The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Kenneth Branagh is probably begging Disney to never release Death on Nile so it doesn't jeopardize with Oscar chances with Belfast. 

 

Deep Water is surely being pushed and Searchlight releases Nightmare Alley just a week after.

 

Without many Disney releases scheduled soon, Lightyear and Turning Red make the sense. 

 

I'd also imagine other films will be shown like The 355, Cyrano, Marry Me, Downton Abbey

[filmlover]

Just now, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Kenneth Branagh is probably begging Disney to never release Death on Nile so it doesn't jeopardize with Oscar chances with Belfast. 

 

Deep Water is surely being pushed and Searchlight releases Nightmare Alley just a week after.

 

Without many Disney releases scheduled soon, Lightyear and Turning Red make the sense. 

 

I'd also imagine other films will be shown like The 355, Cyrano, Marry Me, Downton Abbey

Deep Water is likely being dumped whenever it comes out at this point tbh. Adult dramas have been struggling for the most part and it's hard to imagine Affleck and de Armas being eager to do a promo tour for a movie they made when they were together forever ago and will have been broken up for eons by the time it sees the light of day.

[Cap]

My theaters aren’t doing private showings up here. I called about one for a Christmas present, and they said that was just a Covid special. They weren’t gonna do them for the foreseeable future

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2299

3431

67.01%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2084

4232

49.24%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
13403	319	32711	40.97%	15	212

 

AMCs sold	7224
Cinemarks sold	2616
Regals sold	2253
Harkins sold	1310

 

Eternals final comp: 28.60M

Shang-Chi final comp: 29.23M

Black Widow final comp: 27.81M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 32.18M

 

Adjusted TRoS T-10 comp: 47.48M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

  Reveal hidden contents

NWH T-10: +319, +2.44%

4.98x Eternals T-10 (+64, +4.24%)

3.51x Shang-Chi T-10 (+91, +11.32%)

4.37x Black Widow T-10 (+73, +3.96%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-10: +253, +2.25%

2.18x TRoS T-10 (+116, +1.21%)

 

No Way Home Thursday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

2344

3739

62.69%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

2123

4232

50.17%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
13751	348	33019	41.65%	15	215

 

Showings added: 3

Seats added: 308

 

AMCs sold	7365
Cinemarks sold	2670
Regals sold	2358
Harkins sold	1358

 

Eternals final comp: 29.34M

Shang-Chi final comp: 29.99M

Black Widow final comp: 28.53M

Adjusted TRoS final comp: 32.88M

 

Adjusted TRoS T-9 comp: 47.72M

 

Daily pace comparisons:

Spoiler

NWH T-9: +348, +2.59%

4.35x Eternals T-9 (+80, +5.08%)

3.31x Shang-Chi T-9 (+105, +11.73%)

2.70x Black Widow T-9 (+129, +6.73%)

 

Adjusted NWH T-9: +250, +2.18%

1.55x TRoS T-9 (+161, +1.67%)

 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-10 days Thursday(161 showings): 18553(+580, +3.23%)/38339(+635) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 28.74M

Black Widow final comp: 29.58M

 

Daily pace comparison: 8.66x Black Widow T-10 (+67, +2.95%)

 

T-11 days Friday(181 showings): 13588(+601, +4.63%)/50009 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 31.31M

Black Widow final comp: 38.48M

 

Daily pace comparison: 5.56x Black Widow T-11 (+108, +7.11%)

 

T-12 days Saturday(179 showings): 7487(+595)/48174 in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 21.05M

 

T-13 days Sunday(153 showings): 1766(+156)/46322 in 15 theaters

No Way Home Megaplex

 

T-9 days Thursday(175 showings): 19093(+540)/40254(+1915) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 29.57M

Black Widow final comp: 30.44M

 

Daily pace comparison:

Spoiler

NWH T-9: +540, +2.91%

7.40x NTTD T-9 (+73, 8.35%)

3.33x Black Widow T-9 (+162, +6.93%)

 

T-10 days Friday(184 showings): 14161(+573)/51173(+1164) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 32.63M

Black Widow final comp: 40.10M

 

Daily pace comparison: 

Spoiler

NWH T-10: +573, +4.22%

3.92x NTTD T-10 (+146, +14.61%)

3.47x Black Widow T-10 (+165, +10.15%)

 

T-11 days Saturday(180 showings): 7978(+491)/48540(+366) in 15 theaters

 

NTTD final comp: 22.43M

 

T-12 days Sunday(153 showings): 1867(+101)/46322 in 15 theaters

[Tinalera]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Imagine if West Side Story's glitch-in-the-system disappearance for a brief moment had happened to Spider-Man instead.

 

"Youll get it on streaming in 6 months and you're gonna like it!"

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-10 days Thursday(260 showings): 25200(+294, +1.18%)/33921

 

Eternals final comp: 23.84M

 

Daily pace comparison: 1.66x Eternals T-10 (+177, +3.69%)

 

T-11 days Friday(318 showings): 22261(+742, +3.45%)/42510(+101)

 

Eternals final comp: 36.23M

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.52x Eternals T-11 (+164, 3.87%)

 

T-12 days Saturday(354 showings): 21252(+783, +3.83%)/47023

 

Eternals final comp: 34.36M

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.47x Eternals T-12 (+175, 4.06%)

 

T-13 days Sunday(295 showings): 10881(+718, +7.06%)/39325

 

Daily pace comparison: 5.74x Eternals T-13 (+125, 5.00%)

 

The capacity issues are really showing with the Thursday pace comparison

No Way Home Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-9 days Thursday(266 showings): 25599(+399, +1.58%)/34333(+412)

 

Eternals final comp: 24.21M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.77x Eternals T-9 (+144, +2.90%)

 

T-10 days Friday(319 showings): 22824(+563, +2.53%)/42552(+42)

 

Eternals final comp: 37.15M

 

Daily pace comparison: 2.46x Eternals T-10 (+229, +5.20%)

 

T-11 days Saturday(354 showings): 22074(+822, +3.87%)/47023

 

Eternals final comp: 35.69M

 

Daily pace comparison: 3.88x Eternals T-11 (+212, +4.72%)

 

T-12 days Sunday(295 showings): 11368(+487, +4.48%)/39325

 

Daily pace comparison: 4.02x Eternals T-12 (+121, +4.61%)

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

119

794

14.99%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

76

1036

7.34%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 7 HOURS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
398	398	10018	3.97%	15	63

 

AMCs sold	283
Cinemarks sold	27
Regals sold	65
Harkins sold	23

 

Pacing ahead of what Dune started at, though that's previews vs OD. But nonetheless, Dune was at 434 sold after 8 hours.

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

163

794

20.53%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

104

1036

10.04%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
587	189	10018	5.86%	15	63

 

AMCs sold	408
Cinemarks sold	44
Regals sold	97
Harkins sold	38

 

The pace has dropped behind Dune, 630 vs 587

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-16 days Wednesday(37 showings): 138/8660 in 9 theaters

 

T-17 days Thursday(33 showings): 64/8048 in 8 theaters

 

T-18 days Friday(23 showings): 54/5190 in 8 theaters

 

T-19 days Saturday(34 showings): 36/7783 in 8 theaters

 

T-20 days Sunday(21 showings): 7/4202 in 6 theaters

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-15 days Wednesday(40 showings): 300(+162)/8906(+246) in 10 theaters

 

T-16 days Thursday(36 showings): 122(+58)/8294(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-17 days Friday(26 showings): 81(+27)/5436(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-18 days Saturday(37 showings): 64(+28)/8029(+246) in 9 theaters

 

T-19 days Sunday(21 showings): 11(+4)/4202 in 6 theaters

 

Megaplex will probably underperform for Matrix

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-16 days Wednesday(86 showings): 2053/11113

 

T-17 days Thursday(81 showings): 909/10091

 

T-18 days Friday(48 showings): 214/5585

 

T-19 days Saturday(67 showings): 366/7530

 

T-20 days Sunday(55 showings): 181/6434

 

Strong start here. For comparison's sake, Dune was at 3126 sold for T-7 Thursday and 4338 for T-8 Friday

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-15 days Wednesday(86 showings): 2916(+863)/11113

 

T-16 days Thursday(81 showings): 1418(+509)/10091

 

T-17 days Friday(48 showings): 377(+163)/5585

 

T-18 days Saturday(67 showings): 638(+272)/7530

 

T-19 days Sunday(55 showings): 315(+134)/6434

[XXR & Friends]

3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

No. My data was incomplete yesterday as I was getting the data. This is complete data. I dont think they added any shows yesterday. 

I just checked and it’s at 53 shows for Thursday. I wonder if they added 11 more or your scraper is dropping 11 shows for some reason.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Annoyingly, errors in MTC2 show counts today. Will try again in a couple hours, otherwise tomorrow. 

[keysersoze123]

13 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

I just checked and it’s at 53 shows for Thursday. I wonder if they added 11 more or your scraper is dropping 11 shows for some reason.

I think they added some today for sure after I checked this morning. yesterday there was just 42 shows. Someone did post so on this thread. 

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/6/2021 at 11:47 PM, Eric Feels Pretty said:

West Side Story Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	31	142	4975	2.85%

 

Comp

0.959x of Dear Evan Hansen T-3 and Counting (768K)

 

Well I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but things seem super soft as we near the homestretch. And while I always appreciate Menor's numbers, I don't think Free Guy is a good comp to use for this film. Maybe things will change as we get closer, but I don't have huge hopes.

West Side Story Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	33	194	5500	3.53%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 2

Total Seats Added Today: 525

Total Seats Sold Today: 52

 

Comp

1.148x of Dear Evan Hansen T-2 and Counting (918K)

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/6/2021 at 11:57 PM, Eric Feels Pretty said:

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-10 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	6	205	17,035	37,701	45.18%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 600

 

Comp

2.243x of Black Widow's Final Count (29.61M)

3.252x of Venom 2's Final Count (37.72M)

 

Adjusted Comp

1.264x of Star Wars: TROS T-10 (50.57M)

Spider-Man: No Way Home Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	6	205	17,443	37,701	46.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 408

 

Comp

2.297x of Black Widow's Final Count (30.32M)

3.330x of Venom 2's Final Count (38.63M)

 

Adjusted Comp

1.268x of Star Wars: TROS T-9 (50.71M)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric Feels Pretty said:

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	621	9574	6.49%

 

Comp

0.847x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-16 (8.22M)

2.642x of The Suicide Squad T-16 (10.83M)

1.161x of Dune T-16 (5.92M)

 

Over the past few days there's been this weird mindset that Matrix 4 is set to bomb big time and only do like 10-20M on its OW. But honestly, while it's not a crazy first day of sales, if you take out the Dune number, which had an insane fan/PLF rush, these numbers seem pretty solid. I know that this is being hurt by Spidey and that it would have done way better in 2022 (telling ya, this would have been a slam dunk on Labor Day weekend if Warner didn't already pay for Keanu's backend deal), but I think these are pretty good results, barring a potential fan rush that doesn't pick up once we head towards release. That idea isn't impossible, but I think we're good for right now.

The Matrix: Resurrections Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	55	729	9574	7.61%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 108

 

Comp

0.875x of Godzilla vs. Kong T-15 (8.49M)

2.928x of The Suicide Squad T-15 (12M)

1.266x of Dune T-15 (6.45M)

[Eric is Quiet]

On 12/7/2021 at 12:21 AM, Eric Feels Pretty said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	59	1541	10681	14.43%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 5

Total Seats Added Today: 765

Total Seats Sold Today: 56

 

Finally, we're starting to see some non-Early Access acceleration here. And I think I'll finally add in some comps in the next few days, albeit with some modifications that will ignore the already established Early Access numbers.

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	59	1559	10681	14.60%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 18

 

Total Seats WITHOUT Early Access: 151

 

Comp (WITHOUT Early Access)

8.389x of Jungle Cruise T-15 (22.65M)

 

I felt it was best to use non-EA shows, as that amounted to about 1,408 seats sold and a gross of...1.5M. Yeah, that's just too out of whack here. And yeah, that Jungle Cruise comp isn't good right now, but things will go down to Earth pretty quickly. And since I can't use Space Jam due to demographic issues, this is all I got at this point in time. What are you gonna do?

[Porthos]

No Way Home Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-9 Days and Counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	0	311	20218	38057	17839	46.87%

 

Total Showings Added Today	3
Total Seats Added Today	505
Total Seats Sold Today	424

 

As of T-9, No Way Home has sold...

1.9399x as many tickets as Black Widow  did at stop of tracking.             [26.81m]*

3.0510x as many tickets as Shang-Chi did at stop of tracking.                 [26.85m]

2.3131x as many tickets as Let There Be Carnage did at stop of tracking. [26.83m]

2.7834x as many tickets as Eternals did at stop of tracking.                     [26.44m]

* [adj for Ontario]

 

T-9 Adjusted Comp 

[Made under OFFICIAL PROTEST]  [***100% use at own risk*** — see cautionary note below]

	%		Sold T-9	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
EG	83.85		287	19029		17/243	5547/24576	77.43%		50.31m
TROS	113.80		165	14871		5/210	9661/24532	60.62%		45.52m
NWH (EG adj)	---		372	15955		0/311	17137/33092	48.21%		---
NWH (SW adj)	---		381	16923		0/311	17925/34848	48.56%		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: NWH (EG adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year, a theater which converted to reserved seating this year as well as making an on-the-fly adjustment for a theater which I had partial data for EG and has now shut down and been replaced by another theater a mile a way [for this I am doing only a PLF-PLF comparison for the theater in question]

ADJUSTMENT NOTE #2: NWH (SW adj) is the amount of seats sold that does not include DBOX tracking which started earlier this year as well as a theater that which converted to reserved seating this year.  The theater which has been replaced is 100% included in this comp. 

CAUTIONARY 2021 COMPS NOTE:  ***ALL*** Sacramento 2021 comps when compared to similar pre-COVID movies have been running higher than what has actually been reported.  ABSOLUTELY KEEP THIS IN MIND THAT THIS COMP COULD VERY WELL BE OFF BY AS MUCH AS 15 to 20 PERCENT, or even more.   See here for explanation.

 

Regal:       4886/12528 [37.51% sold] [+1875 tickets]

Matinee:    1722/5023  [34.28% sold | 9.65% of all tickets sold]

[Joyous Legion]

#technicallyAccelerationDefinitelyHighlyMeaningful

[charlie Jatinder]

12 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

#technicallyAccelerationDefinitelyHighlyMeaningful

Is it worth of "told you so"