kowhite Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 Just now, filmlover said: I'm predicting a run almost identical to the first Despicable Me. Which would be a spectacular result. This is probably quite reasonable. I mean who knows, but it's still an original property and quite frankly...these guys aren't churning out animated classics. Even if those little yellow bastards are box office gold. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 It's practically impossible for Pets to bomb, the budget is only 75M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kowhite Posted May 17, 2016 Share Posted May 17, 2016 12 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: It's practically impossible for Pets to bomb, the budget is only 75M I don't think the conversation about Pets is about bomb or not...it's...how big can it be? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted May 18, 2016 Share Posted May 18, 2016 On 5/17/2016 at 10:47 PM, filmlover said: I'm predicting a run almost identical to the first Despicable Me. Which would be a spectacular result. I don't get the appeal. The audience responses to the trailers have been muted. It's original in concept (slightly Toy Story esque) but I don't see breakout $300m numbers (despite $300m apparently being the new $200m). I owe you a virtual beer if this makes over $300m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted May 18, 2016 Share Posted May 18, 2016 1 minute ago, lilmac said: I don't get the appeal. The audience responses to the trailers have been muted. It's original in concept (slightly Toy Story esque) but I don't see breakout $300m numbers (despite $300m apparently being the new $200m). I owe you a virtual beer if this makes over $300m. "what if animals could talk" is an original concept? LOL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted May 19, 2016 Share Posted May 19, 2016 Going to throw ID2 in there, seems very possible it goes in the $100m range somewhere. Apocalypse will disappoint but not sure we will classify it as a bomb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted May 19, 2016 Share Posted May 19, 2016 How is Warcraft a potential bomb exactly? Seems no one is expecting much of anything from it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantCALBears Posted May 19, 2016 Share Posted May 19, 2016 On May 17, 2016 at 7:03 PM, lilmac said: Is Independence Day 2 under $300m considered a bomb? If so, bomb. Lol come on, like I said above it will be a considered a bomb in the $100m range. Obv the lower the bombier even though that's not a word haha. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted May 19, 2016 Share Posted May 19, 2016 Ben Hur is not a bomb, it s an hilarious joke. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted May 19, 2016 Share Posted May 19, 2016 3 hours ago, GiantCALBears said: How is Warcraft a potential bomb exactly? Seems no one is expecting much of anything from it. I think the studio is, since it's called Warcraft: The Beginning here in the UK. Plus they spent $160m net on production. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Celedhring Posted May 19, 2016 Share Posted May 19, 2016 2 hours ago, Krissykins said: I think the studio is, since it's called Warcraft: The Beginning here in the UK. Plus they spent $160m net on production. They are marketing it similarly in Spain, it's called Warcraft: Origen (origins) in here. So they certainly hope to get a franchise out of this. Regarding bombs, I expect a bunch of mild duds/disappointments rather than outright bombs. I don't think we will be getting a Fantastic Four or even a Huntsman: Winter's War this summer. Films like X-Men, Star Trek or Warcraft will imho not clear 200m (Warcraft might barely scratch 100m), but should do enough overseas in order not to be considered "bombs". Same with The BFG and Pete's Dragon, on a smaller scale. Angry Birds is doing very well internationaly, so you can already scratch that one from the potential bomb list, even if it disappoints domestically. Neighbors 2 will drop hard versus the first, but it's so cheap that it will still reap a profit. Ghostbusters will do fine, even if the budget ends up at $150m I expect that DOM at least... All in all, I can't see a Fantastic 4 or Tomorrowland in this summer's lineup. Some of those films will lose money, sure, but won't bleed seas of red. Ben-Hur looks like a potential proper bomb though, what's the budget on that? I can't find. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxofficerules Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 On 10 May 2016 at 0:10 PM, Baumer said: How is Alice going to bomb? What was that about Alice 2 not bombing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 I knew I was right about Alice. The first grossed over $1bn. I said it would have a horrific drop. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robertman2 Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 I doubt Warcraft is gonna bomb. Literally just because of China Also, how bad is Alice doing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, robertman2 said: I doubt Warcraft is gonna bomb. Literally just because of China Also, how bad is Alice doing? Alice 2 is going to open to $40M US 4 day. The original did $116M 3 day. That's all anyone needs to know. Warcraft could still lose money. It'll only get 25% of China grosses. Net cost is over $320M with marketing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kowhite Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 On May 10, 2016 at 3:35 PM, Krissykins said: That $154m was the green light budget before the Massachusetts tax credits. Hoping it comes down. Generally they greenlight movies with tax incentives considered so...are you sure? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainJackSparrow Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 Just now, Krissykins said: Alice 2 is going to open to $40M US 4 day. The original did $116M 3 day. That's all anyone needs to know. Warcraft could still lose money. It'll only get 25% of China grosses. Net cost is over $320M with marketing. Warcraft is reportedly doing huge in Europe, had the best opening of the year in Germany. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 2 minutes ago, CaptainJackSparrow said: Warcraft is reportedly doing huge in Europe, had the best opening of the year in Germany. I think it was beaten by X-Men's second weekend in quite a lot of markets too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 3 minutes ago, kowhite said: Generally they greenlight movies with tax incentives considered so...are you sure? Not 100% then. I guess we'll find out soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted May 27, 2016 Share Posted May 27, 2016 3 hours ago, Boxofficerules said: What was that about Alice 2 not bombing? Wait for OS numbers. The movie will still do 100DOM and 300OS, so 400WW on a 170 budget ain't a bomb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...