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Plain Old Tele

BEAUTY AND THE BEAST WEEKEND THREAD | Late Sunday Numbers (Asgard) - 48-49M | Official Weekend Estimate: 170M; OS OW: 180M; WW OW: 350M

By Plain Old Tele, in Numbers and Data

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Jayhawk the Hutt Global Phenomenon

Jayhawk the Hutt

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1 minute ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Here's a question: besides The Last Jedi, could BATB be the biggest OW of the year? Or do you guys think that maybe Guardians will topple it?

Yeah, I think it's the safe favorite for #2 OW of the year. Guardians has an OK shot, but thinking that will be more like 150m atm.

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miketheavenger Box Office Gold

miketheavenger

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1 minute ago, Noctis said:

 

Are you insane? That's not possible. 

 

$16m would be great. I'm thinking $15m.

We also thought it was impossible for Saturday to stay flat from Friday plus previews and yet it happened. IMO it's already been shown that anything's possible with this movie. That being said, I'm also expecting 15-16m today because it's clearly a family-skewing film.

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
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22 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Here's a question: besides The Last Jedi, could BATB be the biggest OW of the year? Or do you guys think that maybe Guardians will topple it?

 

The only movies with any chance at topping that number are GotG2 and JL, and I think both will fail to reach 150M OW, let alone 175M :lol: 

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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

Posted
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3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

The only movies with any chance at topping that number are GotG2 and JL, and I think both will fail to reach 150M OW, let alone 175M :lol: 

 

I think Justice League depends a little on Wonder Woman. If WW is good-great, and its reviews are good, it could hit 150-160M. Though I still see an OW under BVS anyway :lol:

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MikeQ Box Office Gold

MikeQ

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For those interested, this is a list of top preview/midnight grosses, including the preview grosses as a percentage of the opening day gross for each film (adapted from the Data & Numbers Archive - credit to @The Futurist):

 

Estimated Top Midnight/Preview Grosses of All-Time

 

Rank / Title / Gross / Share of Opening Day

 

  1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 57.0 million (47.9%)
  2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — 43.5 million (47.7%)
  3. The Dark Knight Rises — 30.6 million (40.4%)
  4. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 — 30.4 million (42.7%)
  5. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 — 30.25 million (42.2%)
  6. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse — 30.1 million (43.9%)
  7. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story — 29.0 million (40.8%)
  8. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 27.7 million (34.0%)
  9. Avengers: Age of Ultron — 27.6 million (32.7%)
  10. The Twilight Saga: New Moon — 26.27 million (36.1%)
  11. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire — 25.26 million (35.6%)
  12. Captain America: Civil War — 25 million (33.1%)
  13. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 — 24 million (38.9%)
  14. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince — 22.8 million (39.2%)
  15. Suicide Squad — 20.5 million (31.6%)
  16. The Hunger Games — 19.735 million (29.3%)
  17. Marvel's The Avengers — 18.7 million (23.1%)
  18. The Dark Knight — 18.5 million (27.5%)
  19. Jurassic World — 18.5 million (22.6%)
  20. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 — 17 million (30.8%)
  21. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith — 16.9 million (33.8%)
  22. Transformers : Revenge of the Fallen — 16.8 million (27.1%)
  23. Beauty and the Beast — 16.3 million (25.5%)
  24. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 2 — 16 million (35.1%)
  25. Furious 7 — 15.8 million (23.4%)
  26. Iron Man 3 — 15.6 million (22.7%)
  27. Transformers: Dark of the Moon — 13.5 million (35.8%)
  28. The Hobbit: Un Unexpected Journey — 13 million (35.0%)
  29. Deadpool — 12.7 million (26.8%)
  30. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix — 12 million (27.1%)

 

I was also curious about preview grosses as a percentage of opening weekend for the top openers, so I made a list of the top 25 opening weekends of all time and the percentage of each from the preview/midnight gross:

 

Top Opening Weekends of All-Time & Share from Previews

 

Rank / Title / Opening Weekend Gross / Share of Opening Weekend from Previews/Midnights

  1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 248.0 million (23.0%)
  2. Jurassic World — 208.8 million (8.9%)
  3. Marvel’s The Avengers — 207.4 million (9.0%)
  4. Avengers: Age of Ultron — 191.3 million (14.4%)
  5. Captain America: Civil War — 179.1 million (14.0%)
  6. Beauty and the Beast — 174.8 million (9.3%)
  7. Iron Man 3 — 174.1 million (9.0%)
  8. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 — 169.2 million (25.7%)
  9. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice — 166.0 million (16.7%)
  10. The Dark Knight Rises — 160.9 million (19.0%)
  11. The Dark Knight — 158.4 million (11.7%)
  12. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire — 158.1 million (16.0%)
  13. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story — 155.1 million (18.7%)
  14. The Hunger Games — 152.5 million (12.9%)
  15. Spider-Man 3 — 151.1 million (6.6%)
  16. Furious 7 — 147.2 million (10.7%)
  17. The Twilight Saga: New Moon — 142.8 million (18.4%)
  18. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 — 141.1 million (21.5%)
  19. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 — 138.1 million (21.9%)
  20. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest — 135.6 million (6.6%)
  21. Finding Dory — 135.1 million (6.8%)
  22. Suicide Squad — 133.7 million (15.3%)
  23. Deadpool — 132.4 million (9.6%)
  24. Iron Man 2 — 128.1 million (5.9%)
  25. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 — 125.0 million (19.2%)

 

Peace,

Mike

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Fancyarcher Global Phenomenon

Fancyarcher

Posted
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32 minutes ago, Truckasaurus said:

Hmmm, I could be way off, but I don't know if Guardians 2 has what it takes to increase so much from the first one. I feel like an Iron Man 2 bump is more likely, something in the $120-130M range.

 

That's pretty much the number I'm predicting. A 20% increase for its opening weekend. 

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

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3 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

People are underestimating JL.

 

If Wonder Woman is poorly received (which Id put at 50/50 at this point.  Despite looking good, DCU hasnt had the best track record so far) then id be hard pressed to see JL even do over 300m.

 

It's surrounded by strong competition.

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Cassie516 Straight-to-DVD

Cassie516

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4 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

And to think that, even without BATB, Disney would still have Guardians 2, Pirates 5, Cars 3, Thor 3, and the ultimate cherry on top of the cake, The Last Jedi, to come.

And to think that next year, they'll be releasing Infinity War, Han Solo, Mulan and The Incredibles 2, and in 2019, Star Wars IX, Avengers 4, Indy 5, Toy Story 4 and possibly The Lion King. Hail Mickey.

And Spider-Man this year!

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