Elessar Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 I didn't do any calculations, my gut says if ROTK with a wednesday opening and without gargantuan THU previews drops 30% over a decade ago, TFA will drop 50%. Who's with me? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) Out, somewhere in the high 30's-low 40's Edited December 20, 2015 by WrathOfHan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Community Manager Water Bottle Posted December 20, 2015 Community Manager Share Posted December 20, 2015 In. Obviously this is going to fall big. It'll still do over $100 million but barely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawk the Hutt Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 In 53%, only because of the massive previews. If it drops less than 50%, beating Avatar is locked. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
syntaxerror Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Out. I say 130-140. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 In 110 mil 2nd weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cochofles Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Hater...troll... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 20, 2015 Author Share Posted December 20, 2015 It can drop over 50% and still get the 2nd weekend record. This is not about WOM, it's just the nature of box office. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bapi Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 OUT - 46% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Hmmm. Interesting. With Christmas day being on Friday it just may be enough to keep it from going over 50%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensive Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 I would be in, but christmas will boost. So, Out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 I'm thinking the OW actuals will be around $242m. Take out previews and that is $185m. 35% drop from there is $120m which is slightly over 50% drop from $242m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
babz06 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 IN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Out 48% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Touch and go, but yeah, I'm in. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Think I have to be in. It's the holidays, weekdays are going to be huge next week which will kill some of the engagement at the weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fancyarcher Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 In - 52% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldenstate5 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 I want to say in due to the holiday week and weekend... but it is Star Wars. JW was 49%, and the conditions were just familiar enough (start of summer vaca) to say out, but it'll probably match JW with 48 or 49%. Repeat factor will help nudge it in that direction IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 (edited) 6 minutes ago, goldenstate5 said: I want to say in due to the holiday week and weekend... but it is Star Wars. JW was 49%, and the conditions were just familiar enough (start of summer vaca) to say out, but it'll probably match JW with 48 or 49%. Repeat factor will help nudge it in that direction IMO. JW made $18.5m previews instead of $57m and it also had a 2% Sunday drop due to Father's Day. That $57m preview number is a big problem for sub-50% second weekend even with Christmas boost. If we can get a big jump in actuals this weekend, it will mean better chance for sub-50% drop next weekend. Edited December 20, 2015 by redfirebird2008 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
