The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[stealthyfrog]

November is not weak!

Spoiler

 

[Cap]

2 minutes ago, Nova said:

So you’re gonna ignore Sonic the thicccc Hedgehog now? I see how it is. 

[Mulder]

3 minutes ago, Nova said:

*Whispers* it cant get any worse than this 

Come on man don't do another DP2.

[Porthos]

2 minutes ago, Nova said:

*Whispers* it cant get any worse than this 

It can ALWAYS be worse:

 

 

[Porthos]

1 minute ago, Mulder said:

Come on man don't do another DP2.

I'm sorry, have you been reading the Pika Pika thread?  This is @Nova being sedate and chill.

 

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, Mulder said:

Come on man don't do another DP2.

I’m mostly being sarcastic FYI 

 

*mostly* 

[Mulder]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

I'm sorry, have you been reading the Pika Pika thread?  This is @Nova being sedate and chill.

 

Yeah true. 🤔

[Mulder]

Just now, Nova said:

I’m mostly being sarcastic FYI 

 

*mostly* 

Ok good because this is definitely not the worst outcome for DP rn as it stands. 

[Nova]

1 minute ago, Mulder said:

Ok good because this is definitely not the worst outcome for DP rn as it stands. 

I mean at least it’s not Ugly Dolls. That one is RIP. Right @Cappoedameron 

[filmlover]

9 hours ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Funnily enough, one of the better presellers for Pikachu near my area is the 21+ only theater.

 

My thoughts as well, though I'm also wondering about Long Shot. Reviews are good, but political comedies are a tough sell to begin with and the Avengers albatross doesn't help.

My theater is giving it two screens (and in two of the larger theaters, to boot; all of the other big and medium-sized theaters still belong to Avengers), so that seems like a good sign. I think it'll do about $14M personally.

[Biggestgeekever]

First tracking for the weekend: https://www.thewrap.com/avengers-endgame-box-office-second-weekend/

 

$12-14M for all 3 openers, with John Wick 3 tracking at $35M (fwiw, Chapter 2's tracking started at $20M).

[Mulder]

2 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

First tracking for the weekend: https://www.thewrap.com/avengers-endgame-box-office-second-weekend/

 

$12-14M for all 3 openers, with John Wick 3 tracking at $35M (fwiw, Chapter 2's tracking started at $20M).

That's a really good start for John Wick 3.

[Jonwo]

1 minute ago, Mulder said:

That's a really good start for John Wick 3.

It'd be a decent increase from the last film, I wouldn't be shocked if it hits $40m.

[stfletch]

I tried comparing Fandango Pulse Sales for this weekend against both AIW second weekend and AEG first weekend, similar to how did things for the first weekend. Unfortunately neither method gave sensible numbers (the former estimates way too high because AEG 2nd weekend presales are so much higher than AIW 2nd weekend presales and the later estimates way too low because the presales were so much higher for AEG first weekend than this weekend).

 

Oh well at least the estimate tell me it will fall somewhere between $21M and $366M! lol

Edited May 1, 2019 by stfletch

[FlashMaster659]

11 minutes ago, stfletch said:

I tried comparing Fandango Pulse Sales for this weekend against both AIW second weekend and AEG first weekend, similar to how did things for the first weekend. Unfortunately neither method gave sensible numbers (the former estimates way too high because AEG 2nd weekend presales are so much higher than AIW 2nd weekend presales and the later estimates way too low because the presales were so much higher for AEG first weekend than this weekend).

 

Oh well at least the estimate tell me it will fall somewhere between $21M and $366M! lol

By how much?

[MrPink]

I think Wick will open over 40, and can push into the mid 40s realistically. I put 50 in the summer game. 

[Porthos]

26 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

with John Wick 3 tracking at $35M (fwiw, Chapter 2's tracking started at $20M).

It probably would have to beat tracking by a similar percentage and it would also require EG to beat Pika Pika next weekend, but I would laugh and laugh and laugh if John Wick 3 would be the film that dethroned Endgame.

 

Especially because of all the Thanos/John Wick memes out there. 

Edited May 1, 2019 by Porthos

[Mulder]

Just now, MrPink said:

I think Wick will open over 40, and can push into the mid 40s realistically. I put 50 in the summer game. 

Honestly that weekend's pretty dead and what's there isn't really harmful to John Wick 3 at all.

[Mulder]

Just now, Porthos said:

It probably would have to beat tracking by a similar percentage (which probably isn't happening) and it would also require EG to beat Pika Pika next weekend (more likely), but I would laugh and laugh and laugh if John Wick 3 would be the film that dethroned Endgame.

 

Especially because of all the Thanos/John Wick memes out there. 

Just OoC if Endgame 2nd weekend somehow drops to 150 and it has that same drop in it's third weekend, would you still consider Pika Pika to be the likely loser of it's OW?

[IceFire9yt]

Just take the average of the numbers.  193.5M! 😛

 

Watch this be right.

Edited May 1, 2019 by IceFire9yt