X-MEN: APOCALYPSE | 388.5 M overseas | 543.9 M worldwide

[kayumanggi]

X:MEN: DAYS OF FUTURE PAST's overseas gross: 514.2 M

Edited November 13, 2016 by kayumanggi

[MrFanaticGuy34]

$600-630M OS

[Blackout]

excited to see what this can do OS. opens May 19 in many territories.

Edited April 26, 2016 by Blackout

[Arlborn]

I predict around $750M OS.

[Ent]

I think it will do less than DOFP because it will have much more direct and indirect competion than DOFP did.

 

DOFP basicly only had Maleficent as an indirect competion in 2014 as most blockbusters postponed their foreign rollout after the Soccer World Cup.

 

I feel it will do around $450M top on the foreign front.

 

I also don't see any scenario where it could do better than BvS here.

 

BvS did poorly but opened very big.  

 

I don't see this one opening as big and i see its legs shortened by competition, starting with China where it opens alongside Alice2 and faces TMNT2 a week later.

Edited April 26, 2016 by Ent

[newbie BO buff]

Opens next Wednesday (May 18) in country, be seeing it on the weekend.

In 2014 DOFP got 7.2 million (4th place), ahead of Cap WS with 6.9 million.

The buzz is noticeably quiet, I guess people are generally still talking about (and seeing) Cap CW.

[Ent]

I think it will decrease from DOFP.

 

DOFP was released end of May and had basicly no competition but Maleficent because it was the Mundial and i remember a lot of other tentpoles releases were postpone till end of June abroad.

 

In my theater that year, Winter Soldier was up for three weeks and not a single added day after it, then removed to put TASM2  that was released earlier in Europe and stayed in my theater 6 whole weeks then was removed for DOFP that stayed there...10 successive weeks in a row while weekly new releases suddenly slowed down as tentpoles were released a month at least after their domestic release because of the Mundial getting in their way to maximise profits.

 

Apocalypse won't have the same opened window to perform.  Alice2, Warcraft and TMN2 are all released back to back either days before it or days after it in a majority of markets.

 

I definitely think that Apocalypse will end up between the traditional Xmen ww numbers and DOFP numbers that is currently the sole Xmen movie to even reached and passed $500M worldwide  

 

I see $170 - $180M at home and $370 -$400M abroad.

[John Marston]

should still make over 500m overseas

[Quigley]

I doubt this can do more than DoFP. This one will be fighting the ongoing run of Civil War and Angry Birds and will be followed by Alice 2, TMNT 2 and Warcraft. Plus it doesn't look as different as the last one. It is a rather generic superhero film, save-the-world-from-bad-guy bullsh*t. Late legs will be impossible due to the Euro Cup. With China having grown, though, I think it can still make more than $700M. My guess is $225M NA and $495M OS.

[PanaMovie]

The demand for IMAX and 4D here for X-Men is crazy high

 

I expect 500M OS and 

 

But I don't know the if the legs can be affected due to the Euro and Copa America (this year is the whole continent)

[MattW]

80-100m China

290-320m Everywhere else

370-420m Total overseas

[John Marston]

Fox has great overseas marketing. Won't underestimate this 

[Sam]

Sequel to big blockbuster established franchise rarely decrease OS. I don't see this as an exception.

 

600M OS (maybe more depend on China but it looks to have a bad release date there so not sure on the chances)

 

210-220M dom

 

800M+ WW total. 

[keysersoze123]

we have to see how its received. if its a crowd pleaser it will have a good run. I would say for now range is 450-600m. it will do very well in Latin America and Asia.

[Lordmandeep]

I think the big issue unlike DOFP it does not have a clear run WW, 

[Quigley]

14 hours ago, Sam said:

Sequel to big blockbuster established franchise rarely decrease OS. I don't see this as an exception.

 

Let's see. Films that have decreased from immediate predecessor:

• Hobbit: Desolation of Smaug
• Spectre
• Harry Potter and the Chanber of Secrets
• Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkhaban
• Kung Fu Panda 3
• Shrek the Third
• Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian
• Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1
• Quantum of Solace
• Twilight Saga: Eclipse
• Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2
• The Hangover Part III
• The Smurfs 2

True. They're a minority but a sizeable one. The arguments suggesting X-Men: Apocalypse might join the above group do not lack credibility. Nor do the ones saying it will increase from DoFP lack credibility. It does tend to be the case that first sequels do increase over the original (only 3 first sequels are found in the above list). However, as companies make threequels, fourquels and so on, it gets more and more likely that the film will drop in OS. There were also several films on the list that had a marginal increase from their predecessor (within 5%). What I would say is that this is the most likely scenario for DoFP (+/- 5%), so the range is $488.2-$539.6M. My prediction of $495M is within this range.

[zackzack]

On May 13, 2016 at 0:29 AM, Quigley said:

I doubt this can do more than DoFP. This one will be fighting the ongoing run of Civil War and Angry Birds and will be followed by Alice 2, TMNT 2 and Warcraft. Plus it doesn't look as different as the last one. It is a rather generic superhero film, save-the-world-from-bad-guy bullsh*t. Late legs will be impossible due to the Euro Cup. With China having grown, though, I think it can still make more than $700M. My guess is $225M NA and $495M OS.

CW will do most of the business in the first 2 weekends. Problem is whether audience is ready for 4th major demolition derby after the refreshing Deadpool, the exhausting BvS & the satisfying CW? Surely fatigue mixed with promise of more intriguing choices like Suicide Quad & Dr Strange will have some impact. 

[Blackout]

let's not forget this is getting IMAX internationally, whereas DOFP didn't have. should help its gross slightly

[Arlborn]

I think this will please the international audiences more than the domestic audiences, it just seems like it's much more action-based than the previous ones and OS tends to like that.

[grim22]

Belgium	18 May 2016
France	18 May 2016
UK	18 May 2016
Indonesia	18 May 2016
Ireland	18 May 2016
Italy	18 May 2016
Philippines	18 May 2016
Sweden	18 May 2016
Argentina	19 May 2016
Australia	19 May 2016
Azerbaijan	19 May 2016
Bosnia and Herzegovina	19 May 2016
Brazil	19 May 2016
Belarus	19 May 2016
Chile	19 May 2016
Colombia	19 May 2016
Czech Republic	19 May 2016
Germany	19 May 2016
Denmark	19 May 2016
Dominican Republic	19 May 2016
Greece	19 May 2016
Hong Kong	19 May 2016
Croatia	19 May 2016
Hungary	19 May 2016
Israel	19 May 2016
Cambodia	19 May 2016
Kazakhstan	19 May 2016
Republic of Macedonia	19 May 2016
Mexico	19 May 2016
Malaysia	19 May 2016
Netherlands	19 May 2016
New Zealand	19 May 2016
Oman	19 May 2016
Peru	19 May 2016
Portugal	19 May 2016
Serbia	19 May 2016
Russia	19 May 2016
Singapore	19 May 2016
Slovenia	19 May 2016
Slovakia	19 May 2016
Thailand	19 May 2016
Turkey	19 May 2016
Taiwan	19 May 2016
Austria	20 May 2016
Bulgaria	20 May 2016
Estonia	20 May 2016
Spain	20 May 2016
Finland	20 May 2016
India	20 May 2016
Lithuania	20 May 2016
Nigeria	20 May 2016
Norway	20 May 2016
Poland	20 May 2016
Venezuela	20 May 2016
South Korea	25 May 2016
Ukraine	26 May 2016
Canada	27 May 2016
Sri Lanka	27 May 2016
USA	27 May 2016
China	3 June 2016
Japan	11 August 2016