The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Drafthouse

 

T-1 days Thursday(214 showings): 4395(+537)/27995(+3449)

 

T-2 days Friday(281 showings): 4807(+848)/38127(+7323)

 

T-3 days Saturday(315 showings): 4909(+864)/42978(+10344)

 

T-4 days Sunday(242 showings): 2370(+352)/33501(+7321)

Ghostbusters Afterlife Drafthouse

 

T-0 days Thursday(177 showings): 4970(+575)/22494

 

T-1 days Friday(281 showings): 5991(+1184)/38127

 

T-2 days Saturday(318 showings): 5771(+862)/43241(+263)

 

T-3 days Sunday(259 showings): 2821(+451)/35459(+1958)

 

Forgot to check Thursday earlier for the start of Central and Eastern time showings. Missing almost 40 showings as you can see. Oh well

[Eric Lasagna]

18 hours ago, Eric Venkman said:

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	101	1601	19942	8.03%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 311

 

Comp

0.634x of F9 T-1 (4.5M)

1.463x of The Suicide Squad T-1 (6M)

0.494x of Shang-Chi T-1 (4.35M)

0.537x of Venom 2 (6.23M)

0.695x of No Time to Die T-1 (4.37M)

 

Staying steady, especially compared to NTTD, is a good sign. We'll see how tomorrow does, especially in regards to walkups.

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	101	2218	19942	11.12%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 617

 

Comp

0.489x of F9 (3.47M)

1.091x of The Suicide Squad (4.47M)

0.467x of Shang-Chi (4.11M)

0.423x of Venom 2 (4.91M)

0.762x of No Time to Die (4.8M)

 

An awful final day? Yes. Does it give me some warning signs? Kind of. Are the comps still largely good? You bet. And it was much better than NTTD's final day, which also had early Wednesday shows. I guess that's just a pattern, when a lot of the fans who would come Thursday are just going that extra day early. All in all, this should be fine.

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (MID-DAY REPORT) [12:00pm - 12:45pm]

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	0	192	21771	24264*	2493	10.24%

* One theater shifted a showing to a different auditorium resulting in a net addition of 15 seats available in the region.

 

Total Seats Sold Last Night

413

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
TSS [12:15-12:45]	149.28		327	1670		0/111	15173/16843	8.11%		6.12m
SC [12:00-12:55]	51.87		634	4806		0/192	20644/25450	18.88%		4.56m
V2 [12:00-12:50]	39.30		1216	6343		0/247	27313/33656	18.85%		4.56m
NTTD [12-12:35]	80.71		303	3089		0/178	21629/24718	12.50%		5.00m

 

T-0 (Mid-Day) Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-0 [Mid-Day]	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9 [12:00-12:45]	68.02		491	3390		0/170	17331/20721	16.36%		5.06m
GA (adj)	---		353	2306		0/170	19002/21328	10.81%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: GA (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal:     573/7516 [7.62% sold] [+82 tickets]

Matinee: 145/2173 [6.67% | 5.82% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Strong start to the day in Sacto.  If it keeps up, looking somewhere in the 4.5m-5m range (safe to say, the TSS comp can be ignored).

 

Cinemark Roseville, which replaced Century Roseville, is performing at a slightly better clip for G:A than Century Roseville did for NTTD, which is lifting the totals a bit.  But not so much as to throw the comps completely out of whack.  Am going to account for it though at final report.

 

PLF percentage is somewhat hefty at 48.7%, which is more or less where NTTD was at its mid-day (50.6%).  Not as hefty as Dune's though which was at 58% or so.  Still, is more than recent CBMs locally, which were sub 40% at mid-day, so something else to keep in mind when it comes to the final comp.  And, of course, Matinee pricing.

 

All in all, a good start.  See if walkups continue to beat NTTD's walkups and continue to perform at around 2/3rds of F9's walkups. 

 

Ghostbusters: Afterlife Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [3:50pm - 4:30pm]

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	0	192	21230	24264	3034	12.50%

 

Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day

541

 

T-0 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
TSS [5:40-6:10]	129.00		327	2352		0/111	14491/16843	13.96%		5.29m
SC [4:40-5:30]	51.89		1041	5847		0/196	19856/25703	22.75%		4.57m
V2 [3:50-4:35]	39.34		1369	7712		0/249	26023/33735	22.86%		4.56m
NTTD [3:50-4:25]	81.18		648	3737		0/178	20981/24718	15.12%		5.03m

 

T-0 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
F9 [5:30-6:10]	63.06		1017	4407		0/161	15341/19748	22.32%		4.69m
GA (adj)	---		473	2779		0/170	18549/21328	13.03%		---

COMP NOTE: The F9 comp has been adjusted to reflect the return of Ontario theaters to the DOM market (what would be normally be the comp/0.955).

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: GA (adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include the theaters which had unreliable data polluting their seat maps in this point in F9's track.

 

Regal:     725/7516 [9.65% sold] [+152 tickets]

Matinee: 2235/2173 [10.26% | 7.35% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Good enough walkups, but not enough juice to keep up with F9 (unsurprisingly).  Sample was taken an hour or so before some of the others, but all are generally pointing in the same direction.  Same PLF penetration as NTTD, more or less, but Matinees were much smaller (owing probably to Regal Delta Shores going full price on all showings). 

 

Let's say 4.7m +/- .3m. 

 

Sacto might be over-performing compared to other markets, mind.  But I do think 4.5m at least is more likely than not.  

 

And that's all from me folks, until after the Thanksgiving break. 👍

[Menor the Destroyer]

Having some MTC2 trouble. Will try to resolve by tomorrow. 

[keysersoze123]

14 minutes ago, Menor said:

Having some MTC2 trouble. Will try to resolve by tomorrow. 

No issues. I have the numbers. Will post them shortly. GB AL did well with walkups. Exceeded my expectations this morning. 

[charlie Jatinder]

18 minutes ago, Menor said:

Having some MTC2 trouble. Will try to resolve by tomorrow. 

Unacceptable. Should be resolved today.

[Legion Again]

14 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Unacceptable. Should be resolved today.

Don't worry, he will have them resolved today*

 

*

Spoiler

Friday, Nov 19

 

[Eric Lasagna]

23 hours ago, Eric Venkman said:

King Richard Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Wednesday Before Release

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	94	373	15029	2.48%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 78

 

Comp

0.141x of Space Jam 2 Wednesday Before Release (1.85M)

2.049x of Respect Wednesday Before Release (1.33M)

 

Sigh...the HBO Max/adult-targeted movie curse strikes again.

King Richard Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report Final Count

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	94	558	15029	3.71%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 185

 

Comp

0.126x of Space Jam 2 (1.65M)

1.162x of Respect (756K)

[Eric Lasagna]

23 hours ago, Eric Venkman said:

Encanto Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	107	6595	1.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 24

 

Comp

0.318x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-6 (2.45M)

0.930x of Jungle Cruise T-6 (2.51M)

1.081x of Free Guy T-6 (2.38M)

 

Cruella sold about 148 tickets, an inexplicable jump from everything else and the third-highest sales day for the film (I think that was when the review embargo dropped? I think a showtime or two inexplicably sold out only to no longer be sold out by the time of release? It was one of the two). So don't get too scared about the Cruella issue. Anyways, the film's doing just fine at the moment, barring any inexplicable drop-off.

Encanto Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	124	6595	1.88%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 17

 

Comp

0.350x of Cruella's Thu+Fri T-5 (2.7M)

1.051x of Jungle Cruise T-5 (2.84M)

1.181x of Free Guy T-5 (2.6M)

[Eric Lasagna]

On 11/18/2021 at 12:16 AM, Eric Venkman said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-35 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	287	9642	2.98%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 1

Total Seats Added Today: 288

Total Seats Sold Today: 12

 

One theater added in the November 27 Early Access show. Not sure why it took a while, but it made up the bulk of sales today. Not much else to report at this point.

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-34 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	303	9642	3.14%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 16

[Cap]

4PM Start times are so evil.  I always forget they're happening.  I really need to start putting these things in my calendar.  Due to that, I didn't get all of Apple/Cinemagic, but I did Regal and Flagship.

 

GHOSTBUSTERS: AFTERLIFE
Sold	Available	Percent
125	686	18.22%
v Final Sales Comps
Movie		Est
Regal - Fox Run Mall
Widow		3.78
Shang Chi		2.72
No Time To Die		4.5
Dune		3.06
Eternals		4.01
Average:		3.61

 

 

GHOSTBUSTERS: AFTERLIFE
Sold	Available	Percent
64	234	27.35%
v Final Sales Comps
Movie		Est
Falmouth Flagship
Widow		3.35
Shang Chi		3.65
No Time To Die		2.88
Dune		3.02
Average:		3.225

 

So Northern New England's looking right around the mid-threes. 

 

Note: I've decided to toss the Venom COMP for the near future unless it's basically a superhero movie.  It undersold here/overperformed elsewhere soooooooo much that it just throws off everything.

[keysersoze123]

On 11/17/2021 at 8:52 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Previews(T-1)

MTC1 - 49197/462845 813521.23 2407 shows

MTC2 - 32599/491711 430117.60  3433 shows

Ghostbusters Afterlife Previews Final

MTC1 - 79423/465102 1260371.31 2451 shows

MTC2 - 70748/499842 896525.76 3486 shows

 

Good final day at MTC2. Thinking 4.8m previews including early wednesday shows yesterday. Thinking low teens friday minus previews and that should be sufficient for OW > 40m. I will post OD PS tomorrow morning. 

[Ryan Reynolds]

40m+ would be great for GBA , with Holiday legs it should do well domestically at least

[Porthos]

20 minutes ago, Cap said:

4PM Start times are so evil.  I always forget they're happening. 

 

Don't worry, I'm sure Sony won't be repeat their Venom 2 playbook and have 4pm previews for NWH...

 

...

 

It'll probably be 2pm previews. 

 

Spoiler

Okay, fine.  Three pm?

 

Edited November 19, 2021 by Porthos

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Don't worry, I'm sure Sony won't be repeat their Venom 2 playbook and have 4pm previews for NWH...

 

...

 

It'll probably be 2pm previews. 

 

  Hide contents

Okay, fine.  Three pm?

 

Considering the runtime, noon or bust

[Cap]

2 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

Considering the runtime, noon or bust

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

Considering the runtime, noon or bust

 

Not gonna lie, runtime is the exact reason why I mentally give at least a 5% chance at 2pm to 3pm shenanigans. 

 

(the other being Sony looking at the time of year it is and just deciding to go YOLO)

Edited November 19, 2021 by Porthos

[Legion Again]

All day Th previews and Wednesday advance shows starting at 4, gotta prevent @SchumacherFTW, @chasmmi, @newbie BO buff et al  from spoiling us   

 

Spoiler

Also that 100M OD club needs all the help it can get 

 

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:

All day Th previews and Wednesday advance shows starting at 4, gotta prevent @SchumacherFTW, @chasmmi, @newbie BO buff et al  from spoiling us   

 

  Reveal hidden contents

Also that 100M OD club needs all the help it can get 

 

This is barely even out of bounds fwiw. Just this year we have seen both Clifford and ith roll  a full day of previews in and both bond and GB:A roll 2 day early “advances” in.

Edited November 19, 2021 by Eternal Legion

[Inceptionzq]

7 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex

 

T-1 days Friday(180 showings): 2188(+598)/50772(+99) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD comp: 6.95M

Ghostbusters Afterlife Megaplex Friday(180 showings)

 

2727(+539)/50772 in 15 theaters

 

Shang-Chi comp: 14.76M

 

Just gonna get rid of the NTTD comp, it overperformed at Megaplex. Since the SC comp looked good for Thursday, I guess why not use it here. Not perfect but probably the best I have right now.