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Wednesday: BvS $8.1M

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> NEW RELEASES
6 - God's Not Dead 2 Pure Flix 2,300+ - - - - - - 1
10 - Meet the Blacks Freestyle Releasing 1,011 - - - - - - 1
33 77 Everybody Wants Some!! Paramount 19 - - - - - - 1
36 - Miles Ahead Sony Classics 4 - - - - - - 1
38 - The Dark Horse Broad Green Pictures 2 - - - - - - 1
39 - Kill Me, Deadly Indican 2 - - - - - - 1
> EXPANDING
1 1 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice Warner Bros. 4,256 +14 +0.3% - - - - 2
2 3 Zootopia Buena Vista 3,698 +28 +0.8% - - - - 5
3 4 My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 Universal 3,179 +46 +1.5% - - - - 2
4 5 Miracles from Heaven TriStar 3,155 +108 +3.5% - - - - 3
9 30 Eye in the Sky Bleecker Street 1,029 +906 +736.6% - - - - 4
11 15 Hello, My Name is Doris Roadside Attractions 964 +479 +98.8% - - - - 4
12 78 I Saw the Light Sony Classics 741 +736 +14,720.0% - - - - 2
13 29 The Witch A24 666 +520 +356.2% - - - - 7
19 24 How to Be Single Warner Bros. 242 +54 +28.7% - - - - 8
26 41 The Big Short Paramount 108 +41 +61.2% - - - - 17
28 36 Triple 9 Open Road Films 101 +15 +17.4% - - - - 6
29 46 Remember (US Release) A24 60 +11 +22.4% - - - - 4
30 80 Midnight Special Warner Bros. 58 +53 +1,060.0% - - - - 3
32 55 Krisha A24 26 +4 +18.2% - - - - 3
> NO CHANGE
14 13 Star Wars: The Force Awakens Buena Vista 552 - - - - - - 16
35 72 Ran (2016 re-issue) Rialto 6 - - - - - - 6
> DECLINING
5 6 10 Cloverfield Lane Paramount 2,511 -291 -10.4% - - - - 4
7 7 Deadpool Fox 1,968 -368 -15.8% - - - - 8
8 8 London Has Fallen Focus Features 1,510 -663 -30.5% - - - - 5
15 10 Whiskey Tango Foxtrot Paramount 457 -390 -46.0% - - - - 5
16 12 Risen Sony / Columbia 425 -209 -33.0% - - - - 7
17 16 Kung Fu Panda 3 Fox 396 -84 -17.5% - - - - 10
18 14 The Revenant Fox 334 -172 -34.0% - - - - 15
20 22 Spotlight Open Road Films 202 -4 -1.9% - - - - 22
21 21 Daddy's Home Paramount 159 -49 -23.6% - - - - 15
22 19 Eddie the Eagle Fox 158 -104 -39.7% - - - - 6
23 9 The Young Messiah Focus Features 152 -722 -82.6% - - - - 4
24 20 The Lady in the Van Sony Classics 142 -74 -34.3% - - - - 18
25 27 Kapoor & Sons - Since 1921 FIP 122 -31 -20.3% - - - - 3
27 25 Race (2016) Focus Features 104 -76 -42.2% - - - - 7
31 39 Knight of Cups Broad Green Pictures 28 -40 -58.8% - - - - 5
34 50 Room A24 14 -20 -58.8% - - - - 25
37 79 Ingrid Bergman: In Her Own Words Rialto 3 -2 -40.0% - - - - 21

 

Still waiting to see what Allegiant's drop is :lol:TFA isn't losing a single theater, goddamn. Pretty insane how fast WTF has fallen given how the holds were before Easter screwed it over. The one thing I'm noticing around Orlando is that Deadpool is going split screen at some theaters; Disney is also putting it at Fork and Screen only.

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wading through pages of BvS vs. Every other damn comic book movie is bad enough.... add the wrestlemania crap and I thought I had stumbled into the Conversation thread - do we not have individual threads for this stuff?? #wherearethemods?

 

So back to topic.....

 

BvS Wednesday drop is steep in comparison to the rest of the films. I am actually surprised that more didn't fall over -25% that being said an 8.1m weekday in March is nothing to sneeze at :)

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Someone seriously tried to discredit Heath Ledger's performance in TDK and tried to put BvS on the level of TDK. Okay you BvS homers have officially lost it. Heath Ledger carried TDK, won an Oscar for it and his performance is still talked about. The only thing BvS has going for it is the Razzies it's going to collect next year. 

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Ouch, can't wait to see this second weekend fall LOL. It's going to be as epic as this movie was SUPPOSED to be :P

 

I have anthropomorphized TFA in theaters and TFA on Blu-ray. They are bothers, fighting to conquer their own kingdoms, but they always have this sibling rivalry. Now the Blu-Ray Brother is saying to the Theater Brother, "My brother, your campaign has ended, you have vanquished all from the land, your time has come to pass along your mighty quest to me in a new land!" Theater Brother: "No, there is work to be done to secure the land against future invaders. We must be vigilant. There is no stopping now! Even as we speak, the next mega blockbuster is plotting against us." "My brother, I can give you only until next Tuesday, and then you need to step aside and let me do my job." 

 

Theater Brother storms away, "The discount theater land awaits, and you will not stop me from it! It is my birthright." ;)

Edited by JonathanLB
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13 minutes ago, a2knet said:

With a 7.2m Thu probably, the movie will be at 208.5m.

I think a 57.5m 2nd weekend will happen and take it to 266m.

 

F7 had a 59.58m weekend and added a further 101.5m to it's cume.

So giving BVS 95-100m more, it's final total would be 360-365m.

 

Looking at the Wed drop this looks optimistic actually, but Wed is just one day. Am hoping for a sub-10% drop on Thu and if it's closer to 7.5m, 360-365m won't be optimistic but more realistic with the optimistic possibility of 365-370m. If the Thu  drop is a harsh one, then would retread further to 355-360m.

 

My original prediction for final Dom was $363m, with a 2.2 multiplier from a $165m ow, then I updated for $167m and kept my same multiplier. Now I'm thinking that the multiplier will go at the very most to 2.1, so a $348.6m dom, and I could change that after the weekend numbers.

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3 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said:

 

My original prediction for final Dom was $363m, with a 2.2 multiplier from a $165m ow, then I updated for $167m and kept my same multiplier. Now I'm thinking that the multiplier will go at the very most to 2.1, so a $348.6m dom, and I could change that after the weekend numbers.

 

Come On Ijack there isn't a precedent for it to gross less than 350m the only one to open this high (150m+) and not do that was SM3 and to be frank this film outside of a couple of you hasn't shown nearly that divisive word of mouth. If it drops over 70% this weekend then I might concede you have a point, but be a voice of reason amongst the crazies and not a part of them.

 

And you should know by now its not cause I have feelings one way or the other for the film - still haven't seen it, but I try to be as non partial as possible when predicting this stuff.

Edited by narniadis
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13 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Come On Ijack there isn't a precedent for it to gross less than 350m the only one to open this high (150m+) and not do that was SM3 and to be frank this film outside of a couple of you hasn't shown nearly that divisive word of mouth. If it drops over 70% this weekend then I might concede you have a point, but be a voice of reason amongst the crazies and not a part of them.

 

And you should know by now its not cause I have feelings one way or the other for the film - still haven't seen it, but I try to be as non partial as possible when predicting this stuff.

 

Look at the Twitter POS/NEG ratio. The hints of negative buzz are obvious everywhere for those not ignoring it. If this goes under F7 this weekend, if the trend follows... it's over, it will indeed fall under $350m Dom final. And I'm not coming from a place of bias, I'm analyzing it despite the bias. If it goes over F7 this weekend, I'm wrong. If it goes below, it's because I'm right and this is going under $350m. I'll own it if I'm wrong.

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4 minutes ago, druv10 said:

In all of the negativity, SW7 back in the top 10 and with the best hold as well. 

What negativity ? oh you mean some of the BvS trashing -- they just can't handle it knowing BvS will be making a killing this weekend.

I guess BvS is too great for their little minds to comprehend. -_-

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2 minutes ago, BKB IS CAPTAIN AMERICA said:

 

BvsS will make around 55-60M in it's 2nd weekend..

I'll be surprise if it doesn't go above that, since Fandango has been reporting strong ticket sales, and repeat business ..and movietickets is still ticking for BvS.

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28 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Come On Ijack there isn't a precedent for it to gross less than 350m the only one to open this high (150m+) and not do that was SM3 and to be frank this film outside of a couple of you hasn't shown nearly that divisive word of mouth. If it drops over 70% this weekend then I might concede you have a point, but be a voice of reason amongst the crazies and not a part of them.

 

And you should know by now its not cause I have feelings one way or the other for the film - still haven't seen it, but I try to be as non partial as possible when predicting this stuff.

 

I agree. Right now, I'm thinking 355-360M but for that it needs to stabilize and get couple of decent holds after the 65%+ drop this weekend. 

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37 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Come On Ijack there isn't a precedent for it to gross less than 350m the only one to open this high (150m+) and not do that was SM3 and to be frank this film outside of a couple of you hasn't shown nearly that divisive word of mouth. If it drops over 70% this weekend then I might concede you have a point, but be a voice of reason amongst the crazies and not a part of them.

 

And you should know by now its not cause I have feelings one way or the other for the film - still haven't seen it, but I try to be as non partial as possible when predicting this stuff.

It is currently at 71% on RT (audience score) and 7.4 on IMDB and will almost certainly drop below that. It is polarizing.

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