and you is I admit when I was wrong on a movie and you can't. I was wrong on my TASM and TH1 predictions. Although you were just as wrong on TASM as me. Your prediction was 50m+ off from what actually happened, same as mine. And if I'm wrong on 350m for Hobbit I'll be wrong on that. I'm not even officially predicting it merely saying it's definitely possible. And BTW, I think I've more than paid up on our TASM bet and will be removing that heinous quote in my signature now. Halle-freakin-lujah.

What did you have in your sig till now? I have sigs off in my settings so I couldn't see.

[Plain Old Tele]

Nemo is an indian prince, Prince Dakkar, actually...

Then Leo's an even worse choice!

[fishstick]

It's dead in comparison to other days and nights over the holidays.

Yeah, over $10 mio isn`t gonna happen for any movie in Top 3.

Nemo is an indian prince, Prince Dakkar, actually...

Which is why Fincher is mulling over Pitt casting.