Weekend Thread | Bourne 60M, Trek 24M, Bad Moms 23.4M, Pets 18.2M

[grey ghost]

7 minutes ago, grim22 said:

2nd UPDATE, 11:44 AM: No surprises this weekend so far in early box office returns as Universal’s Jason Bourne may end the day with around $21M (that would include the $4.3M from last nights previews) and is on track for a $57M gross so far. It is very early yet so depending on this evening’s shows, it has a shot at $60M for director Paul Greengrass and Matt Damon.

 

Bad Moms, like we mentioned earlier today, has a potential of $30M and early results are showing a $12M day (including the $2M from previews) for a possible $33M three-day run. However, we must caution that later tonight and tomorrow will really be key as group and advanced ticket sales kick in early and the R-rated STX Entertainment film must sustain that momentum through tonight and tomorrow. It’s a great start to a very funny comedy that is bound to have strong legs.

The other newcomer Nerve launched on Tuesday with $1M and in three days has made $6M. It’s on track for a $2.5M day (including the $2M from Thursday night grosses) and a debut of probably around $15M. It’s a PG-13 rated film from Lionsgate and really caters almost entirely to the young female demo. 

 

C'mon 60 m.

 

Daddy needs some casino points.

 

Going all in for Suicide Squad.

[VinceMichaudC]

Deadline got the wording wrong for Nerve, but still, cumulative of $15M would be great given that would be on the high-end of early estimates.

Edited July 29, 2016 by VinceMichaudC

[DAJK]

Wait wait wait. 2.5 for nerve would be pretty bad for today as it is. But that INCLUDES 2M from yesterday? No way. Waiting for you guys @Rth @nilephelan. You're my only hope.

[grey ghost]

Anything over 130 m DOM is a win for M7.

 

Denzel movies rarely go that high.

 

I wonder how it will do overseas. Black stars typically don't pull in huge numbers OS.

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Wait wait wait. 2.5 for nerve would be pretty bad for today as it is. But that INCLUDES 2M from yesterday? No way. Waiting for you guys @Rth @nilephelan. You're my only hope.

 

 The Thur thread has  Nerve at $2.3m - presumably from Nilephelen  Even with a $2.5 Friday that would be a mere 8% rise - that doesn't make any sense either

[Fancyarcher]

8 minutes ago, CJohn said:

That is the problem, it is didn't bored me. It was stupid and dumb and hilarious from start to finish. 

 

I doubt I'll have that same reaction, although some of what I've heard of the film does sound hilarious from an incompetent movie making standpoint. 

[Fancyarcher]

8 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Anything over 130 m DOM is a win for M7.

 

Denzel movies rarely go that high.

 

I wonder how it will do overseas. Black stars typically don't pull in huge numbers OS.

 

Westerns aren't very popular either, so at best 90m. 

[filmlover]

14 minutes ago, CJohn said:

My body is ready.

Just don't fap in the theater, k?

[WrathOfHan]

Looking up trailer views for September and October no movie really has that many views (all for the most recent trailer on the most viewed video, * if it's the first trailer):

 

Sully: 5.4M*

Blair Witch: 4.3M* (Sort of; first trailer as Blair Witch)

Jack Reacher: 3.5M*

Mag 7: 3.4M

Peregrine: 3.3M

Storks: 3.1M

Inferno: 2.6M

Bridget Jones: 2.5M*

Middle School: 1.9M

Morgan: 1.8M*

A Monster Calls: 1.7M

Ouija: 1.7M*

Deepwater: 1.5M

Edge of Seventeen: 1.1M*

Joneses: 867k*

Light Between Oceans: 791k*

Madea: 783k*

Girl on the Train: 700k

What Now: 573k*

The Accountant: 550k (just came out but it won't get that many views)

Birth of a Nation: 320k

Wild Life: 234k*

Hillsong: 28k 

Edited July 29, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[grim22]

5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Looking up trailer views for September and October no movie really has that many views (all for the most recent trailer on the most viewed video, * if it's the first trailer):

 

Sully: 5.4M*

Blair Witch: 4.3M* (Sort of; first trailer as Blair Witch)

Jack Reacher: 3.5M*

Mag 7: 3.4M

Peregrine: 3.3M

Storks: 3.1M

Inferno: 2.6M

Bridget Jones: 2.5M*

Middle School: 1.9M

Morgan: 1.8M*

A Monster Calls: 1.7M

Ouija: 1.7M*

Deepwater: 1.5M

Edge of Seventeen: 1.1M*

Joneses: 867k*

Light Between Oceans: 791k*

Madea: 783k*

Girl on the Train: 700k

What Now: 573k*

The Accountant: 550k (just came out but it won't get that many views)

Birth of a Nation: 320k

Wild Life: 234k*

Hillsong: 28k 

 

The Accountant has 1M on the WB posted trailer from 2 days ago, and 550k on WB UK. The Storks trailer actually has almost more views than the Storks teaser (should beat it soon), that is pretty good TBH.

[Maxmoser3]

STX is making a comeback after modest budget flops such as Hardcore Henry and Free State Of Jones.

[baumer]

Jason Bourne was pretty awesome. One of the better movies this summer

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, grim22 said:

 

The Accountant has 1M on the WB posted trailer from 2 days ago, and 550k on WB UK. The Storks trailer actually has almost more views than the Storks teaser (should beat it soon), that is pretty good TBH.

There was an Accountant trailer on the main channel? YT search failed me then  

[trifle]

11 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Looking up trailer views for September and October no movie really has that many views (all for the most recent trailer on the most viewed video, * if it's the first trailer):

 

Sully: 5.4M*

Blair Witch: 4.3M* (Sort of; first trailer as Blair Witch)

Jack Reacher: 3.5M*

Mag 7: 3.4M

Peregrine: 3.3M

Storks: 3.1M

Inferno: 2.6M

Bridget Jones: 2.5M*

Middle School: 1.9M

Morgan: 1.8M*

A Monster Calls: 1.7M

Ouija: 1.7M*

Deepwater: 1.5M

Edge of Seventeen: 1.1M*

Joneses: 867k*

Light Between Oceans: 791k*

Madea: 783k*

Girl on the Train: 700k

What Now: 573k*

The Accountant: 550k (just came out but it won't get that many views)

Birth of a Nation: 320k

Wild Life: 234k*

Hillsong: 28k 

 

I think the first view is the most important.  I know that I don't always want to see later trailers for movies I already know I am going to, so I won't spoil it.

 

Still, out of that list, only Mag7, The Accountant and maybe Girl on the Train interest me much. .... Ooops!  And Peregrine if it sounds good.

Edited July 29, 2016 by trifle

[Ethan Hunt]

1 minute ago, Baumer said:

Jason Bourne was pretty awesome. One of the better movies this summer

Baumer has his head in the right place

[Dementeleus]

37 minutes ago, Daniel Dylan Davis said:

 

It sorta sounds hilarious, although I've been told, it's kind of a bore. 

 

It's a total bore. Fifteen minutes in you'll be wondering why you bothered.

[trifle]

37 minutes ago, grim22 said:

You know, I wouldn't actually be surprised if Storks beats Magnificent 7 on OW. Storks will be the first big animated release for 6 weeks and the only one for 6 weeks as well. I can see both movies opening to around 30-35M.

 

 

At this point I wouldn't be surprised by anything with animated films, although I'll be seeing M7 that weekend myself.  I've decided I have no feel at all for box office on animated films.   I knew Dory would do well, but it did WAY better than I ever expected.  I never saw Pets doing what it did so close to Dory.   Moana is the only one left this year that interests me, but so far almost all have done well, and as you say, there will be a brief dearth of them at that time.

[WrathOfHan]

For the hell of it, November and December (same rules):

 

Rogue One: 40.2M*

Assassin's Creed: 15.3M*

Doctor Strange: 11.4M

Trolls: 6.8M

Bye Bye Man: 5.3M*

Sing: 4.2M

Fantastic Beasts: 3.8M

Moana: 3.8M (International; the main is at 7M)

Almost Christmas: 2.4M*

Why Him: 2M*

Billy Lynn: 1.8M*

Space Between Us: 716k*

Hacksaw Ridge: 478k* (Just came out yesterday)

Office Christmas Party: 433k*

Rules Don't Apply: 334k*

Bad Santa: 275k*

Edited July 29, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[junkshop36]

Damn. Didn't realize Boutne's budget was only 120m. With the OW it's looking to have and eventual overall box office, I would expect another one. 

 

 

Mag7 and Passengers aren't touching 200m. 

[grim22]

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-jason-bourne-eyes-915464

 

Quote

Universal's Jason Bourne is on course to win the North American weekend box-office race with $55 million-plus from 4,026 theaters, according to early Friday returns. That would easily best the $38.1 million opening of the last film in the spy action series, The Bourne Legacy, which starred Jeremy Renner, but come behind the $69 debut of The Bourne Ultimatum, featuring Damon.

Based on matinee business, the male-skewing movie could gross north of $20 million on Friday alone, including $4.2 million in Thursday-night previews.

STX Entertainment's Bad Moms is also impressing. The R-rated pic, which earned $2 million Thursday night, is pacing earn $33 million for the weekend from 3,215 locations in a needed boost for R-rated comedies.

Bad Moms was directed and written by Jon Lucas and Scott Moore, and follows a trio of overworked and under-appreciated moms who embark on an adventure of freedom and self-indulgence.

And finally, Nerve, Lionsgate's thriller starring Emma Roberts and Dave Franco is expected to gross a strong $15 million over its five-day debut after hitting theaters Wednesday. It earned another $2.3 million at 2,538 locations Thursday, bringing the total to $6 million since Wednesday.