The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Arlo245]

22 minutes ago, Pandamia! said:

Could this be the first animated movie to open over 200m??

 

Gosh I wish. I saw the film yesterday at the Double Feature Event and it was great! Still prefer the first to this, however only by a small margin (This may in part be due to watching it directly after the first film). This movie while having a good amount of cliches, had many mature aspects to make up for them and most importantly situations ANY family can relate to, in regards to the parents' relationship and the relationship between Bob and the kids (specifically Violet who goes through boy trouble). It was very realistic and gave me a warm feeling. On a side note, I LOVE LOVE LOVE Violet in this film. She's really matured some. 

 

BUT LET ME NOT RAMBLE, the thing that makes this movie have the potential to breakout ($180 million+, $600 million+) is how much of a four-quandrant crowd-pleaser it is! It's hilarious (particular Edna and Jack-Jack but Bob provides a good amount laughs), and the action sequences are out of this world. I honestly got chills at multiple occasions. Watching the movie leaves you wanting more (namely an Incredibles 3), so repeat viewings will be popular. Audiences will eat this up! 

 

So sure......why not? $16 million previews, $79 million Thu N/Friday, $66 million Saturday, $56 million Sunday, $201 million weekend) (Note, I think it will do $185 million but hey, anything can happen, right?)

Edited June 15, 2018 by Arlo245

[Shawn Robbins]

29 minutes ago, Pandamia! said:

MY 180m OW PREDICT IS HAPPENING GUYS!!! 

 

YEEHAW LET’S GO

Disney has become a master at pre-sales with all of their brands, so I'm not jumping to any conclusions yet... but I can't rule that out either.

[Biggestgeekever]

Looking around Seattle, I'll be shocked if the preview number is beneath Solo. Late shows are selling well despite the 5PM start time for previews, and that first wave did very well also, which makes it really damn impressive.

 

I'm not sure it'll do a whole lot better than Finding Dory during proper Friday considering the level of anticipation here, but $15M in previews plus a much better Sunday drop (TS3 has a 13% decline compared to Dory's 24% on Father's Day, and I'd argue this appeals to males even more than TS3) would be enough to hit $150M for the weekend. Hoping the sky is the limit here, though.

[LOGAN'sLuckyRun]

Hey boys, I'm back. How's I2 doing?

[WrathOfHan]

How tomorrow looks at my theater:

 

Spoiler

Incredibles 2:

 

10:00: 104/124

10:30: 96/113

11:00 3D: 68/78

1:00: 66/124

1:30: 57/113

2:00 3D: 15/78

3:00 3D: 11/78

4:00: 28/124

4:30: 26/113

5:00 3D: 12/78

6:00 3D: 10/78

7:00: 78/124

7:30: 59/113

8:00 3D: 40/78

9:00 3D: 13/78

10:00: 21/124

 

Ocean's 8:

 

10:45: 6/78

1:35: 6/78

4:40: 6/78

5:45: 0/63

7:35: 5/78

10:40: 2/78

 

Solo:

 

10:30: 9/69

1:05: 2/78

4:20: 0/69

6:55: 7/78

10:10: 0/69

 

Tag:

 

10:15: 5/78

12:45: 3/78

3:15: 2/78

5:45: 2/78

8:15: 2/78

10:45: 0/78

 

Hereditary:

 

10:25: 4/60

12:25: 2/63

7:05: 0/60

10:15: 0/78

 

Adrift:

 

3:20: 6/63

 

SuperFly:

 

10:20: 5/78

1:35: 0/69

4:10: 0/78

7:25: 0/69

10:25: 0/113

 

Book Club:

 

2:45: 4/67

 

Deadpool 2:

 

11:15: 3/67

4:40: 0/67

7:30: 0/67

10:20: 0/67

 

Incredibles 2: 704/1,618 (535 2D/169 3D)

Ocean's 8: 25/453

Solo: 18/363

Tag: 14/468

Hereditary: 6/261

Adrift: 6/63

SuperFly: 5/407

Book Club: 4/67

Deadpool 2: 3/261

Infinity War and Hotel Artemis have sold nothing.

 

So uh yeah, that's fucking massive for Incredibles  Deadpool and Hereditary had their afternoon shows scrapped for currently unscheduled Incredibles shows; let's see how much they gain when they're added. I will say that the afternoon shows look a bit empty compared to Beauty and the Beast last year.

 

Tag comps:

 

80% of Game Night (13.6M)

95% of I Feel Pretty (15.2M)

155% of Blockers (31.9M)

700% of Action Point (16.8M)

[MattW]

Theaters around me match up to most everyone else, the shows starting tonight look like a superhero movie with mid-teens Thursday previews.  I'll guess we're looking at $11-14m tonight.

I think that puts the weekend minimum at 130.  I'll be very surprised if it ends up below that.

[dxmatrixdt]

DOES ANYONE THINK SOULFLY WILL OUTGROSS TAG THIS WEEKEND?

[The Panda]

7 minutes ago, LOGAN'sLuckyRun said:

Hey boys, I'm back. How's I2 doing?

[HouseOfTheSun]

This is gonna be as wild as Black Panther weekend. I’m hyyyyyped

[DAJK]

It isn’t doing as well as BatB at my theatre tonight, but that movie opened in the heart of March Break here. Wouldn’t rule out low teens for previews.

[MovieMan89]

2 hours ago, Pandamia! said:

MY 180m OW PREDICT IS HAPPENING GUYS!!! 

 

YEEHAW LET’S GO

Your 700 predictions have a slight chance if it goes 180+, and you will be a box office predicting god if you call that right. 

[Premium George]

12 hours or sooner for preview numbers?

[Mojoguy]

RTH could show up tonight since big numbers are coming for Incredibles 2!

[Premium George]

12 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

RTH could show up tonight since big numbers are coming for Incredibles 2!

I don't think he gives preview numbers.

[Porthos]

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: T-7 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	9272	11263	17.68%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:             122

 

.2277x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 7 days before release. (IW had 19 more days of pre-sales)

.5482x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 7 days before release (BP had 16 more days of pre-sales) 

.5972x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2  7 days before release (DP2 had one plus more days of pre-sales) 

.5314x as many tickets sold as Solo 7 days before release pre-sales (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to JW:FK's 22 days of presales)

[dxmatrixdt]

anyone think I2 can do 15m Thursday previews?  I'm going to look at some late reserved seating shows and see how they compare.

Edited June 15, 2018 by mathemetrics

[The Panda]

1 hour ago, DAJK said:

It isn’t doing as well as BatB at my theatre tonight, but that movie opened in the heart of March Break here. Wouldn’t rule out low teens for previews.

Low teens with a Dory like internal multi would mean somewhere in the 180m+ stratosphere (if you’re meaning like 14-15m)

Edited June 15, 2018 by Pandamia!

[Joyous Legion]

I'd be pretty surprised if this matched Dory's IM, but pleasantly.

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, Pandamia! said:

Low teens with a Dory like internal multi would mean somewhere in the 180m+ stratosphere (if you’re meaning like 14-15m)

I think I2 is going to skew a bit older than Dory and with colleges out my guess is the multi would be closer to 11 than 14+

[The Panda]

3 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

I think I2 is going to skew a bit older than Dory and with colleges out my guess is the multi would be closer to 11 than 14+

There’s also not been a real family film out this year (well besides AWIT and Peter Rabbit but you get the point), so I think it could balance out with families being ready to go to the theaters