WEEKEND THREAD | Official Estimates: Madea - 27.6M; JR 2 - 23M; Ouija 2 - 14M; Accountant - 14m; Joneses - 5.6M

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

31	N	The Handmaiden	Magn.	$91,600	-	1	-	$91,600	$91,600	-	1

 

Wondering whether BOM screwed up the number of theaters or not (the movie isn't in the theater counts at all). If this is correct, congrats here too.

 

From The Numbers

 

The Handmaiden   Magnolia Pictures  $91,600 5  $18,320  $91,6003

 

Edited October 23, 2016 by TalismanRing

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

True. Really weird but the movie was hyped up a lot before release and it just seemed to come and go without a huge splash in the end. 

The movie was the definition of a disposable time-waster. That it came and went without making much no noise is no surprise in retrospect.

[Jake Gittes]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

 

From The Numbers

 

The Handmaiden   Magnolia Pictures  $91,600 5  $18,320  $91,6003

 

 

Yeah that's more plausible.

[babz06]

Mag 7 likely got hit by all the adult competition. It still did admirably for a western.

[Napoleon]

17 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Great overall weekend. Madea might have a good hold next weekend thanks to the Halloween tie-in as well. Really good hold for The Accountant, might reach 80M or so, same range for Storks as well (which has had the weirdest run ever).

 

Magnificent 7 is going to need a big push by Sony if it is to cross 100M. It is 4M behind The Equalizer's gross at the same point, looks like a 95-97M finish currently.

What do you mean by that? I haven't been following, is it having better legs than normal? Animated movies already have good legs.

[Fancyarcher]

28 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

That Kevin Hart hold though  

 

It's not surprising though. It's audience wasn't that big. Madea will probably have a big drop next week too.

[TalismanRing]

6 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

 

It's not surprising though. It's audience wasn't that big. Madea will probably have a big drop next week too.

 

The weekend before Halloween should buffer the drop

[Maxmoser3]

Madea scares up competition on solid weekend!                                      The top 12 was at $113.9 million which is up 20% from last year and is the biggest weekend of its kind in late-October since October 22-24 2010!                                               Boo! A Madea Halloween led the weekend, and surpassed expectations with an excellent  estimated $27.6 million for the weekend. That debut writer/director/actor Tyler Perry's best debut since Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too? It is also the best debut for Madea since Madea Goes To Jail back in February of 2009. It is also Madea's 3rd best debut in her films. Overall with solid word of mouth, and the Halloween holiday approaching Boo! Can perform decently and be a solid hit for troubled studio Lionsgate. Look for Madea to make between $65-$70 million domestic.                                  In second place, action sequel Jack Reacher:Never Go Back had a decent debut with an estimated $23 million which is above its predcessor's debut 4 years ago. But it probably won't play like it's predcessor did with the Christmas season, and with Never Go Back having mixed to lackluster word of mouth and competition with Doctor Strange coming on November 4th as well as Inferno this coming up weekend, the film will likely take some massive punches. It is also to note that the first film also has the NewTown, Connecticut shootings happen just a week prior which affected Hollywood big time. Anyway on the brightside Jack Reacher is doing fine overseas with $31 million so far and should make some money internationally. Overall look for Jack Reacher to reach around $55-$60 million domestic.                                             While a close 3rd and 4th place, Ouija:Origin Of Evil had a solid start at 3rd place with an estimated $14 million. That debut is lower than its predcessor, but it's doing better than most horror sequels that come off mixed to poorly relieved horror films. It is also safe to note that it's a solid start for a horror prequel which usually earn less than half of its predcessor on its opening weekend and sometimes even in its entire run! With decent word of mouth(a decent 71% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes), and Halloween approaching Ouija should hold up alright. Look for Ouija to scare up above $30 million domestic.                                         Not too far, The Accountant had solid hold at 43%. Which isn't bad for a action thriller film of its kind. But slightly steeper than Ben Affleck's recent films. Look for The Accountant to shoot up around $75 million domestic.                                 Thriller, The Girl On The Train had a solid hold this weekend at nearly 41%. The thriller has held worse than Gone Girl but either way is still considered a success for Universal Studios. Look for Girl On The Train to stop around $70 million domestic.                                                       Miss Peregrine's had another solid hold under 35%, and should hold up fine until next month. Miss Peregrine's should make around $85-$90 million domestic.                       Other nationwide New Release this weekend, spy comedy Keeping Up With The Jonesses bombed with an estimated $5.6 million. That debut is lower than actor Zach Galifiainkis last film Masterminds. The problem with Jonesses was that it had a lackluster marketing campaign that was forgettable and contained actress Gal Gadot wearing lingerie. It is also not good to note that the film was slated to come out on April 1st(a weekend after Batman Vs. Superman earlier this year). Audiences word of mouth weren't too kind to the Jonesses either with a poor 48% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes. The film was probably doomed from the start, and it should crash quickly and should make around $10 million domestic.                                       Kevin Hart: What Now? Saw a large decline this weekend at 65%

That drop is much worse than Let Me Explain's drop which came out in the middle of the summer, and with Madea doing better than expected What Now? Will probably fall short of $30 million.                       Storks had a solid hold under 30% and should make $75 million domestic. Deepwater Horizon had another alright hold, and should make $60-$65 million.       

[a2k]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count /Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Boo! A Madea Halloween	LGF	$27,600,000	-	2,260	-	$12,212	$27,600,000	$20	1
2	N	Jack Reacher: Never Go Back	Par.	$23,000,000	-	3,780	-	$6,085	$23,000,000	$60	1
3	N	Ouija: Origin of Evil	Uni.	$14,060,000	-	3,168	-	$4,438	$14,060,000	$9	1
4	1	The Accountant	WB	$14,025,000	-43.2%	3,332	-	$4,209	$47,920,381	$44	2
5	2	The Girl on the Train (2016)	Uni.	$7,270,000	-40.6%	3,091	-150	$2,352	$58,902,330	$45	3
6	4	Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children	Fox	$6,000,000	-33.0%	3,133	-702	$1,915	$74,431,835	$110	4
7	N	Keeping Up with the Joneses	Fox	$5,600,000	-	3,022	-	$1,853	$5,600,000	-	1
8	3	Kevin Hart: What Now?	Uni.	$4,110,000	-65.1%	2,567	-	$1,601	$18,941,645	$9.9	2
9	6	Storks	WB	$4,085,000	-28.1%	2,145	-921	$1,904	$64,714,528	$70	5
10	5	Deepwater Horizon	LG/S	$3,625,000	-43.4%	2,828	-575	$1,282	$55,270,671	$110	4
11	7	The Magnificent Seven (2016)	Sony	$2,350,000	-55.1%	1,979	-1,231	$1,187	$89,093,367	$90	5
12	8	Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life	LGF	$2,265,000	-47.9%	1,772	-1,050	$1,278	$16,974,927	$8.5	3
13	9	Sully	WB	$1,600,000	-44.5%	1,172	-1,039	$1,365	$120,963,890	$60	7
14	20	Denial	BST	$972,940	+131.3%	648	+552	$1,501	$1,988,251	-	4
15	10	The Birth of a Nation	FoxS	$925,000	-66.3%	633	-1,472	$1,461	$14,190,181	$8.5	3
16	N	I'm Not Ashamed	PFR	$900,000	-	505	-	$1,782	$900,000	-	1
17	11	Max Steel	ORF	$659,126	-69.8%	2,034	-	$324	$3,410,183	-	2
18	18	Desierto	STX	$474,000	-7.8%	168	+95	$2,821	$1,119,340	-	2
19	N	Moonlight (2016)	A24	$414,740	-	4	-	$103,685	$414,740	-	1
20	14	Queen of Katwe	BV	$380,000	-56.7%	319	-743	$1,191	$7,754,595	$15	5
21	12	Masterminds (2016)	Rela.	$276,800	-83.5%	520	-1,507	$532	$17,054,625	-	4
22	16	Priceless (2016)	RAtt.	$265,300	-62.5%	294	-9	$902	$1,166,359	-	2
23	25	A Man Called Ove	MBox	$262,770	+30.8%	96	+17	$2,737	$802,490	-	4
24	23	Finding Dory	BV	$247,000	-9.2%	183	-6	$1,350	$485,511,402	-	19
25	22	Snowden	ORF	$176,591	-42.6%	156	-187	$1,132	$21,211,841	$40	6

[Fancyarcher]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

The weekend before Halloween should buffer the drop

 

Maybe, but the third weekend will probably be a 65% drop or something, just to balance things up.

[Rman823]

So looks like the Madea franchise will continue. She still needs to go to Camp after that I think she's done most of the Ernest movies. 

[Jonwo]

I wonder if Paramount will consider a third Jack Reacher, they're lacking in franchises and inexpensive to make but I imagine they'd be fine not making another one, I suspect this one was only made so Cruise would commit to another Mission Impossible 

[WrathOfHan]

Madea is potentially the highest grossing OW of the month. Who saw that coming?

[CoolioD1]

Fifty shades of madea already prepping to start shooting next week for a Valentine's Day release.

[Maxmoser3]

18 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Madea is potentially the highest grossing OW of the month. Who saw that coming?

It had sucessful marketing, and a good comedy was in a need in the marketplace. The film had funny spoof posters of horror such as Halloween and The Exorcist. Lionsgate pulled it off successfully! 

[Maxmoser3]

Inferno making near $100 million overseas before its release on Friday isn't too bad. But the film will debut $27-$28 million but take a hit, and make a profit overseas. 

[CoolioD1]

2 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

It had sucessful marketing, and a good comedy was in a need in the marketplace. The film had funny spoof posters of horror such as Halloween and The Exorcist. Lionsgate pulled it off successfully! 

I heard Cjohn gives warning points to ppl who use lionsgate and successful in the same sentence. Just FYI.

[Jonwo]

Sully finally cracked $120m, I wonder if it's got enough to get to $130m? I think it'll miss that but it'll get to $125m easily. The OS run isn't finished yet so I think it can reach $80-90m for a $205-215m WW gross, $100m OS is doable but it depends on how well it fares in Germany, France and the UK

[Jonwo]

18 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

Inferno making near $100 million overseas before its release on Friday isn't too bad. But the film will debut $27-$28 million but take a hit, and make a profit overseas. 

 

Inferno was always going to do better OS than domestic as the previous films were OS hits. The budget means it can do less than $100m domestic but still be profitable.

[That One Girl]

Can we talk about that excellent GOTT hold?  Despite going up against 4 new releases (one which has the thriller/horror crowd, one with a female crowd, and one with the adult crowd) and mixed WOM, it had a 40% drop.  That's pretty damn great.