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THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS | 507.1 M overseas | 875.5 M worldwide

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MinaTakla Box Office Gold

MinaTakla

Posted
Posted

 

View: BY COUNTRY | BY WEEKEND
 

Country
(click to view weekend breakdown) 		Dist. Release
Date 		Opening
Wknd 		% of
Total 		Total Gross / As Of
FOREIGN TOTAL - 6/23/16 $14,197,447 4.3% $327,197,309 8/21/16
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Argentina UPI 7/21/16 $3,837,781 31.8% $12,076,577 8/21/16
Austria UPI 7/29/16 $750,000 18.7% $4,008,962 8/21/16
Belgium UPI 8/3/16 $1,235,212 43.9% $2,811,159 8/21/16
Bolivia UPI 8/4/16 $159,000 34.2% $464,634 8/21/16
Bulgaria UPI 8/5/16 $190,065 29.5% $643,739 8/21/16
Chile UPI 7/21/16 $1,720,309 33.6% $5,121,000 8/21/16
China UPI 8/2/16 $15,718,490 27.7% $56,689,116 8/21/16
Colombia UPI 7/21/16 $1,533,428 38.4% $3,993,620 8/21/16
Croatia UPI 8/18/16 $104,030 100% $104,030 8/21/16
Czech Republic UPI 8/11/16 $654,297 52.3% $1,251,474 8/21/16
Denmark UPI 8/4/16 $1,205,257 50.9% $2,368,827 8/21/16
Ecuador UPI 7/22/16 $434,007 25.9% $1,677,317 8/21/16
Egypt UPI 8/10/16 $44,965 44.9% $100,221 8/21/16
Estonia UPI 8/19/16 $188,818 100% $188,818 8/21/16
Finland UPI 8/5/16 $647,315 30.7% $2,111,863 8/21/16
France UPI 7/27/16 $5,854,000 31.9% $18,367,059 8/21/16
Germany UPI 7/28/16 $7,110,257 28% $25,363,946 8/21/16
Greece UPI 8/18/16 $287,739 100% $287,739 8/21/16
Hong Kong UPI 6/30/16 $1,868,237 44.9% $4,158,297 8/21/16
Hungary UPI 8/4/16 $774,778 36.1% $2,146,369 8/21/16
Iceland UPI 8/5/16 $36,667 19.4% $188,703 8/21/16
India UPI 7/8/16 $493,244 54.4% $907,000 8/7/16
Israel UPI 6/30/16 $581,319 12.7% $4,562,780 8/21/16
Japan UPI 8/11/16 $9,632,000 42% $22,927,526 8/21/16
Latvia UPI 8/19/16 $223,864 100% $223,864 8/21/16
Lebanon UPI 8/18/16 $82,061 100% $82,061 8/21/16
Lithuania UPI 8/5/16 $99,732 26.8% $372,802 8/21/16
Mexico UPI 7/29/16 $7,594,000 36.4% $20,859,568 8/21/16
Netherlands UPI 8/4/16 $932,416 15.1% $6,160,326 8/21/16
Norway UPI 6/24/16 $778,447 24.8% $3,136,412 8/21/16
Pakistan UPI 7/8/16 - - $76,366 8/21/16
Peru UPI 8/4/16 $1,514,505 43.1% $3,511,153 8/21/16
Portugal UPI 8/18/16 $964,937 105.8% $911,770 8/21/16
Romania UPI 8/5/16 $226,573 32.7% $693,543 8/21/16
Russia - CIS UPI 8/18/16 $16,300,650 100% $16,300,650 8/21/16
Serbia & Montenegro UPI 8/11/16 $127,354 63.6% $200,147 8/21/16
Slovakia CinemArt 8/11/16 $333,196 54.3% $613,962 8/21/16
Slovenia Karantanija 8/12/16 $60,098 21.9% $274,347 8/21/16
South Korea UPI 8/3/16 $4,652,347 29.8% $15,628,939 8/21/16
Spain UPI 8/5/16 $4,529,920 28.7% $15,795,612 8/21/16
Sweden UPI 8/5/16 $1,226,378 36.3% $3,376,205 8/21/16
Switzerland UPI 7/27/16 $909,000 24.5% $3,707,061 8/21/16
Taiwan UPI 7/1/16 $2,006,110 38.1% $5,269,910 8/21/16
Thailand UPI 7/28/16 $158,813 12.1% $1,309,691 8/21/16
Turkey UIP 8/5/16 $289,989 24.8% $1,169,609 8/21/16
Ukraine UPI 8/4/16 $818,335 35.6% $2,300,334 8/21/16
United Arab Emirates UPI 8/18/16 $594,024 100% $594,024 8/21/16
United Kingdom UPI 6/24/16 $13,419,000 30.4% $44,097,402 8/21/16
Uruguay UPI 7/28/16 $130,511 36.8% $355,000 8/21/16
Venezuela UPI 8/5/16 $148,000 30.7% $481,528 8/21/16
Vietnam UPI 7/1/16 $806,141 30.2% $2,670,990 8/21/16
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Jason Box Office Gold

Jason

Posted
Posted (edited)
13 hours ago, MinaTakla said:

New chart - @Jason, any updated predictions for worst/best case scenarios for the OS run? Last time we discussed this a month ago, 450m OS seemed to be the most realistic. Are you seeing a different attainable figure now?

 

The markets that opened up to the weekend of August 12-14 ("current markets") should have a total of close to $380M (individual estimates add up to $381M). Markets that opened up this past weekend should be pretty close to $35M (individual estimates add up to $36M).

 

As before, the following table groups the markets by opening date, and shows your original estimates from earlier, a raw unrounded calculation for those markets combined, my estimates (from August 4 where applicable), and the adjusted ER totals of Despicable Me 2, Minions, Inside Out, and Zootopia.

Quote
Market Grouping Original MT Calculation My Estimate DM2 Minions IO Zootopia
Current markets (up to July 17) $66 $68,551,639 $67 (Aug. 4) $74,515,218 $98,636,431 $73,509,923 $52,724,922
Current markets (up to July 24) $98 $93,642,337 $98 (Aug. 4) $91,866,930 $141,908,650 $100,771,073 $73,634,667
Opening markets (July 31) $85 $87,412,117 $97 (Aug. 4) $107,647,741 $154,971,837 $90,566,876 $86,929,070
Remaining markets (after July 31) $181 n/a $250 (Aug. 4) $250,157,121 $386,608,783 $258,929,893 $482,475,571
Remaining markets - China + SK $151 n/a $185 (Aug. 4) $195,985,931 $307,901,554 $211,643,141 $223,996,795
Current markets (up to Aug 14) $276 $387,764,031 $381 $335,959,955 $538,592,625 $353,090,619 $548,884,103
Current markets - (China + SK) $246 $304,835,228 $301 $281,788,765 $459,885,396 $305,803,866 $290,405,326
Current markets - (Chn + SK + Jap) $229 $250,884,808 $251 $258,825,422 $410,227,253 $268,031,168 $218,619,385
Opening markets (Aug 21) $21 $34,293,670 $36 $24,783,296 $40,083,197 $21,860,679 $38,620,526
Remaining markets (after Aug 21) $66 n/a $80 $88,928,541 $104,813,447 $75,316,545 $55,534,680

 

It is now apparent that Pets will gross well above DM2 and IO in current markets, but upon closer examination, Pets did particularly well in China, South Korea, and Japan. The total for Pets outside of these markets is tracking just slightly below that of DM2 and IO. The remaining markets for Pets are Australia/NZ, Brazil, Italy, and a handful of smaller Asian markets. Pets has been pretty comparable overall in Europe and Latin America, and I think it will tend a little more closely to DM2 in the smaller Asian markets. My estimate for remaining markets: $80M.

 

Total OS estimate for Pets is then 380+35+80 = $495M. Definitely has a chance of passing $500M, although could also fall just short.

 

Domestic estimate is $370M, WW = $865M.

 

Raw data hidden below for those interested:

Spoiler

All territories with individual estimates and calculations where applicable, as well as adjusted ER gross of DM2, Minions, IO, and Zootopia:

Quote
Country Original MT Calculation My Estimate DM2 Minions IO Zootopia
Australia $17 n/a n/a $26,939,263 $22,846,430 $22,795,868 $20,780,070
Brazil $17 n/a n/a $24,452,336 $35,573,316 $13,238,771 $11,512,194
Indonesia $2 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Italy $14 n/a n/a $18,486,309 $26,160,098 $26,476,577 $12,269,242
Malaysia $2 n/a n/a $3,812,936 $4,601,977 $1,809,286 $2,969,081
MENA region $2.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Mongolia $0.5 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
New Zealand $3 n/a n/a $5,004,830 $4,225,645 $3,456,152 $2,687,802
Panama $3 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Philippines $2.5 n/a n/a $4,917,651 $6,230,279 $3,682,905 $996,429
Singapore $2.5 n/a n/a $5,315,217 $5,175,702 $3,856,986 $4,319,861
Estonia $0.5 $928,613 $1 n/a $758,785 $347,328 $393,779
Greece $1.5 $1,149,806 $1 $1,563,068 $2,106,791 $2,118,826 $911,553
Latvia - $1,528,082 $1.5 n/a $827,744 $277,681 n/a
Lebanon - $361,502 $0.5 $806,957 $1,044,031 $370,438 $167,000
Portugal $2.5 $5,368,217 $5 $1,451,304 $5,235,219 $2,465,421 $2,005,537
Russia - CIS $14 $22,909,091 $25 $17,870,601 $25,481,960 $14,186,023 $33,082,614
United Arab Emirates $2.5 $2,048,359 $2 $3,091,366 $4,628,667 $2,094,962 $2,060,043
Czech Republic $2 $2,758,420 $2.5 $1,462,154 $4,271,995 $1,444,476 $1,367,299
Japan $17 $53,950,420 $50 $22,963,343 $49,658,143 $37,772,698 $71,785,941
Slovenia $1.5 $571,147 $0.5 $374,738 $148,494 $135,669 $185,189
Slovakia (w. Slovenia) $1,214,924 $1.5 $666,944 $2,059,696 $664,163 $849,011
Belgium $2.5 $3,644,530 $3.5 $4,441,474 $8,795,623 $4,021,327 $4,329,861
Bolivia $0.5 $703,139 $0.5 $988,704 $1,409,394 $1,004,442 $902,997
Bulgaria $1 $949,132 $1 $610,737 $1,223,909 $606,074 $975,394
China $25 $62,353,933 $60 $48,004,054 $63,585,707 $14,217,426 $227,281,412
Denmark $2.5 $2,643,626 $2.5 $2,869,083 $5,330,737 $5,952,818 $3,889,010
Finland $2.5 $3,168,917 $3 $2,748,209 $4,514,075 $2,894,021 $1,598,485
Hungary $1.5 $3,137,386 $3 $1,485,822 $3,481,759 $1,214,313 $1,413,203
Iceland $0.5 $274,818 $0.3 $311,925 $460,816 $283,725 $316,034
Lithuania - $582,169 $0.5 $543,840 $1,215,222 $366,459 $369,865
Netherlands $4 $9,129,363 $9 $9,137,230 $14,266,392 $5,592,711 $5,601,988
Peru $2 $4,310,428 $4 $3,421,646 $5,583,283 $3,596,653 $4,221,783
Romania $1 $882,301 $1 n/a $2,077,430 $765,593 $1,231,794
South Korea $5 $20,574,871 $20 $6,167,136 $15,121,522 $33,069,326 $31,197,365
Spain $12 $20,151,405 $20 $15,031,734 $26,625,570 $23,447,791 $14,619,139
Sweden $3 $4,236,611 $4 $5,138,167 $7,317,172 $5,279,388 $6,668,763
Turkey $2 $2,093,579 $2 $2,542,833 $3,595,055 $1,354,163 $1,315,413
Ukraine $3 $3,541,113 $3.5 $652,970 $1,735,997 $846,227 $2,238,466
Venezuela $3 $666,056 $0.5 $6,882,543 $17,170,902 $16,164,548 $1,034,752
Switzerland $2.5 $5,171,289 $5 n/a $2,063,247 $1,058,660 $4,927,202
Mexico $27 $23,248,656 $23.5 $33,214,618 $36,965,457 $26,181,345 $15,666,976
Germany $35 $35,130,437 $35 $32,814,662 $62,648,924 $30,858,110 $32,874,508
France $20 $22,870,357 $23 $35,004,699 $43,611,461 $27,900,668 $30,744,749
Austria $2.5 $4,410,668 $4.5 $3,855,189 $6,995,486 $3,156,203 $3,617,863
Thailand - $1,383,483 $1.4 $2,062,894 $3,214,270 $1,591,979 $3,530,435
Uruguay - $368,517 $0.4 $695,679 $1,536,239 $878,570 $494,540
Argentina $20 $13,071,513 $13 $6,718,510 $22,027,596 $11,760,508 $8,558,035
Chile $6.5 $5,680,590 $6 $3,975,281 $9,945,014 $7,216,977 $4,341,007
Colombia $4 $4,397,236 $5.7 $5,032,381 $7,892,349 $5,472,773 $5,515,743
Ecuador $1 $1,864,993 $1.9 $1,625,541 $3,407,260 $2,810,893 $2,494,960
Pakistan - $76,366 $0.1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
India CM-$66M $907,000 $0.9 $800,434 $2,469,651 $1,338,278 $1,667,974
Israel CM-$66M $5,504,509 $5.5 $2,850,064 $5,480,535 $4,823,292 $1,615,000
Taiwan CM-$66M $5,275,088 $5.3 n/a $9,871,677 $4,565,175 $8,849,025
Hong Kong CM-$66M $4,186,150 $4 $4,201,660 $10,760,235 $8,700,678 $7,043,512
Vietnam CM-$66M $2,671,182 $2.7 n/a $3,994,399 $1,062,564 n/a
United Kingdom CM-$66M $46,774,324 $46.7 $63,694,079 $61,143,180 $50,006,212 $31,091,437
Norway CM-$66M $3,233,386 $3.2 $2,968,981 $4,916,755 $3,013,724 $2,457,974

 

The estimates for films in markets opening before the 14th were "calculated" by determining the weekly gross from the 14th to the 21st and then approximating the remaining gross using the weekend drop (if less than 30%, 30% drop was used - somewhat arbitrary):

Quote
Country Week # OW 14-Aug 21-Aug Increase WoW 24th -> Proj. Total
Japan 2 $9,632,000 $9,632,000 $22,927,526 $13,295,526 - $44,318,420 $53,950,420
Czech Republic 2 $654,297 $654,297 $1,285,534 $631,237 14.11 $2,104,123 $2,758,420
Slovakia 2 $333,196 $356,407 $613,962 $257,555 13.454 $858,517 $1,214,924
Serbia & Montenegro 2 $127,354 $127,354 $200,147 $72,793 - $242,643 $369,997
Slovenia 2 $60,098 $147,147 $274,347 $127,200 - $424,000 $571,147
Egypt 2 $44,965 $44,965 $100,221 $55,256 - $184,187 $229,152
China 3 $15,718,490 $49,056,241 $56,689,116 $7,632,875 -0.574 $13,297,692 $62,353,933
South Korea 3 $4,652,347 $11,973,250 $15,628,939 $3,655,689 -0.425 $8,601,621 $20,574,871
Spain 3 $4,529,920 $10,864,000 $15,795,612 $4,931,612 -0.531 $9,287,405 $20,151,405
Netherlands 3 $932,416 $4,755,090 $6,067,372 $1,312,282 0.216 $4,374,273 $9,129,363
Belgium 3 $1,235,212 $2,454,000 $2,811,159 $357,159 -0.203 $1,190,530 $3,644,530
Peru 3 $1,514,505 $2,705,458 $3,511,153 $805,695 -0.502 $1,604,970 $4,310,428
Sweden 3 $1,226,378 $2,597,742 $3,376,205 $778,463 -0.475 $1,638,869 $4,236,611
Ukraine 3 $818,335 $1,777,173 $2,306,355 $529,182 -0.269 $1,763,940 $3,541,113
Finland 3 $647,315 $1,614,140 $2,080,573 $466,433 -0.168 $1,554,777 $3,168,917
Hungary 3 $774,778 $1,619,749 $2,146,369 $526,620 -0.347 $1,517,637 $3,137,386
Denmark 3 $1,205,257 $1,987,781 $2,368,827 $381,046 -0.581 $655,845 $2,643,626
Turkey 3 $289,989 $773,622 $1,169,609 $395,987 -0.15 $1,319,957 $2,093,579
Bulgaria 3 $190,065 $471,977 $632,301 $160,324 -0.336 $477,155 $949,132
Bolivia 3 $159,000 $335,076 $464,634 $129,558 -0.352 $368,063 $703,139
Romania 3 $226,573 $402,000 $693,543 $291,543 -0.607 $480,301 $882,301
Venezuela 3 $148,000 $297,000 $481,528 $184,528 -0.5 $369,056 $666,056
Lithuania 3 $99,732 $256,427 $367,505 $111,078 -0.341 $325,742 $582,169
Iceland 3 $36,667 $144,625 $183,683 $39,058 0.365 $130,193 $274,818
Germany 4 $7,110,257 $21,178,307 $25,363,946 $4,185,639 -0.183 $13,952,130 $35,130,437
France 4 $5,854,000 $14,914,000 $18,367,059 $3,453,059 -0.434 $7,956,357 $22,870,357
Mexico 4 $7,594,000 $18,352,797 $20,360,099 $2,007,302 -0.41 $4,895,859 $23,248,656
Switzerland 4 $909,000 $2,939,234 $3,707,061 $767,827 -0.344 $2,232,055 $5,171,289
Austria 4 $750,000 $3,516,000 $4,008,962 $492,962 -0.551 $894,668 $4,410,668
Thailand 4 $158,813 $1,187,749 $1,309,691 $121,942 -0.623 $195,734 $1,383,483
Uruguay 4 $130,511 $297,000 $355,000 $58,000 -0.811 $71,517 $368,517
Argentina 5 $3,837,781 $11,180,000 $12,076,577 $896,577 -0.474 $1,891,513 $13,071,513
Chile 5 $1,720,309 $4,665,000 $5,121,000 $456,000 -0.449 $1,015,590 $5,680,590
Colombia 5 $1,533,428 $3,670,000 $3,993,620 $323,620 -0.445 $727,236 $4,397,236
Ecuador 5 $434,007 $1,525,000 $1,677,317 $152,317 -0.448 $339,993 $1,864,993
Pakistan 7 - $79,000 $76,366 -$2,634 - -$8,780 n/a
Israel 8 $581,319 $4,159,182 $4,562,780 $403,598 -0.182 $1,345,327 $5,504,509
Taiwan 8 $2,006,110 $5,262,962 $5,269,910 $6,948 -0.573 $12,126 $5,275,088
Hong Kong 8 $1,868,237 $4,146,360 $4,158,297 $11,937 -0.183 $39,790 $4,186,150
Vietnam 8 $806,141 $2,667,000 $2,670,990 $3,990 -0.954 $4,182 $2,671,182
United Kingdom 9 $13,419,000 $44,364,777 $45,205,709 $840,932 -0.349 $2,409,547 $46,774,324
Norway 9 $778,447 $2,980,333 $3,056,249 $75,916 0.011 $253,053 $3,233,386

 

The estimates for opening markets were "calculated" by using the average OW% from DM2, Minions, IO, and Zootopia:

Quote
Country OW DM2 Minions IO Zootopia Average stdev Total
Russia - CIS $8,400,000 34.6% 51.1% outlier 24.3% 36.7% 13.5% $22,909,091
Portugal $964,937 19.6% 22.3% 13.7% 16.3% 18.0% 3.8% $5,368,217
United Arab Emirates $594,024 34.9% - - 23.1% 29.0% 8.3% $2,048,359
Greece $287,739 24.7% 33.8% 21.0% 20.6% 25.0% 6.1% $1,149,806
Latvia $223,864 n/a 11.2% 18.1% n/a 14.7% 4.9% $1,528,082
Estonia $188,818 n/a 15.2% 22.7% 23.1% 20.3% 4.5% $928,613
Croatia $104,030 19.5% 31.9% 22.2% 26.9% 25.1% 5.5% $414,050
Lebanon $82,061 31.4% 21.0% 22.5% 15.9% 22.7% 6.5% $361,502

 

 

Edited by Jason
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MinaTakla Box Office Gold

MinaTakla

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Jason said:

 

The markets that opened up to the weekend of August 12-14 ("current markets") should have a total of close to $380M (individual estimates add up to $381M). Markets that opened up this past weekend should be pretty close to $35M (individual estimates add up to $36M).

 

As before, the following table groups the markets by opening date, and shows your original estimates from earlier, a raw unrounded calculation for those markets combined, my estimates (from August 4 where applicable), and the adjusted ER totals of Despicable Me 2, Minions, Inside Out, and Zootopia.

 

It is now apparent that Pets will gross well above DM2 and IO in current markets, but upon closer examination, Pets did particularly well in China, South Korea, and Japan. The total for Pets outside of these markets is tracking just slightly below that of DM2 and IO. The remaining markets for Pets are Australia/NZ, Brazil, Italy, and a handful of smaller Asian markets. Pets has been pretty comparable overall in Europe and Latin America, and I think it tend to little more closely to DM2 in the smaller Asian markets. My estimate for remaining markets: $80M.

 

Total OS estimate for Pets is then 380+35+80 = $495M. Definitely has a chance of passing $500M, although could also fall just short.

 

Domestic estimate is $370M, WW = $865M.

 

Raw data hidden below for those interested:

  Hide contents

All territories with individual estimates and calculations where applicable, as well as adjusted ER gross of DM2, Minions, IO, and Zootopia:

 

The estimates for films in markets opening before the 14th were "calculated" by determining the weekly gross from the 14th to the 21st and then approximating the remaining gross using the weekend drop (if less than 30%, 30% drop was used - somewhat arbitrary):

 

The estimates for opening markets were "calculated" by using the average OW% from DM2, Minions, IO, and Zootopia:

 

 

Wow - thanks! Wasn't thinking it had a shot at nearing 500m OS a few days ago (though was hoping it would).

Will print your estimates to read them closely. Thanks a lot for your amazing input, Jason.

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MinaTakla Box Office Gold

MinaTakla

Posted
Posted

Illumination Entertainment and Universal Pictures’ The Secret Life Of Pets hopped to a further estimated $24.6m from its 57 territories for $371.2m.

The animation enjoyed the biggest opening August weekend for an animated film in Brazil with $4.9m and also opened in Indonesia ($980k) and the Philippines ($1m). After its record-breaking debut, it added $4.8m in Russia for $24.9m so far.

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MinaTakla Box Office Gold

MinaTakla

Posted
Posted

THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS

The Secret Life of Pets
Universal Pictures

Universal/Illumination’s animated quest clawed away at another $24.6M in 57 territories to bring the international total to $371.2M. The pack now has $724.4M in worldwide kibbles. Brazil was a new opening, at No. 1 with $4.9M which is the biggest August launch weekend for a toon ever. Indonesia ($980K) and thePhilippines ($1M) also bowed in first place. After a Duke-sized opening last session, Russia is the best hold with $4.8M in the frame for a $24.9M 11-day total. In Japan, Pets is No. 1 for the 3rd consecutive week and has a total $30.9M. There are still seven markets to go, including Italy which opens in October. Venice Film Festival attendees will be treated to a premiere screening when Illumination chief Chris Meledandri is honored on the Lido September 5.

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newbie BO buff Sleeper Hit

newbie BO buff

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Omni said:

During the previous 40/50 minutes you were sleeping?

Hahahahahahaha.

Let's just say it was a simple idea that would actually better kept simple as a short movie.

Stretching it to 90 minutes is, well, stretching.

 

Also, the opening short film. Instead of giving us something very special in a very short amount of time (like some other studio), Illumination gave us ..... more Minion antics.

That actually set the mood for me.

 

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