The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Legion Again]

33 minutes ago, That Ambitious Guy said:

 

69

269 is a nice number.

 

[KeepItU25071906]

32 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Variety update: 

 

Quiet Place $28-30m

Great for aQP 

[WrathOfHan]

BOP predictions: https://pro.boxoffice.com/weekend-forecast-rampage-truth-dare/

 

Rampage: 36.5M

A Quiet Place: 28.5M

Ready Player One: 14.2M

Truth or Dare: 13.5M

Blockers: 12M

Isle of Dogs: 6.5M

I Can Only Imagine: 5.3M

Black Panther: 5M

Acrimony: 4.2M

Sherlock Gnomes: 3.6M

They aren't predicting Sgt. Stubby because there's no TC reported

[Sheikh]

Movie Tickets

 

RAMPAGE has appeared.

 

AQP 30.9%

Avengers 13.4%

Blockers 10.8%

RPO 8.3%

Rampage 4.4%

Edited April 11, 2018 by Sheikh

[Barnack]

Last 5 hours of fandango (Avengers is just getting ridiculous):

 

A Quiet	5917
Avengers	4804
Blockers	1438
Ready Pl	2055
Rampage	1258
Blumhous	588
Black Pa	768
Isle of	523
Tyler Pe	529
Chappaqu	477
I Can On	356
Grease 4	295
Pacific	259
Super Tr	291

Edited April 11, 2018 by Barnack

[Legion Again]

11 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Last 5 hours of fandango (Avengers is just getting ridiculous):

Seems a little early for that?  I mean, I wasn’t paying too much attention to presales for previous presales monsters, but is 15 days before about when they started doing similarly on Fandango?

[Barnack]

33 minutes ago, Sliver Legion said:

Seems a little early for that?  I mean, I wasn’t paying too much attention to presales for previous presales monsters, but is 15 days before about when they started doing similarly on Fandango?

I am very new to following this, but Avengers when you add the 3d, imax, fan events type of sales is always near the top for a good while, even compared to movie opening. I can just go by comparison but outselling a movie like Rampage that open tomorrow look ridiculous to me.

[Hiccup23]

This up-coming weekend at my theater

 

	Showings	Change
Truth or Dare	14	New
Ramage	11	New
A Quiet Place	12	-2
Blockers	8	-1
Ready Player One	5	-4
Black Panther	5	No Change
The Miracle Season	5	-1
Isle of Dogs	5	-2
Sherlock Gnomes	4	-1
Pacific Rim 2	2	-4
I Can Only Imagine	2	-3
A Wrinkle in Time	5	No Change
Gone	Love, Simon	4 Weeks
	God's Not Dead 3	2 Weeks
	Tyler Perry's Acrimony	2 Weeks

[Litio]

DHD:

Rampage: mid $30ms-$40m

AQP $32.5M-$35M  amazing

TOD: mid-teens

http://deadline.com/2018/04/dwayne-johnson-rampage-a-quiet-place-weekend-box-office-preview-1202362566/

Edited April 11, 2018 by Litio

[Barnack]

Just now, Litio said:

AQP $32.5M-$35M  amazing

 

Those crazy friday 13th hold I read about could happen ? 

 

That would be extremely good hold for an giant horror movie opening.

[Litio]

9 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Those crazy friday 13th hold I read about could happen ? 

 

That would be extremely good hold for an giant horror movie opening.

I hope yes, but I can't see $40m for Rampage happening. Walk-ups needs to be very high for that. I would say $34m.

[dxmatrixdt]

On ‎4‎/‎5‎/‎2018 at 1:25 AM, Thematrixfilm said:

 

Friday, April 6th, 20 theater from Fandango

                 showings/theaters

A Quiet Place - 181/20 = 9.05

Blockers - 153/20 = 7.65

Chappaquiddick - 77/16 = 4.81

Miracle Season - 72/15 = 4.80

Acrimony - 82/19 = 4.32

Player 1 - 199/20 = 9.95

Isle of Dogs - 79/11 = 7.18

Pacific Rim - 100/20 = 5.00

Paul/Apostle - 51/14 = 3.64

Sherlock Gnomes - 64/16 = 4.00 

I Can Only Imagine - 74/18 = 4.11

Love, Simon - 77/18 = 4.28

Tomb Raider - 55/16 = 3.44

Wrinkle/Time - 43/11= 3.91

Black Panther - 87/20 = 4.35

Gods Not Dead - 22/11 = 2.00

Game Night - 33/10 = 3.30

Strangers 2 - 7/2 = 3.50

Midnight Sun - 14/4 = 3.50

Unsane - 2/1 = 2.00

Red Sparrow - 7/3 = 2.33

Peter Rabbit - 12/5 = 2.40

Jumanji 5/2 = 2.50

Showman - 5/2 = 2.50

Annihilation - 2/2 = 1.00

 

 

Friday, April 13th - 20 theaters via Fandango

Truth or Dare - 133/20, 6.65 avg.

Isle of Dogs - 84/17, 4.94 avg. last week - 79/11

Rampage - 222/20, 11.10 avg.   

SGT. Stubby - 55/12, 4.58 avg.

 

Quiet Place - 174/20, 8.7 avg.  last week - 181/20

Blockers - 137/20, 6.85 avg.,   last week - 153/20

Chappaquiddick - 68/16, 4.25 avg...         -77/16

Miracle Season - 56/15, 3.73 avg. last week -72/15

Acrimony - 29/7, last week 82/19

Ready Player One - 123/20, 6.15 avg., last week 199/20

 

Uprising - 54/15, from 100/20

Paul - 23/7, from 51/14

Sherlock - 46/14, from 64/16

Imagine - 56/14, from 74/18

Simon - 33/12, from 77/18

Time - 36/10, from 43/11

 

Black Panther - 84/20, 4.2avg., last week 87/20

Midnight Sun - 3/2, last week 14/4

Peter Rabbit - 6/2, from 12/5

Game Night - 13/4, from 33/10

Tomb Raider - 16/4, from 55/16

Gods Not Dead - 6/2, from 22/11

Red Sparrow - 2/1, 2.00 avg., last week - 7/3, 2.33 avg.

[Porthos]

IW Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: T-15 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	3	118	3779	11295	66.54%

 

Total Showings Added:  1

Total Seats Added:      80

Total Seats Sold:         82

---

2.91997 times as many seats sold as Black Panther at this point in time (7516 vs 2574)

[TLK]

On 4/5/2018 at 2:04 PM, TLK said:

Fandango Presale volume

 

      Movie            Monday            Tuesday           Wednesday

A Quiet Place          2177                  4003                 10665

Blockers                    504                 1106                   2931

 

Source : http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt

 

Presales for 04/13 Weekend

 

      Movie                Monday            Tuesday           Wednesday

Rampage                     705                 1508                  4109

Truth Or Dare              386                   760                  2133

 

Source : http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Infinity War

2. A Quiet Place

3. Rampage

4. Truth or Dare

5. Infinity War IMAX

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

8:20 AM ET - MT Update.....Rampage moving up slowly

 

22.4% Quiet Place, A

22% Avengers: Infinity War

7.8% Rampage

7.3% Ready Player One

7% Blockers

[Boxofficerules]

Pulse

1. Infinity War

2. A Quiet Place

3. Rampage

4. Blockers

5. Infinity War 3d

[a2k]

Rampage opening high-end of 30s would be solid. With a 38 ow wouldn't even need 2.4x to touch 90m dom. China pre-sales haven't blown up as hoped for and $100m+ finish seems tough atm according to our members. But 85-90 dom and China each along with 150 OS-Ch gives 320-330 ww.

 

According to Mojo the prod budget is 120m. 325 ww would be 2.7x the prod budget, but if Dom is a good % of that ww total and par with China then that 2.7x is similar or better compared to a China heavy Hollywood movie doing 3.0x :

90*0.55 + 85*0.25 +  150*0.33 = 120.25 (325 ww)

60*0.55 + 150*0.25 +  150*0.33 = 120.0 (360 ww)

 

[filmlover]

Sales for Rampage have been on par with Pacific Rim 2 around me. Starting to think it's gonna open in about the same range.

[harrycaul]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Sales for Rampage have been on par with Pacific Rim 2 around me. Starting to think it's gonna open in about the same range.

I look at it this way- PRU is pretty much your baseline for "audience that wants to see giant creatures smash cities."  

 

Anything it makes over that is pure Rockdollas.