Weekend Estimates (Page 50): The Conjuring 40.3M | Warcraft 24M | NYSM 23M| TMNT 14.8M | X-Men 10M | Me Before You 9.2M

[John Marston]

Not bad for all the movies 

[WrathOfHan]

9 minutes ago, Kalo said:

 

And that is bad??

Definitely not bad but it illustrates that this will be very frontloaded here.

[Avatree]

Sooo Warcraft is gonna win the weekend.

[Kalo]

4 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Definitely not bad but it illustrates that this will be very frontloaded here.

 

True, but nearly $250m, in China for a film with such panned reviews, seems like a major win regardless of it's legs to me. 

[The Panda]

Just now, Treecraft said:

Sooo Warcraft is gonna win the weekend.

 

[a2k]

How is OS-China looking for WC?

65m dom + 235m China + 200-225 OS-China = 500-525m WW.

I don't know its budget or how much % of China who keeps, but 500m+ is very solid for WC.

Edited June 10, 2016 by a2knet

[Maxmoser3]

Now You See Me 2 might open close or identical to the original but will take a larger dive from its predcessor. 

[WrathOfHan]

9 minutes ago, Treecraft said:

Sooo Warcraft is gonna win the weekend.

How?

[CJohn]

11 minutes ago, Treecraft said:

Sooo Warcraft is gonna win the weekend.

The WW weekend? Sure.

[picores]

9 minutes ago, a2knet said:

How is OS-China looking for WC?

65m dom + 235m China + 100m (?) OS-China = 400m WW.

 

More like 225-250m OS-China

[a2k]

In other BOT news

-DORY RT watch has started and is being found positive.

-WC China legs seem bad. 250m USD a stretch. Below 236m of ZOOTOPIA also a possibility. One respectable poster has calculated 180-210m USD scenario.

Edited June 10, 2016 by a2knet

[Fancyarcher]

12 minutes ago, Treecraft said:

Sooo Warcraft is gonna win the weekend.

 

Nah. The Conjuring 2 is probably gonna be #1.

[Avatree]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

How?

Because the conjuring is a teen horror movie??

[Avatree]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

In other BOT news

-DORY RT watch has started and is being found positive.

-WC China legs seem bad. 250m USD a stretch. Below 236m of ZOOTOPIA also a possibility. One respectable poster has calculated 180-210m USD scenario.

How is it going to miss 235M in China? You are talking out of your arse. It is going to finish the weekend with nearly 200M, it would have to make literally nothing after that to miss 235 or 250.

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, Treecraft said:

Because the conjuring is a teen horror movie??

It is time to let it go  Warcraft will get a strong 2nd place, tho.

[grim22]

2 minutes ago, Treecraft said:

Because the conjuring is a teen horror movie??

 

Horror yes. Teen horror - hell no. Small chance Warcraft finishes 3rd for the weekend if Thursday had a fanboy rush.

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, picores said:

 

More like 225-250m OS-China

 

thanks for clarifying.

[Avatree]

I swear people are just out to get Warcraft. I don't get it, why can't y'all hate on a fucking Marvel movie or a star Wars one? There are billions of those movies that do nothing but copy themselves , while Warcraft, a vaguely original tentpole movie, is getting shat on by you folks who haven't even watched it.

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, Treecraft said:

How is it going to miss 235M in China? You are talking out of your arse. It is going to finish the weekend with nearly 200M, it would have to make literally nothing after that to miss 235 or 250.

 

Don't shoot the messenger, rude guy.

 

1 hour ago, Agafin said:

 

No. In fact, $250m seems like a stretch unless it holds better than -30% tomorrow.

 

1 hour ago, jiangsen said:

Yes, he means $300M USD is not going to happen at this point and $250M USD isn't even a given because of the extreme front loading

 

This is 150M RMB.

 

1 hour ago, Olive said:

if it does not reach 1.3B after Sunday 19th, it will finish under Zootopia.

 

1 hour ago, Agafin said:

 

Me too. A somewhat realistic sat drop (if optimistic) would be 35% which would lead to ¥140m. Assuming that Sunday acts like a Monday, then it'll likely drop by more than 50%, possibly more than 60% even (depending on whether all schools are already out in China) which means anywhere between ¥55m to ¥70m for a 5 day OW of about ¥1b. A 1.5 multi from that (which is actually optimistic) would lead to ¥1.5B ($225m). I think it'll finish closer to the high end of my ¥1.2b to ¥1.4b prediction ($180m to $210m) which is still a very good result for it.

 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

1 minute ago, Treecraft said:

I swear people are just out to get Warcraft. I don't get it, why can't y'all hate on a fucking Marvel movie or a star Wars one? There are billions of those movies that do nothing but copy themselves , while Warcraft, a vaguely original tentpole movie, is getting shat on by you folks who haven't even watched it.