Weekend Prediction thread 5/10-5/12 Play the Derby

[LegendaryBen]

1. Venom - $31.01M

2. A Star is Born - $27.66M

I'm still going conservative on this one, but I wouldn't be surprised if it actually took the top spot from Venom. Weekdays are very strong for it and it had a softer drop than expected yesterday.

3. First Man - $23.23M 

Fandango presales were not impressive on Monday but it has made a huge turnaround yesterday and today. It is comparing favorably to Sicario 2 and Skyscraper. $25M opening isn't out of the question yet.
4. Goosebumps 2 - $15.07M

CORRECTION: I did find out that Jack Black is in the sequel but I still don't think it's going to open well like the first one because of its presales being way behind family films like Smallfoot and House with a Clock in its Walls
5. Smallfoot - $9.34M
6. Bad Times - $8.87M

Tracking just below White Boy Rick in presales.
7. Night School - $6.19M
8. House with Clock - $3.85M
9. A Simple Favor - $1.92M
10. The Nun - $1.21M 

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

October 19-21:

 

1. Halloween - 68.8

2. A Star Is Born - 17.4 / 120.7

3. Venom - 15.8 / 170.0

4. First Man - 10.0 / 31.4

5. Goosebumps 2 - 9.7 / 30.8

6. The Hate U Give - 7.2 / 10.3

7. Smallfoot - 5.8 / 66.7

8. Bad Times at El Royale - 4.3 / 14.0

9. Night School - 4.1 / 66.3

10. The House with Clock in it's Walls - 2.1 / 65.7

11. The Old Man and the Gun - 1.4 / 3.6

12. Crazy Rich Asians - 0.75 / 172.5

Edited October 15, 2018 by Viktor Vilotijevic

[Blankments]

On 10/3/2018 at 10:23 AM, Blankments said:

Tangled, Assassination Nation, The Meg, Ant-Man and the Wasp, BlacKkKlansman, El Dia de la Union, Incredibles 2, Cruise, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again, Puzzle, and Lizzie are gone.

Moana, Shine, Little Women, The Samuel Project, The Church, The Great Battle, Loving Pablo, Peppermint, Searching, Sui Dhaaga - Made In India, Fahrenheit 11/9, Feng Shui, The Wife, A Crooked Somebody, Golden Job, The Negotiation, Ya Veremos, Blaze, and Life Itself are gone.

 

Venom - 91/24/3/1/3 (2D/3D/3D with D-BOX/Dolby/Spanish) total 122 (down 41)

A Star is Born - 89/7 (2D/Dolby) total 96 (down 6)

First Man - 62/3/1/20 (2D/2D with D-BOX/Dolby/IMAX) total 86 (debut)

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween - 66/4 (2D/Spanish) total 70 (debut)

Smallfoot - 48/2 (2D/3D) total 50 (down 13)

Night School - 49 (down 28)

Bad Times at the El Royale - 39 (debut)

The House with a Clock in Its Walls - 34 (down 17)

Kinky - 19 (debut)

A Simple Favor - 17 (down 21)

The Old Man and the Gun - 15 (up 4)

Cinderella - 14 (debut)

Crazy Rich Asians - 14 (down 11)

Christopher Robin - 11 (down 7)

Bigger - 10 (debut)

Colette - 9 (up 4)

The Nun - 9 (down 15)

The Hate U Give - 8 (debut)

Hell Fest - 8 (down 24)

Gosnell: The Trial of America's Biggest Serial Killer - 5 (debut)

The Sisters Brothers - 4 (down 1)

Monsters and Men - 3 (down 16)

All Square - 2 (debut)

Look Away - 2 (debut)

Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 2 (down 4)

The Predator - 2 (down 11)

White Boy Rick - 2 (down 8)

[filmlover]

Halloween: $58M

[AndyK]

On 10/8/2018 at 2:04 AM, Viktor Vilotijevic said:

Good word of mouth for "Venom"? Everybody hates it. But I love the descriptions that you gave. Great points overall!

I don't think you've been paying attention.

[Maxmoser3]

Halloween: $50 million

Hate You Give: $3 million 

[DAJK]

Scotiabank Theater Vancouver Halloween:

 

Thursday: 7:00 - 38/421

                  9:45 - 20/421

 

Only check I did this far out at that theater recently was The Nun, which was closer to 10 tickets sold at this point for Thursday night total 

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

October 26-28:

 

1. Halloween - 29.6 / 116.7

2. A Star Is Born - 11.1 / 137.7

3. Venom - 8.1 / 182.7

4. First Man - 6.2 / 41.2

5. Hunter Killer - 6.0

6. Goosebumps 2 - 5.5 / 39.3

7. The Hate U Give - 4.1 / 17.3

8. Smallfoot - 3.5 / 71.6

9. Johnny English Strikes Again - 3.1

10. Bad Times at El Royale - 2.1 / 18.0

11. Night School - 2.1 / 69.9

12. Indivisible - 1.7

Edited October 15, 2018 by Viktor Vilotijevic

[dxmatrixdt]

35.00 - Venom - 142.10
28.00 - Star - 94.16
17.33 - First Man - 17.33
15.90 - Goosebumps - 15.90
9.60 - Smallfoot - 57.91
8.00 - Bad Times - 8.00
7.60 - Night School - 59.41
4.00 - House/Clock - 62.28
1.71 - Hate U Give - 2.42
1.42 - A Simple Favor - 52.08
1.33 - The Nun - 115.89
1.25 - Gosnell - 1.25
1.10 - Crazy Rich - 171.39
1.00 - Colette - 2.55
1.00 - Old Man - 1.78
0.26 - Incredibles - 607.52
0.20 - Predators - 50.69
0.18 - Robin - 98.63
0.16 - Mission 6 - 220.09

 

 

60.00 - Halloween - 60.00
18.50 - Star - 122.50
18.50 - Venom - 170.25
10.00 - First Man - 32.75
9.50 - Goosebumps - 29.20
8.75 - Hate U Give - 11.75
7.00 - Smallfoot - 66.80
4.50 - Bad Times - 15.00
4.50 - Night School - 66.30
2.50 - House/Clock - 65.75
0.70 - The Nun - 116.95
0.70 - Simple Favor - 52.95

 

 

25.00 - Halloween - 101.00
13.00 - Hunter Killer - 13.00
13.00 - Star - 142.00 
11.00 - Venom - 187.00
6.70 - First Man - 42.50
6.00 - Goosebumps - 37.25
6.00 - Johnny English - 6.00
5.40 - Smallfoot - 72.50
5.00 - Hate U Give - 19.75
3.50 - Indivisible - 3.50
2.90 - Night School - 69.65
2.60 - Bad Times - 19.10
1.70 - House/Clock - 68.00

 

 

36.00 - Nutcracker - 36.00
27.00 - Bohemian Rhaphsody - 27.00
13.00 - Halloween - 121.00
13.00 - Nobody's Fool - 13.00
9.00 - Star - 155.50
6.50 - Hunter - 24.00
6.50 - Venom - 197.00
4.00 - First Man - 49.00
3.00 - Goosebumps - 42.00
2.75 - Hate U Give - 24.00
2.70 - Smallfoot - 76.25
2.25 - Johnny English - 10.00
1.75 - Indivisible - 6.50
1.20 - Night School - 71.75
1.10 - Bad Times - 21.10

 

 

60.00 - The Grinch - 60.00
20.00 - Spider's Web - 20.00
18.00 - Nutcracker - 64.00
15.00 - Bohemian Rhaphsody - 51.00
10.00 - Overlord - 10.00
6.00 - Halloween - 131.00
6.00 - Nobody's Fool - 23.00
6.00 - Star - 165.00
3.50 - Venom - 202.50
3.00 - Hunter - 29.25
2.60 - First Man - 53.00
1.60 - Goosebumps - 44.25
1.25 - Hate U Give - 26.25
1.25 - Smallfoot - 78.00

[OdinSon2k14]

Phew...what is this, the 5th or 6th bomb for Hemsworth, outside of the mcu? Dude, sign that Thor extension 

🤣

[WrathOfHan]

Halloween: 85M

A Star Is Born: 20.4M

Venom: 19.5M

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween: 10.6M

First Man: 10M

The Hate U Give: 7.3M

Smallfoot: 7M

Night School: 5.4M

Bad Times at the El Royale: 3.6M

The House with a Clock in Its Walls: 1.8M

[Krissykins]

1. Halloween $46,000,000

2. A Star Is Born $17,000,000

 

[Amorphous]

HALLOWEEN really could go one or two ways.

 

It could "under perform" from projections and gross just under $60m, or it could skyrocket this week and gross upwards of $70m. Will be an interesting weekend ahead.

[Krissykins]

Halloween industry tracking per Variety:

 

$57-65m

 

Outsiders say a chance at $70m, Universal saying $50m. 

 

Even $57m would be staggering and a slasher genre and franchise record. 

[Viktor Vilotijevic]

October 19-21:

 

1. Halloween - 73.1

2. A Star is Born - 18.5 / 125.6

3. Venom - 18.1 / 172.2

4. First Man - 10.4 / 31.9

5. Goosebumps 2 - 9.5 / 28.3

6. The Hate U Give - 7.4 / 10.4

7. Smallfoot - 5.6 / 65.4

8. Night School - 4.6 / 66.5

9. Bad Times at the El Royale - 3.9 / 14.2

10. The House with Clock in it's Walls - 2.0 / 65.2

11. The Old Man and the Gun - 1.0 / 3.2

12. Colette - 0.7 / 3.7

 

October 26-28:

 

1. Halloween - 32.5 / 124.8

2. A Star is Born - 12.1 / 144.5

3. Venom - 9.4 / 188.0

4. Hunter Killer - 6.5

5. First Man - 6.4 / 42.2

6. Goosebumps 2 - 6.2 / 36.6

7. The Hate U Give - 4.8 / 18.1

8. Johnny English Strikes Again - 3.8

9. Smallfoot - 3.4 / 70.7

10. Night School - 2.1 / 70.2

11. Bad Times at the El Royale - 1.9 / 17.5

12. Indivisible - 1.7

 

 

November 2-9:

 

1. Bohemian Rhapsody - 32.4

2. The Nutcracker - 23.3

3. Nobody's Fool - 15.3

4. Halloween - 14.6 / 150.7

5. A Star is Born - 8.1 / 156.8

6. Venom - 4.5 / 195.8

7. First Man - 4.4 / 49.1

8. Hunter Killer - 3.3 / 11.7

9. Suspiria - 3.2 / 3.7

10. The Hate U Give - 2.9 / 22.8

11. Goosebumps 2 - 2.7 / 41.0

12. Smallfoot - 1.9 / 73.7

 

November 9-16:

 

1. The Grinch - 81.7

2. Bohemian Rhapsody - 20.1 / 61.7

3. The Girl with Spider's Web - 15.8

4. The Nutcracker - 14.2 / 42.7

5. Overlord - 10.4

6. Nobody's Fool - 7.3 / 26.3

7. Halloween - 6.6 / 162.5

8. A Star is Born - 5.4 / 165.3

9. First Man - 2.8 / 53.6

10. Venom - 2.1 / 199.4

11. The Hate U Give - 1.8 / 25.7

12. Suspiria - 1.4 / 6.1

 

November 16-18:

 

1. Fantastic Beasts 2 - 74.7

2. The Grinch - 48.2 / 150.1

3. Instant Family - 23.9

4. Widows - 21.1

5. Bohemian Rhapsody - 12.0 / 80.9

6. The Girl with Spider's Web - 8.1 / 29.0

7. The Nutcracker - 7.4 / 54.6

8. Overlord - 5.8 / 19.8

9. A Star is Born - 3.5 / 170.8

10. Nobody's Fool - 3.3 / 32.1

11. Halloween - 3.0 / 167.5

12. First Man - 1.7 / 56.3

 

 

Edited October 18, 2018 by Viktor Vilotijevic

[Blankments]

On 10/12/2018 at 9:27 PM, Blankments said:

Moana, Shine, Little Women, The Samuel Project, The Church, The Great Battle, Loving Pablo, Peppermint, Searching, Sui Dhaaga - Made In India, Fahrenheit 11/9, Feng Shui, The Wife, A Crooked Somebody, Golden Job, The Negotiation, Ya Veremos, Blaze, and Life Itself are gone.

Kinky, Cinderella, Christopher Robin, Bigger, Monsters and Men, All Square, Look Away, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, The Predator, and White Boy Rick are gone.

 

Halloween - 127/16/3 (2D/Dolby/Spanish Subbed) total 166 (debut)

A Star is Born - 79 (down 17)

Venom - 69/4/3 (2D/3D/3D with D-BOX) total 76 (down 46)

First Man - 54/3/16 (2D/2D with D-BOX/IMAX) total 73 (down 13)

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween - 57 (down 13)

The Hate U Give - 54 (up 46)

Bad Times at the El Royale - 40 (up 1)

Night School - 33 (down 16)

Smallfoot - 31 (down 19)

The Oath - 23 (debut)

The Sisters Brothers - 17 (up 13)

The House with a Clock in Its Walls - 16 (down 18)

The Old Man and the Gun - 15 (no change)

Beautiful Boy - 10 (debut)
Crazy Rich Asians - 9 (down 5)

A Simple Favor - 8 (down 9)

Free Solo - 5 (debut)

Gosnell: The Trial of America's Biggest Serial Killer - 4 (down 1)

The Nun - 7 (down 2)

Hell Fest - 6 (down 2)

Colette - 3 (down 6)

High Voltage - 2 (debut)

Nigerian Prince - 2 (debut)

[lilmac]

Halloween (2018)	1	$76.50M
A Star is Born	3	$19.30M
Venom	3	$18.90M
First Man	2	$10.30M
Goosebumps 2	2	$10.00M

[Dandeak2000]

19th - 21st October 2018 ($158.5/$625.3/$9,566)

 

1. Halloween $72.5

2. A Star Is Born $19.9/$127.7 (-30%)

3. Venom $17.5/$171.1 (-50%)

4. First Man $9.6/$32 (-40%)

5. Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween $8.7/$30.3 (-45%)

6. The Hate U Give $6/$9.5

7. Smallfoot $5.9/$66.8 (-35%)

8. Night School $5.1/$68 (-35%)

9. Bad Times at The El Royale $3.2/$12.4 (-55%)

10. The House With A Clock In Its Walls $2.1/$65.6 (-45%)

 

26th - 28th October 2018 ($104.3/$808.9/$9,749.6) OCT31: ($848.9/$9,789.6) NOV2: ($12.2/$9,801.8)

 

1. Halloween $31.2/$124.4 (-57%)

2. Hunter Killer $13.5

3. A Star Is Born $13/$149.2 (-35%)

4. Venom $9.6/$187.1 (-45%)

5. First Man $6.2/$42.4 (-35%)

6. Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween $5.2/$38.8 (-40%)

7. The Hate U Give $4.2/$16.7 (-30%)

8. Smallfoot $4/$73.4 (-33%)

9. Johnny English Strikes Again $3.8

10. Night School $3.6/$74 (-30%)

 

2nd - 4th November 2018 ($140/$152.2/$9,941.8)

 

1. Bohemian Rhapsody $42.5

2. Nobody's Fool $22.5

3. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms $18.5

4. Halloween $15.6/$150.4 (-50%)

5. A Star Is Born $9.1/$164.3 (-30%)

6. Venom $5.8/$196.4 (-40%)6.2

7. Hunter Killer $5.4/$22.4 (-60%)

8. First Man $4.3/$49.7 (-30%)

9. Goosebumps 2: Haunted Hotel $3.4/$44.4 (-35%)

10. The Hate U Give $2.9/$21.6 (-30%)

 

 

[mahnamahna]

10/26-10/28

1. Halloween: $32 million ($129 million)

2. A Star is Born: $13.5 million ($146 million)

3. Venom: $10.5 million ($186 million)

4. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $8 million ($39 million)

5. Hunter Killer: $6 million

6. First Man: $5.75 million ($39 million)

7. The Hate U Give: $5.5 million ($19 million)

8. Smallfoot: $5.25 million ($74 million)

9. Johnny English Strikes Again: $3.25 million

10. Night School: $3 million ($71 million)

 

 

11/2-11/4

1. Bohemian Rhapsody: $38 million

2. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $26.5 million

3. Halloween: $13 million ($152 million)

4. Nobody's Fool: $10 million

5. A Star is Born: $8.5 million ($159 million)

6. Venom: $6.5 million ($197 million)

7. The Hate U Give: $4 million ($25 million)

8. First Man: $3.5 million ($44 million)

9. Goosebumps - Haunted Halloween: $3 million ($44 million)

10. Hunter Killer: $3 million ($11 million)

 

11/9-11/11

1. The Grinch: $94 million

2. Bohemian Rhapsody: $17.5 million ($64 million)

3. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $15 million ($46 million)

4. The Girl in tthe Spider's Web: $11 million

5. Overlord: $8 million

6. A Star is Born: $6.5 million ($169 million)

7. Nobody's Fool: $4 million ($16 million)

8. Halloween: $3.5 million ($158 million)

9. Venom: $3 million ($202 million)

10. The Hate U Give: $2.75 million ($29 million)

 

11/16-11/18

1. Fantastic Beasts - The Crimes of Grindelwald: $82.5 million

2. The Grinch: $54 million ($167 million)

3. Widows: $27 million

4. Instant Family: $17 million

5. Bohemian Rhapsody: $10 million ($79 million)

6. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: $9 million ($58 million)

7. The Girl in The Spider's Web: $4 million ($17 million)

8. Overlord: $3.5 million ($13 million)

39. A Star is Born: $3 million ($174 million)

10. Nobody's Fool: $2 million ($19 million)

[filmlover]

Hunter Killer: $7M