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CJohn

STAR WARS TFA MONDAY ACTUAL - 40.1M, THE FORCE IS STRONGER THAN AVATAR! (pg48)

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Just now, superduperm said:

Tuesday is going to be very interesting. Avatar only dropped 1.8%. This will probably take a decent dive though...

 

On Discount Tuesday during Christmas Break?  I don't think so, even with the massive grosses TFA is bringing in.  Watch it do another $35-40 million  Wednesday will be the nosedive, if anything.

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6 minutes ago, Ozymandias said:

What is the 2D/3D split for this likely gonna end up being after its run?  80%/20%?

 

It was at ~53/47 through Sunday.  That 47% was an estiamated 28% standard 3D, 12% IMAX, 7% PLF (RPX/ETX/XD/etc.).  It'll dip gradually, but if we're getting a 150M+ 2nd weekend, there's still a degree of saturation at play, even with a lot of shows, so standard 3D grosses will remain fairly high, and IMAX will be absolutely huge this coming weekend (I expect 20-25M after a >30M OW).  I doubt it ever drops as low as 80/20, maybe more like 65/35 if it really plays really long.

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9 minutes ago, druv10 Maul said:

If SW7 follows Avatar for rest of the week

 

39M(-33.8%) 

38.22M(-2%) 

39.06M(+2%)

26.56M(-32%)

55M (+107%)

67.32M (+22.4%)

57.89M(-14%)

 

180.31M(-27.3%)

 

571.05M after 2nd weekend 

I may be going crazy here... but $750M by New Year's Day?

Edited by superduperm
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1 minute ago, druv10 Maul said:

If SW7 follows Avatar for rest of the week

 

39M(-33.8%) 

38.22M(-2%) 

39.06M(+2%)

26.56M(-32%)

55M (+107%)

67.32M (+22.4%)

57.89M(-14%)

 

180.31M(-27.3%)

 

571.05M after 2nd weekend 

I have been extremely optimistic. 284OW prediction. believed each daily would be higher than deadline and that tomorrow will bump not drop, but to continue to follow Avatar thru the weekend I cant see. That had less screens and a snow storm during OW that kept demand up w a smaller supply. I think it follows thru Thursday but the bump will be smaller on Friday thru sunday. I assume with all the new openers it will have same theater count but less showtimes.

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