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WrathOfHan

Weekend Actuals (Page 96): Dory 73M | IDR 41M | CI 18.2M | Shallows 16.8M | Conjuring 7.7M | Jones 7.6M

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2 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

Ghostbusters even if it's a 'good' film is going to get shitted on by the GA. They're not even giving it s chance!

 

It's been so talked about that they'll go in decent numbers. At least initially. 

Plus...I really think people are underestimating just how much kids are going to want to see this. 

 

I'm not in the 'can't wait' or 'hater' camp. I like Paul Feig's comedies so am expecting a decent movie. No more, no less. 

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3 minutes ago, FilmBuff said:

Ghostbusters even if it's a 'good' film is going to get shitted on by the GA. They're not even giving it s chance!

Outside of film nerds like me and my parents, literally everyone I know wants to see Ghostbusters

 

I know this is anecdotally speaking, but Feig will deliver at least a serviceable movie and thus it'll do reasonably well still. Certainly bigger than anything this summer so far besides Dory and Civil War

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1 minute ago, Free State of Tele said:

 

Final domestic gross $474.97m. I think that's what you mean. 

 

Um...sure? 

 

Wait, no. Fuck you and whatever you're pulling, the Nolanites remember 2014.

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Damn, Warcraft again with a 70% drop, lol.

 

It'll miss 50 million domestic for sure. I don't think it can even make 48 million domestic, thus meaning it'll also miss a 2x multiplier.

 

There's no way producers are happy with these numbers. 

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6 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:

The 90's in general was such a mixed bag of awesome and awful when it comes to all things pop culture. 

 

All decades are like that. Its just that people only remember the good once enough time has passed.

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TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count /Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 Finding Dory BV $73,234,746 -45.8% 4,305 - $17,012 $286,552,649 - 2
2 N Independence Day: Resurgence Fox $41,600,000 - 4,068 - $10,226 $41,600,000 $165 1
3 2 Central Intelligence WB $18,370,000 -48.3% 3,508 - $5,237 $69,302,458 $50 2
4 N The Shallows Sony $16,700,000 - 2,962 - $5,638 $16,700,000 $17 1
5 N Free State of Jones STX $7,772,000 - 2,815 - $2,761 $7,772,000 $50 1
6 3 The Conjuring 2 WB $7,705,000 -48.2% 3,033 -323 $2,540 $86,906,434 $40 3
7 4 Now You See Me 2 LG/S $5,650,000 -39.7% 2,745 -487 $2,058 $52,054,214 - 3
8 6 X-Men: Apocalypse Fox $2,475,000 -53.4% 1,679 -953 $1,474 $151,126,991 $178 5
9 7 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows Par. $2,400,000 -54.3% 1,947 -1,139 $1,233 $77,117,555 $135 4
10 8 Alice Through the Looking Glass BV $2,147,144 -50.0% 495 -1,385 $4,338 $74,574,007 $170 5
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6 minutes ago, MrPink said:

I'm betting Pets is going to hurt Dory a little more than expected and it ends up missing 500.

It could drop 50-55% against Pets and Ice Age 5 and still do $500 million+ DOM due to a likely $60 million+ 4-day next weekend and summer weekdays until the second week of August. 

 

TS3 held well against DM1 and IO did against Minions, so Dory could very well drop 35-45% against Pets (same as IO, worse than TS3)

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13 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

Yup the highest grossing summer movie outside Dory and CW was Apocalypse with only 150 m. 

 

Which is no where close to 400 m. :apocalypse:

 

This has been a absolutely terrible summer. At least 2014 had 200M hits every few weeks.

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1 minute ago, tribefan695 said:

 

Why? Right now I'm feeling buzz going in opposite directions for them 

 

Pets just had a huge preview number in the UK, so I'm expecting to translate here, despite Pets not having to go against Dory yet in the UK.

 

And it'll go with my theory that family audiences tend to focus more on one animated film at a time. Dory is big enough to buck that potentially, so maybe I'm wrong. Don't have a vested interest one way or another.

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16 minutes ago, MrPink said:

I'm betting Pets is going to hurt Dory a little more than expected and it ends up missing 500.

Pets is going to lack appeal for older audiences; Dory will get hit but not that much, probably something similar to IO

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2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Your 3 day totals on Shallows and CI are probably what the 4 day will end up being for them.

Central Intelligence has zero competition this week, so I expect a 15-20% drop over the 4-day. Tarzan/ID4-2 target tentpole crowds. BFG/Dory target families. Purge/Shallows target teens/college kids. CI is the sole broad comedy out, so I expect it to hold. I could see a slightly larger drop, but I prefer to be optimistic. 

 

I said I was bullish on Shallows. I just like seeing good films have legs. $45 million+ and possibly finishing above Purge 3 is a huge victory. 

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