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Tuesday: Suicide Squad $14.27M

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2 minutes ago, Emerald kikyou said:

I'm still new to all this Box Office math so excuse me for asking , but what is the least amount SS needs to do on it's second weekend to be considered as having a good hold?

 

I think staying under 65% drop at this point given the reviews is going to be a decent hold.  Anything under 60% is a good hold.  Under 55% is fantastic.  

 

 

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It's been following Guardians pretty closely, with a bit harsher drop yesterday (56.5 vs. 54) and a way better increase today (8 - 9.6 vs 1.6). With GotG drops:

 

Tue - 14.2

Wed - 10.5 (-26%)

Thu - 9.1 (-13%)

Fri - 14.8 (+61%)

Sat - 20.4 (+38%)

Sun - 15.5 (-24%)

 

50.5m second WE (61-62% drop), 231m total.

Edited by James
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Just now, nilephelan said:

I still have a smile on my face from the poster that thought even after a $135m weekend that it wouldn't hit $200m domestic.  

Yea well he also thought it was hitting Civil War's OW and only changed his tune because of what he watched apparently. 

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1 minute ago, James said:

It's been following Guardians pretty closely, with a bit harsher drop yesterday (56.5 vs. 54) and a way better increase today (8 - 9.6 vs 1.6). With GotG drops:

 

Tue - 14.2

Wed - 10.5 (-26%)

Thu - 9.1 (-13%)

Fri - 14.8 (+61%)

Sat - 20.4 (+38%)

Sun - 15.5 (-24%)

 

50.5m second WE, 231m total.

 

Interesting.

 

This is why I'm not eyeballing the drops, but waiting for final returns from overseas and stateside before declaring victory or dead.

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Seems a lot of parents are taking their kids to see Suicide Squad.

 

Which I don't think is appropriate. My viewing had a number of children, youngest I've seen probably between 7-8 years old.

 

There is a lot of cussing and sexual innuendo. 

 

There was a child behind me that whenever the b-word, s-word, and even the word p*ssy was said, he would gasp, and the Mom would just tell him to hush.

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3 minutes ago, James said:

It's been following Guardians pretty closely, with a bit harsher drop yesterday (56.5 vs. 54) and a way better increase today (8 - 9.6 vs 1.6). With GotG drops:

 

Tue - 14.2

Wed - 10.5 (-26%)

Thu - 9.1 (-13%)

Fri - 14.8 (+61%)

Sat - 20.4 (+38%)

Sun - 15.5 (-24%)

 

50.5m second WE, 231m total.

 

2 years back Disc Tues were smth else (especially that week movies showed relatively tepid Tue increases and better Wed drops)

A wide range for SS would be 30-33% for Wed drop. 31-32% probably more likely.

Expecting 9.6-9.8.

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3 minutes ago, James said:

It's been following Guardians pretty closely, with a bit harsher drop yesterday (56.5 vs. 54) and a way better increase today (8 - 9.6 vs 1.6). With GotG drops:

 

Tue - 14.2

Wed - 10.5 (-26%)

Thu - 9.1 (-13%)

Fri - 14.8 (+61%)

Sat - 20.4 (+38%)

Sun - 15.5 (-24%)

 

50.5m second WE (65.5% drop), 231m total.

I think a $50.5M weekend would be less than a 65.5% drop. More along 61-62%. 

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At worst it is likely sitting at $225m or so after this weekend.  Figure it will do $20m during the following week and $22m the following weekend.  Should put it near $270m on Aug. 21st

 

Likely going to end up around $315m range.  That is a huge win for DC/WB, but they have to start turning out more quality movies.  

Edited by nilephelan
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2 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

2nd weekend likely be near 40 milli9n then 50 million

I'm really curious how you do the math because it just doesn't add up. Even if it's down 30% today, then 13-14% tomorrow, it still gets close to 9m Thursday, Add a shitty 50% increase on Fri, an even shittier 30% one on Sat and a big 25% drop on Sun and you still get over 46m.  

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

This is a Tuesday increase of 8%. How it compares to recent CBMs:

 

Civil War: 3.5% (every other CBM this year had a holiday)

AOU: -.7%

Ant-Man: 22.6%

FANT4STIC: 29.7%

GOTG: 1.6%

Winter Soldier: 12.2%

TASM2: 20.7%

Fantastic 4 with the highest increase? Laughable. Its the worst of them all. 

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The second weekend drop is going to be huge partly because it did 20 million on thursday. I personally think the third weekend drop is more telling.

 

300 seems assured to me. It's already at 160 and should add another 19 mill before the weekend. So minimum imo by sunday is about 225.

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