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druv10

7.8M Thursday number for AS (courtesy of Rth)

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Counting with that $7.8m Thursday figure we could have this:

 

Friday: $19.5m (+150%)

Saturday: $27.3m (+40%)

Sunday: $17.7m (-35%)

 

$64.5m weekend. $200m cume. -28% drop. That drop would imply to be on track for a x4 multipliier from this second weekend, so it could make another $180-190m. That would be $380-390m total... Is it crazy to think this? I do not think so... Awesome run  :o

Edited by peludo
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If this does a 50m weekend and 320m total i guess some people will be even dissapointed... :huh: . American Sniper is a monster, right, but to talk about 400-500m at this point is ridiculous. Lets keep the expectations under control. Anything over 100m is great for this movie, 300m is crazy, lets wait for the weekend numbers to know better how far it can go.

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Counting with that $7.8m Thursday figure we could have this:

 

Friday: $19.5m (+150%)

Saturday: $27.3m (+40%)

Sunday: $17.7m (-35%)

 

$64.5m weekend. $200m cume. -28% drop. That drop would imply to be on track for a x4 multipliier from this second weekend, so it could make another $180-190m. That would be $380-390m total... Is it crazy to think this? I do not think so... Awesome run  :o

 

I see a bigger drop on Sunday and a smaller increase on Friday....i hope i'm wrong.

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I don't think it will get to 400 million with a 60 million weekend. 4.5 multiplier from this weekend will be difficult even for a juggernaut like AS.

 

Which is why I gave the 20M buffer.  FWIW, 70M sounds crazy, I don't really see that happening.

 

And folks, no one's predicting 500M (I think BJ's the highest at 470?).  There's a difference between stating "if X then Y" and saying "I predict Y".

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60m+ for sure.  It increased 36% last saturday minus previews. That is unprecedented for such a big opener. So BJ's saturday increase is not outrageous. But what we dont know for sure is its friday increase. With strong weekdays it could see a soft increase. I am not sure about that number.

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BJs Breakdown

 

Thur: 7.85m +5%

 

Fri: 18.90+140%

Sat: 33.10 +75%

Sun: 18.40 -45%

 

Wknd: 70.20m -21%

 

Co-Sign.

$70 million, here we come.

 

Fri - $20 million

Sat - $31 million

Sun - $19 million

 

and I would be upset if actuals is $69.8 million on Monday afternoon :angry:

Edited by VGPOP
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That saturday increase is impossible. Minimum 60% increase for sure.

 

Well, if it plays like Black Hawk Down it should look likje

 

Friday: 20.1m

Saturday: 28.1m

Sunday: 21.1m

Weekend: 69.3m

 

Percentages a little different because no football for American Sniper's sunday.

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