Halba Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 (edited) mad max wont get any noms not oscar fare at all the martian is way behind spotlight. martian is 93% 7.9/10 RT. Spotlight is 98% 9.0/10, a different class of film altogether. revenant, brooklyn,hateful eight look like better films than the martian Edited December 11, 2015 by Halba Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 12 minutes ago, Kalo said: It's getting nominated in almost every awards competition so far though, I mean sure not 100% but I have a gut feeling about it and the awards so far seem to be leaning in that direction. I think it'll get nominated, but I don't think it's a lock. Also, The Big Short is getting a wave of extremely positive reviews, many of them talking about the movie's importance and approach. If Spotlight fails, The Big Short is winning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 36 minutes ago, The Panda said: I think it'll get nominated, but I don't think it's a lock. Also, The Big Short is getting a wave of extremely positive reviews, many of them talking about the movie's importance and approach. If Spotlight fails, The Big Short is winning. You're putting too much stock into The Big Short. It has no shot of winning. It could definitely get nominated, but that's its reward. The reviews are very good but not undeniable in anyway, and the director is a guy who whose only previous experience behind the camera is nothing but goofy Will Ferrell comedies (who is not even venturing too far outside of his comfort zone because The Big Short is, for the most part, a comedy), so it's not like there is some great urgency to reward those involved. If Spotlight is going to falter (and let's be honest, it's not at this point), it's not going to be to Adam McKay's first stab at a movie that is at least semi-serious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 Still don't get all the uber love for Mad Max. Yeah it was a good movie, but it wasn't like the second coming of Christ like it's being made out to be almost. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 On 2/12/2015 11:17:07, stripe said: Update. Creed's momentum is huge, while it looks like Bridge of Spies buzz is fading. Mad Max is also gaining strength. And Brooklyn is doing better than I thought. Inside Out 357M The Martian 230M Mad Max 153M Creed 140M Joy 85M Spotlight 35M Revenant 30M Carol 30M Brooklyn 25M Room 10M Time to make an update after globes, sag and precursors. Surprised with The Big Short resurgence. Joy is out of the race. Keep in mind those are grosses before nominations are announced. I made a bold statement in March: the sum of the BO gross of all nominees this year will let the average gross for each movie to be over 100M before the nominations are even announced Inside Out 357M The Martian 230M Mad Max 153M Creed 130M Spotlight 35M Revenant 30M Carol 30M The Big Short 30M Brooklyn 25M Room 10M This is my top 10, but I only feel confident with the bolded films. Still see Straight Outta Compton, Hateful Eight, SW7, Bridge of Spies, Steve Jobs or Trumbo as contenders. In that order. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 6 hours ago, Halba said: mad max wont get any noms Quoted for posterity Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 1 hour ago, 4815162342 said: Quoted for posterity i meant for best picture this is a best picture predictions forum not other categories Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 (edited) DGA noms are announced January 12. PGA noms are announced January 5. BAFTA noms are announced January 8. Critics Choice Awards nominees are announced December 14. Might want to wait for these groups to weigh in before saying it 100% won't get a nom. If it shows up on the PGA noms, it is in. If it shows up at the DGA noms, it is probably in. If it shows up at BAFTA or Critics Choice, its' chances are good. Edited December 11, 2015 by 4815162342 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 since the best picture expansion in '09 30 films have been nominated for the dga award and only 1 missed on a best picture nomination (dragon tattoo). 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 Pretty sure Critics' Choice will nominate Mad Max. BAFTA seems cool enough to go for it too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 The Big Short is up to 81 on Metacritic, WOW! To think it was in the 60's not too long ago. New predictions: 1. Spotlight 2. The Martian 3. The Hateful Eight 4. The Revenant 5. The Big Short 6. Carol 7. Mad Max 8. Inside Out 9. Room 10. Bridge of Spies Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Halba Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 yep big short gets in. its critically acclaimed 1. spotlight 2. the revenant 3. the martian 4. the big short 5. brooklyn 6. carol 7. hateful eight 8. room 9. bridge of spies 10. inside out alts- mad max if they feel like a token nom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 (edited) I'm betting on the BP field having 9 nominees this year. 1. Spotlight 2. The Revenant 3. The Martian 4. Carol 5. Mad Max: Fury Road 6. The Big Short 7. Room 8. The Hateful Eight 9. Inside Out Brooklyn is probably the best possibility of the alternates, but the lack of love outside of Ronan's performance should keep it outside the BP field. Creed has a small chance of making it in if Academy members really like it, but I don't see it happening (for now). Trumbo, Straight Outta Compton and Beasts of No Nation got a boost from their SAG ensemble nominations, so they could be possible spoilers. And while it's probably wishful thinking at this point, if Star Wars: The Force Awakens ends up being absolutely amazing, then I could see it becoming the 10th nominee. Edited December 12, 2015 by Alpha 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 I think that the love for Ronan's performance could be enough to possibly propel Brooklyn as a dark horse candidate. She basically is the movie, so such an occurrence would make sense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 12, 2015 Author Share Posted December 12, 2015 Thing with Compton is-what else will it be nominated for? I can see a sound nomination possibly, but what else? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 1 hour ago, Impact said: Thing with Compton is-what else will it be nominated for? I can see a sound nomination possibly, but what else? Maybe editing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 I don't see Bridge of Spies missing in an expanded field, especially when War Horse didn't. I'd still put it as the most likely 6th nom after the 5 we basically know are getting in (Spotlight, Revenant, Martian, Room, Carol). Too much going for it compared to most of the other contenders. Hateful Eight is probably out of contention with the Globes snubs. Tarantino films have never missed on the big categories there but then gotten them at the Oscars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 I just don't see Spotlight winning since as far as I'm aware, there's no strong emotional appeal to it like most of the Academy's winners in recent years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 12, 2015 Author Share Posted December 12, 2015 32 minutes ago, ThatOneGuy said: Maybe editing? That also, but I can't see it getting any other major noms is the thing. Music films are rarely nominated for screenplay and I don't see anyone saying anything about a standout performance. Ditto on director. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted December 12, 2015 Share Posted December 12, 2015 1 hour ago, Blankments said: I just don't see Spotlight winning since as far as I'm aware, there's no strong emotional appeal to it like most of the Academy's winners in recent years. Nonsense. It's a subtle film, but just about every scene featuring the victims is quietly heartbreaking. The audience with which I saw it was definitely moved (though, to be fair, the setting predisposes New Englanders to have a stronger reaction than the average viewer). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
