REVISED Weekend Estimates 6/14--6/16: Man of Steel OW $116.7M($128.7M including WM)

[peludo]

Would be close to 300M.

So, it will need about x2.5 multiplier WW to outgross TASM

[DMan7]

Don't think it has a chance of outgrossing TASM Overseas though. Best case  scenario would be 400 - 450M Overseas.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

[#ED]

14	Shrek the Third	P/DW	$121,629,270	37.7%	4,122	$29,507	$322,719,944	5/18/2007
15	Alice in Wonderland (2010)	BV	$116,101,023	34.7%	3,728	$31,143	$334,191,110	3/5/2010
16	Spider-Man	Sony	$114,844,116	28.4%	3,615	$31,768	$403,706,375	5/3/2002
17	Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End	BV	$114,732,820	37.1%	4,362	$26,302	$309,420,425	5/25/2007
18	Man of Steel	WB	$113,080,000	90.4%	4,207	$26,879	$125,080,000	6/14/2013
19	Toy Story 3	BV	$110,307,189	26.6%	4,028	$27,385	$415,004,880	6/18/2010
20	Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen	P/DW	$108,966,307	27.1%	4,234	$25,736	$402,111,870	6/24/2009
21	Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith	Fox	$108,435,841	28.5%	3,661	$29,619	$380,270,577	5/19/2005
22	Shrek 2	DW	$108,037,878	24.5%	4,163	$25,951	$441,226,247

 

[The Stingray]

I don't get all of them either, I think it's impossible to get every reference that comes from your personal mental rolodex, but still, many of them I do get and they just make me laugh.  If Matrix were here, he'd laugh too.

He's the asshole on TV, right?

[baumer]

He's the asshole on TV, right?

 

Only in a rerun. 

[baumer]

 

14 Shrek the Third P/DW $121,629,270 37.7% 4,122 $29,507 $322,719,944 5/18/2007 15 Alice in Wonderland (2010) BV $116,101,023 34.7% 3,728 $31,143 $334,191,110 3/5/2010 16 Spider-Man Sony $114,844,116 28.4% 3,615 $31,768 $403,706,375 5/3/2002 17 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End BV $114,732,820 37.1% 4,362 $26,302 $309,420,425 5/25/2007 18 Man of Steel WB $113,080,000 90.4% 4,207 $26,879 $125,080,000 6/14/2013 19 Toy Story 3 BV $110,307,189 26.6% 4,028 $27,385 $415,004,880 6/18/2010 20 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen P/DW $108,966,307 27.1% 4,234 $25,736 $402,111,870 6/24/2009 21 Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith Fox $108,435,841 28.5% 3,661 $29,619 $380,270,577 5/19/2005 22 Shrek 2 DW $108,037,878 24.5% 4,163 $25,951 $441,226,247

 

 

I don't agree with this one bit.  All of these films on this list (sorry, most of these films) benefited from midnights.  Midnights are basically gone now because of Aurora.  So that 21 mill it made on Thurs should count or else none of these films can say that they can count their midnights either.  So MOS did 128 mill for OW. 

[ALayrisson]

I don't agree with this one bit.  All of these films on this list (sorry, most of these films) benefited from midnights.  Midnights are basically gone now because of Aurora.  So that 21 mill it made on Thurs should count or else none of these films can say that they can count their midnights either.  So MOS did 128 mill for OW. 

 

1000% agree

[Krissykins]

The $9m should be included, but not the $12m.

[Dementeleus]

Wow, without Walmarts my BSG estimate for MOS was within 500k! Dayyyummmmm. What a ridiculously good weekend for Supes!(And yes, the $12m should count in this post-Aurora environment. But whatever)

[redfirebird2008]

I don't agree with this one bit.  All of these films on this list (sorry, most of these films) benefited from midnights.  Midnights are basically gone now because of Aurora.  So that 21 mill it made on Thurs should count or else none of these films can say that they can count their midnights either.  So MOS did 128 mill for OW. 

 

It did not make $21m on Thursday. WB sold $12m worth of tickets to Wal-Mart for Thursday. It then made $9m from actual midnight shows. That $9m is included in the 3-day weekend.  

[A Marvel Fanboy]

My picks for WW or Supergirl:

 

Amber Heard

Emily Blunt

Rachel Nichols

[ban1o]

I don't agree with this one bit.  All of these films on this list (sorry, most of these films) benefited from midnights.  Midnights are basically gone now because of Aurora.  So that 21 mill it made on Thurs should count or else none of these films can say that they can count their midnights either.  So MOS did 128 mill for OW. 

9 million is the midnight and is included in that number. 12 million is the Walmart tickets. They did include the midnight. The 12 million were tickets that WB sold to Walmart and were bought ahead of time. All of those films did not have that advantage? 

Edited June 17, 2013 by ban1o

[grim22]

Well, this 250 pages question was a close run one, mainly because of lack of meltdowns. If this had performed like STID, 250 pages would have probably been passed on Saturday itself.

 

That being said, what an amazing start for a new Superman movie. 116M is bigger than anyone expected, and the fact that it held steady minus midnights each day may bode well for word of mouth.

[hasanahmad]

Wait maybe im out of the loop but did Aurora really affect midnights one year on? Example ?

[Neo]

Well, I've been up all night and the CBS News all night said it grossed 113M OW, so whatever this is about 116M shouldn't really matter.. It's still a Hit for Heaven sakes...  

Its the difference between estimates and actuals and it does matter.

[Michael Seng Wah]

I am not going to argue to that 12mil stuffs, but to view on different perceptions,

 

1. It is just WB's marketing strategy

2. Whether it should be or should not be counted in OW, as for me I think it should, as long as it is counted into the overall domestic gross, that would be fine, as that are the tickets being sold.

 

116mil a good revised number, good news.

[#ED]

Wait maybe im out of the loop but did Aurora really affect midnights one year on? Example ?

 

The Hobbit

BD2

IM3

a few more 

All blockbusters had 7PM, 8PM, 10PM Previews that were counted as Midnights and added on to Friday's gross.

[baumer]

It did not make $21m on Thursday. WB sold $12m worth of tickets to Wal-Mart for Thursday. It then made $9m from actual midnight shows. That $9m is included in the 3-day weekend.  

 

You're not seriously trying to explain this to me like I'm a newbie, are you? 

 

The money should count because regardless of who bought the tickets, the tickets were sold.  7pms have counted with other films this summer, and they should count towards MOS. 

[fmpro]

Hahahaha...I got a direct tweet from Queen Nikki. She had originally said on twitter that MOS opened with 150 WW.  I  corrected her and told her it was closer to 200.  Someone else questioned my source.  I told them my source was everyone.  This is what Nikki tweeted me: Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke 10h @baumer72 @littlenomad @Deadline I've had that bigger number since 10 AM today. But the update never went out on our RSS feed to Twitter I feel special. 

Baumer an Nikki sitting in a treeK.I.S.S.I.N.G