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Weekend Estimates: Lego Batman 55.6M, 50 Shades 46.7M, John Wick 2 30M

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1 minute ago, Arlborn said:

I get what you are saying but there are so many ways to play around with LEGO.

 

I think WAG don't want to be too reliant on the Lego brand so mixing it up with original films and things like Smallfoot, Scooby Doo etc will help them in the long run.

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1 hour ago, grim22 said:


 Untitled Fox / Marvel Film (2018) (Fox) - 3/2

 

I think the Fox/Marvel film will most likely be New Mutants which is scheduled to begin filming soon. Feel sorry for Pacific Rim 2, it is the most likely to get lost in the shuffle completely and has no holidays to help it either.

 

 

Not gonna happen, that will get pushed to summer. If they start filming in the Summer,  summer 2018 would 95% chance be the target date. 

 

 

19 minutes ago, Barnack said:

 

 

 

1 Deadpool Fox $783.1 $363.1 46.4% $420.0 53.6% 2016
2 X-Men: Days of Future Past Fox $747.9 $233.9 31.3% $513.9 68.7% 2014
3 X-Men: Apocalypse Fox $543.9 $155.4 28.6% $388.5 71.4% 2016
4 X-Men: The Last Stand Fox $459.4 $234.4 51% $225.0 49% 2006
5 The Wolverine Fox $414.8 $132.6 32% $282.3 68% 2013
6 X2: X-Men United Fox $407.7 $214.9 52.7% $192.8 47.3% 2003
7 X-Men Origins: Wolverine Fox $373.1 $179.9 48.2% $193.2 51.8% 2009
8 X-Men: First Class Fox $353.6 $146.4 41.4% $207.2 58.6% 2011
9 X-Men Fox $296.3 $157.3 53.1% $139.0 46.9% 2000

 

The 3 most recent X-men movie are the 3 that did the most worldwide in absolute number after all, it is more because of how popular supeheroes are and how big the global box office became in general, than the X-Men in particular thought, but those are just 2 big number to stop making them and for Logan to not have a chance to break out and be a big 350+ million worldwide massive success.

 

Well you cant directly compare x2/3 with the new ones OS. OS markets were way different back then, in terms of popularity and ticket sales they are about the same. 

 

X2 was 9th WW in 03

X3 was 7th WW in 06

 

DOFP was  6th WW 

APOC was 14th WW

 

 

 

Alright now this is obviously a very crude way of doing things  but...  X3 did 234 Domestic and 225 OS   Adjusted today X3 does 309m  

 

Now using the same % increase over the original total 32%    X3 OS equals 297m OS minus China (Which we will give 100m to)

 

X3 today in terms of ticket sales did/would do 706.5m 

 

X2 (using the same method) equals out to 592.6M

 

 

 

So basically The X-men Brand WW has stayed very very constant and DOFP and APOC match what 2/3 did in the early 2000's. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Weekend Estimates Out

 

http://deadline.com/2017/02/fifty-shades-darker-lego-batman-john-wick-chapter-2-box-office-1201907911/

‘LEGO Batman’ Is Awesome With Est. $65M, ‘Fifty Shades’ Kisses Low $40M, ‘John Wick 2’ Ablaze With High $20M+ – Noon Update

2ND UPDATE, NOON: Very early industry estimates here showing all the Pre-Valentine’s Day weekend titles kicking their projections to the side. Based off matinees, rival estimates show Warner Bros.’ The LEGO Batman movie hooking $65M for the weekend with $17M today. There are some who think LEGO Batman can even do much higher as this weekend clicks along

 

Universal’s Fifty Shades Darker looks to file an estimated $18M-$20M on its way to a low $40M weekend. How frontloaded Friday is, is the question as the sequel lacks Valentine’s Day on Saturday, but will make up for it on Tuesday when advance ticket sales kick in.

 

Lionsgate/Summit’s John Wick: Chapter 2 is all fired up, with an estimated $11M-$12M Friday for a high $20M weekend, possibly cracking $30M.

 

Universal/Blumhouse’s Split is looking at $2.2M today, easing 47% for a $7.6M FSS in its fourth go-round with $110.6M by Sunday.

 

20th Century Fox’s Hidden Figures calculating $2M today, $7.4M for its eighth weekend and a running cume by Sunday of $130.8M.

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Edited by Matrix4You
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Just now, Matrix4You said:

Weekend Estimates Out

 

http://deadline.com/2017/02/fifty-shades-darker-lego-batman-john-wick-chapter-2-box-office-1201907911/

‘LEGO Batman’ Is Awesome With Est. $65M, ‘Fifty Shades’ Kisses Low $40M, ‘John Wick 2’ Ablaze With High $20M+ – Noon Update

Meh. Doesn't tell us much other than that John Wick is playing pretty strongly.

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Just now, Matrix4You said:

Weekend Estimates Out

 

http://deadline.com/2017/02/fifty-shades-darker-lego-batman-john-wick-chapter-2-box-office-1201907911/

‘LEGO Batman’ Is Awesome With Est. $65M, ‘Fifty Shades’ Kisses Low $40M, ‘John Wick 2’ Ablaze With High $20M+ – Noon Update

 

Yikes, please don't let it be 65M.  That would be way too low.

 

I think 75M is the target but I'm predicting it to come in at 80M.  Fifty Shades should do about 45-50M and John Wick could be able to squeeze by 30M.

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3 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

Weekend Estimates Out

 

http://deadline.com/2017/02/fifty-shades-darker-lego-batman-john-wick-chapter-2-box-office-1201907911/

‘LEGO Batman’ Is Awesome With Est. $65M, ‘Fifty Shades’ Kisses Low $40M, ‘John Wick 2’ Ablaze With High $20M+ – Noon Update

Gonna go ahead and post the obligatory don't trust Deadline note.

 

Edit: Beaten to it. Predictable.

Edited by Arlborn
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5 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

FSD with 20m Friday will do only 40m? Isn't that TOO frontloaded even for this?

Not really. Really depends on if it drops tomorrow from true Friday (wouldn't be a shocker):

Previews - 5.7

Fri - 14.3

Sat - 13

Sun - 7.2 (-45%)

40.2m

Edited by Jayhawk
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4 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

FSD with 20m Friday will do only 40m? Isn't that TOO frontloaded even for this?

 

I can definitely see a scenario where that happens. 5.7M previews, 14.3M Friday, 13M Saturday and 8M Sunday for around 41M. Unlike the first 50 Shades movie, there will be a lot more rush on Friday and no Valentines Day Saturday to help the weekend multiplier.

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