Weekend Estimates (pg44): Spectre 73 | Peanuts 45 | Martian 9.3 | Goosebumps 6.9 | Spies 6.09 | Important forum announcement in first post.

[picores]

I'm giving Spectre a 2.65 multiplier from 72 OW, which leaves it at 190m...under Rogue Nation looks to happen. That's a shock. Anyway this arent bad numbers always you dont compare it with the anomaly that was Skyfall.

 

Peanuts should end in the Hotel Transylvania 2 range. 160-180m.

 

The Martian hold is superb, 230m will happen.

 

 

[JJ-8]

A little underwhelming for Spectre.  I still think it's a fine result for a bond film if you ignore Skyfall for a second.  I still 200m+ is still on the cards for it.

 

Peanuts has opened right in line with what i thought.  a final total between 150m and 200m seems about right.  outside shot of 200m+ but all depends on how well good dino performs.

 

The Martian and bridge of spies impressing me more with their holds... than the openers.  

 

Openers - good result

holdovers (key ones at least) - excellent!

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Disappointed in the Peanuts OW. 

[Ryan Reynolds]

deadline updates

 

5th UPDATE, PM: Spectre, the latest in the James Bond franchise, and the family friendly animated film The Peanuts Movie both held onto their audiences Saturday so they are right in line with this morning’s estimated grosses — Spectre is landing around $73M and Peanuts is doing the Snoopy dance to the tune of $44M to $45M

 

1). Spectre (SONY), 3,929 theaters / $27.5M Fri. (includes $5.25M previews) / $26.6M to $27M Sat. (-3%) / 3-day cume: $72.9M  to $74M+ /Wk 1

2). The Peanuts Movie (FOX), 3,897 theaters / $12M+ Fri. / $19.5M Sat. (+61%) / 3-day cume: $44.9M / Wk 1

3). The Martian (FOX), 2,855 theaters (-363) / $2.5M Fri. (-26%) / $4.3M to $4.6M (+66%) / 3-day cume: $9.47M to $9.75M / Total cume: $197.2M / Wk 6

4). Goosebumps (SONY), 3,051 theaters (-567) / $1.68M Fri. (-44%) / $3.2M Sat. (+92%) / 3-day cume: $7M / Total cume: $66.5M / Wk 4

5). Bridge Of Spies (DIS), 2,767 theaters (-106) / $1.75M Fri. (-28%) / $2.76M Sat. (+58%) / 3-day cume: $6M / Total cume: $54.7M / Wk 3

 

http://deadline.com/2015/11/spectre-the-peanuts-movie-james-bond-box-office-1201610575/

[MrFanaticGuy34]

If Peanuts Movie keeps up with great legs...it could manage to do over $200M DOM....and who would have thought that?....No one.

[filmnerdjamie]

10 hours ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

If Peanuts Movie keeps up with great legs...it could manage to do over $200M DOM....and who would have thought that?....No one.

 

*Raises hand*

 

I saw this coming.

[BadAtGender]

11 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

If Peanuts Movie keeps up with great legs...it could manage to do over $200M DOM....and who would have thought that?....No one.

 

About half a dozen people predicted it at 200m or higher in the Winter Game. And two others had it above 190m.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

15 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

If Peanuts Movie keeps up with great legs...it could manage to do over $200M DOM....and who would have thought that?....No one.

I have a club over 196m. I was thinking it could do 220m. 

[Rman823]

Finally seen The Martian tonight. (Wanted to finish the book first). Glad to see its legs are still good against Spectre. My mom's wanting our family to get together to see Love The Coopers so probably won't catch Spectre till after Mockingjay Part 2. Hulu has some of the Bond movies so I might do a little marathon to hold me over.

Edited November 8, 2015 by Rman823

[MovieMan89]

200 is getting pretty overzealous for Peanuts. I'm sure WOM will be very good, but how exactly is it supposed to get like a 4.3x multi with TGD opening in a couple weeks? That's a better multi than even IO. 

 

Spectre nudges closer and closer to being Quantum of Solace 2.0 by the minute. 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

1 hour ago, filmnerdjamie said:

 

*Raises hand*

 

I saw this coming.

 

Congratulations, Jamie! For being the one with the confidence.  Bodes very well for Blue-Sky.

 

Btw, has anyone seen the movie yet?

Edited November 8, 2015 by MrFanaticGuy34

[kayumanggi]

1 hour ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

If Peanuts Movie keeps up with great legs...it could manage to do over $200M DOM....and who would have thought that?....No one.

 

Some predicted 250 M - 300 M for it.

[kayumanggi]

THE MARTIAN's Saturday number is 4.2 M not 2.8 M.

[BoxOfficeZ]

The Martian is insane. That's like what? 20% drop from last weekend? With Spectre and Peanuts as new competition as well? 

[terrestrial]

10 hours ago, grim22 said:

As I always do post watching the movies, I decided to read the RT reviews. The first 5 reviews I opened were all rated fresh with 2/5 and 2.5/5 scores. Now a 3/5 being either rotten or fresh is possible, but a 2/5 and 2.5/5 being fresh makes no sense. I wonder if it is the critic's decision or RT's decision in the end.

In my understanding the fresh/rotten percentage stands for the enjoyment part of the movie and the rating for its quality. I think I read RT ads an enjoyment decision out of the reviewer's text if the reviewer didn't add an enjoyment detail. There are a few reviewers crassly ignoring the suggestions of RT about rating / fresh/rotten combinations... without a RT intervention to be seen. But at least 2 or 3 of those are not longer RT reviewers so maybe they intervene in the background.

It's partly rather interesting to list some blockbusters... with a high percentage and to take a close look at the ratings.

 

7 hours ago, Chewy said:

 

Luke was supposed to be like 19 right? It's got all the hallmarks. Coming of age story, love triangle, parental drama

 

To a degree there might be a possibility to see it that way for me too.... if the movie would be only about Luke (weighted like so many of those movies are). But IMHO it is also Leia,...

Btw, what's with Leia? His twin, other upbringing and really not naive.... YA like as Luke still is at the beginng of part IV

 

6 hours ago, Jack Nevada said:

Holy shit, 3rd graders still read books?

 

Me running a kind of school library (not 'have to read', only voluntary readers) can say this:

starting with 2nd grade (1st graders are not allowed into it by their teachers as the location is a bit away) there is still a high percentage of pupils willing to read, as long as the person organising the books is willing to hear them out what they are really want to read / try out. Never stop an early reader bcs you think the book isn't good or whatever (exception fanatism gets promoted / too extreme violence... you'll get the drift).

A few read definitively material that even surprises me, some read age recommendations matching and some read material meant for younger people/children.

That counts also for e.g. 10th graders, teachers and parents.

Never expect, never react surprised, never discouraging.... and they'll come back

 

I loan at in average 40 days per year having it open (= past, starting this year I'll have open more), 150 pupils (not all of those loan) = ~ 1800 loans, tendency growing. Comics in 4 languages, Guinness Records, Wimpy Kid included, but also books by writers who won the Nobel prize. And tons of knowledge books, movie tie-ins, behind the scenes....

Many of my pupils are dyslexic and do not like to read according to their parents. I offer a lot of big letter version, including Harry Potter, they come too..... (and over 1000 audio-books, but that I do not count as 'reading')

[a2k]

Wreck It Ralph and Big Hero 6 managed 3.86x and 3.96x. Peanuts shouldn't have a multiplier much less or bigger than those. Would need 4.45-4.5x for 200m with a ~45m ow. Looks out of reach.

[grey ghost]

JW and Peanuts show that nostalgia plus decent quality equals bank.

 

At least recently.

[The Futurist]

I am still not quite sure why JW was so big to be honest, doing Dark Knight-Avengers superhero zeitgeist numbers for "just" another dino movie.

The first movie was enormous though so I guess dinosaurs represent something important for lots of people.

The movie being a success why not, but doing 650m & 1,6B WW is insane.

Maybe it s the Heels porn shots or something.

[terrestrial]

22 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

I am still not quite sure why JW was so big to be honest, doing Dark Knight-Avengers superhero zeitgeist numbers for "just" another dino movie.

The first movie was enormous though so I guess dinosaurs represent something important for lots of people.

The movie being a success why not, but doing 650m & 1,6B WW is insane.

Maybe it s the Heels porn shots or something.

Do you know knowledge books like the Eyewitness series by Dorling Kindersley?

Their Dinosaur book is still a very much loved book in my library (often loaned out). Was the same with e.g. my 6 nephews (35y up), was so 15y back to... (and the girls also loan it, but not the same percentage)

Btw, those pupils haven't usually seen any of the Jurrasic... movies, first the interest into dinos, than the live action movies

I haven't asked about Ace Age... but for my nephews I think those don't count anyway, see age.

 

edit to add: if you ever happen to visit Italy, look up Parco Natura Viva, they mix a real safari zoo (living animals) with life sized dinos, my nephews then loved it. (google picture search?)

Edited November 8, 2015 by terrestrial

[Fake]

5 hours ago, Rth said:

Greetings from Romania 

 

Sat

Spec  27.2, PM 19.4,GB 3.2,martian 2.8,BOS 2.7

Spectre vs QoS comparison:

 

Friday: 28.0 vs 27.0

Saturday: 27.2 vs 25.8

 

QoS Total:168.4M

 

If the legs are also similar, then Spectre will probably finish with 175-180M. 200M is probably gone.