lilmac Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 3 minutes ago, The Panda Menace said: Why a 50m drop? This weekend was a sub 40% drop off a weekend including 55.7m worth of previews. That's incredibly impressive. Even with a bigger drop on Sunday, I see no reason why next weekend is less than 100m You are right, impressive indeed. I see this performing a little 'worse' than ROTK. ROTK is the closest model not Avatar. I would be pleasantly surprised if this drops 40% or less. I highly highly doubt $100m is in the cards. About $76m for the 3rd weekend which is also incredibly impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 9 minutes ago, wildphantom said: screendaily says their sources are telling them it's tracking for a $150 million opening weekend in China WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 5 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said: Link? http://www.screendaily.com/box-office/force-awakens-hits-1bn-global/5098402.article?blocktitle=LATEST-FILM-NEWS&contentID=40562 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VGPOP Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 TFA destroys 10 day record. Not by $10 million? Not by $20 million? Not even $50 million. $141+ million dollars. Mother of God. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Two biggest weekends in history. 1. Dec. 18–20, 2015 $305,552,048 2. Dec. 25–27, 2015 $286,363,591 3. Jun. 12–14, 2015 $266,035,144 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 10 minutes ago, Tesseract said: To reach $1B domestically TFA needs another $456M. The past week (Mon-Sun) it made $296M. Therefore it needs 100 / (1 + 456/296) = 39% or better weekly drops, starting next Monday. If it holds well this week (say 20% - 30% drops) then by the end of the week the required weekly holds for $1B do not seem completely unrealistic. I am settling on $91m with a re-release in 2025 getting us to $1bn. I don't want people to be disappointed if this thing doesn't hit $1bn or starts dropping after it eats up demand like a rathtar. To beat the attendance for Avatar, TPM, ESB, and ROTJ is amazing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 2 minutes ago, lilmac said: You are right, impressive indeed. I see this performing a little 'worse' than ROTK. ROTK is the closest model not Avatar. I would be pleasantly surprised if this drops 40% or less. I highly highly doubt $100m is in the cards. About $76m for the 3rd weekend which is also incredibly impressive. It hasn't really followed ROTK so far. And I'm not expecting an Avatar like drop, but I don't think a sizable drop is happening until the week after New Years. Theres no new releases to compete with and take screens, and we're coming off of a second weekend not an opening one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bladels Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 3 minutes ago, lilmac said: You are right, impressive indeed. I see this performing a little 'worse' than ROTK. ROTK is the closest model not Avatar. I would be pleasantly surprised if this drops 40% or less. I highly highly doubt $100m is in the cards. About $76m for the 3rd weekend which is also incredibly impressive. It's holding better than ROTK all week. Why you "see" this performing worse than ROTK ??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daxtreme Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 10 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said: Link? http://www.screendaily.com/box-office/force-awakens-hits-1bn-global/5098402.article?blocktitle=LATEST-FILM-NEWS&contentID=40562 Apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Wait, did I miss CJohn's celebration/meltdown that HOTS was #3 all time theatre drops? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
misafeco Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 19 minutes ago, The Panda Menace said: Disney's estimates are probably on the low end if last weekend says anything about it. I could see an increase to 155-156m or so. A solid second weekend. Solid? Are you disappointed? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 40 minutes ago, SteveJaros said: I keep saying TFA was going to hit the breaks. Thought it would be around $400m, now I guess it's $550m, LOL. Still not convinced it will catch Avatar DOM. I can't tell if that is sarcasm. Cuz like metaphors they don't go over my head because my reflexes are good and I will catch it. I'll play though 550m We need an unprecedented holiday Monday drop of 50% to 25m, followed by unlikely 10% daily drops thru thursday(mite be unprecedentd as well)for an 80m midweek. 630m That would then lead to 70m weekend - 55% like tyler perrys a madeas christmas. A rare precedent. 700m Then the biggest series of all time with a 37 year old history, 3 generations of fans, the WOM pulling in the non fan non movie goer, all the repeat viewers, with little competition, that blew away the OW record then followed up with an even bigger 2nd weekend record, percentage wise, will fail to make less than 1 multi from its 3rd weekend. Is there an asteroid on its way that we don't know about? It will have to be something biblical to fail 760m 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriggerMike Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 Third weekend should be around 95-110M. Still not sold on 1B domestic but the idea is starting to grow on me... If TFA holds with 30M+ weekdays again and 100M third weekend i will be on board. This RUN is amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 26 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said: Not quite. Missed a glorious opportunity for some Lee Corso action there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXR vs XXR Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 1 hour ago, SteveJaros said: I keep saying TFA was going to hit the breaks. Thought it would be around $400m, now I guess it's $550m, LOL. Still not convinced it will catch Avatar DOM. Really? Even if it dives 50% from the past week (which it won't due to the holidays), it will be at $700 million by next Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 21 minutes ago, lilmac said: I see a 50% drop next weekend. Still beats the 3rd wknd record And i see Hateful 8 OPENING to 300 Mill. Both have ewual chance of happening. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fullbuster Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 $1.09B WW so fast is just gigantic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vadermort Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 6 minutes ago, eXtacy said: Two biggest weekends in history. 1. Dec. 18–20, 2015 $305,552,048 2. Dec. 25–27, 2015 $286,363,591 3. Jun. 12–14, 2015 $266,035,144 I am confused here, how did Dec 18-20 do 305m ?? It actually did 529m....correct me if im wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Community Manager Water Bottle Posted December 27, 2015 Community Manager Share Posted December 27, 2015 That's a small drop for SW. But hey according to Ethan it's getting toxic WOM. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 27, 2015 Share Posted December 27, 2015 I think it may develop weaker-than-ROTK legs after the holidays. 2015-6 is a very different market than 2003-4. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
