The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[narniadis]

It makes sense sadly.... Thanksgiving dinner and the sheer amount of meh attitude toward both Jumanji and Star Wars was interesting  - and its a family that overall really enjoys both series. The ads for Jumanji havent sold the film within my circles which of course is just personal opinion I know. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 11/27/2019 at 3:49 PM, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1664

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1692

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
8484	65	22870	37.10%	9	182

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 20.59M

Final Maleficent count comp: 24.06M

Final IT 2 count comp: 22.94M

Final Hobbs count comp: 23.98M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 24.47M

Final Lion King count comp: 25.72M

 

Average: 23.63M

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1687

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1724

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
8646	162	22870	37.80%	9	182

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 20.99M

Final Maleficent count comp: 24.52M

Final IT 2 count comp: 23.38M

Final Hobbs count comp: 24.44M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 24.87M

Final Lion King count comp: 26.21M

 

Average: 24.07M

[Eric the IF]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	165	9,507	30,741	30.93%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 97

 

Comp

4.998x of Once Upon’s final count (28.99M)

2.744x of It: Chapter Two (28.82M)

1.936x of Joker (25.75M)

13.640x of Maleficent (31.37M)

10.915x of Terminator (25.65M)

2.829x of Frozen II (24.04M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.820x of Lion King (18.85M)

3.890x of Hobbs & Shaw (22.56M)

 

So today, which had no major marketing or promotion release did better than yesterday, which had both a notable TV spot and a featurette? Go figure I guess.

[ZackM]

The Rise of Skywalker - Various theater chains (Michigan) - Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	0	0	0	0
Seats Added	2	1	-1	0	1
Seats Sold	158	163	105	131	133
11/29/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	237	28,244	41,863	13,619	32.53%

 

Edited November 30, 2019 by ZackM

[Porthos]

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	209	11279	24474	13195	53.91%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

108

 

T-20 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	372.46		62	3384		2/83	7320/10704	31.61%		77.10m
TROS (adj)	n/a		99	12604		2/209	10608/23212	54.30%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel. 

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

 

T-20 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-20	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
IW	157.75		116	7112		1/116	4013/11125	63.90%		61.52m
TROS (adj)	n/a		75	11219		2/209	7874/19093	58.76%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War.

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	74.01		15159		11219		28.86m
DP2	137.94		8133		11219		25.66m
Solo	193.80		5789		11219		27.33m
JW:FK	180.14		6228		11219		27.56m
AM&tW	243.63		4605		11219		28.02m
Venom	260.83		4493		11719		26.08m
CM	119.44		10553		12604		24.72m
EG	47.29		26655		12604		28.37m
TLK	114.82		10977		12604		26.41m
It 2	233.17		5659		13195		24.48m
AVG							26.75m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-20 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	4	256	14102	53600	39498	26.31%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 121

[XXR vs XXR]

Star Wars: TROS -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 1:00pm CST -- 19 Days to Previews  

 

 

Dolby Cinema
07:00pm: 205/205 -- SOLD OUT 

10:40pm: 132/205

02:15am: 17/205 

 

IMAX / IMAX 3D

06:00pm: 114/151 

09:40pm: 99/151 

01:20am: 0/151

 

Real 3D

06:00pm: 17/125 

06:20pm: 0/76

06:25pm: 0/76

06:30pm: 0/76 

06:45pm: 8/60

07:00pm: 4/60

07:15pm: 13/60

09:45pm: 0/125

10:05pm: 0/76

10:10pm: 0/76

10:30pm: 3/76

10:40pm: 0/60

10:50pm: 0/60

11:10pm: 0/60

01:45am: 0/76

 

Digital 

06:00pm: 95/147

06:15pm: 46/60

07:30pm: 36/60

07:45pm: 17/44 

08:00pm: 19/44

08:15pm: 17/44

08:45pm: 58/125

09:50pm: 33/147

09:55pm: 4/76

10:00pm: 2/76

11:25pm: 0/44

11:40pm: 0/44

11:55pm: 0/44

12:25am: 0/125

1:30am: 0/147

1:40am: 0/76

 

Fan Event

05:00pm: 97/125

 

 

TOTAL

1036 tickets sold out of 3638 seats available (27.98%)

 

 

 

Comps to Final Tracked Numbers

Captain Marvel = 1440 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday

Avengers: Endgame = 3623 sold @ 5:30pm - Thursday 

Toy Story 4 = 822 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday 

The Lion King = 1570 sold @ 4:00pm - Thursday

Joker = 659 sold @ 3:00pm - Thursday 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1687

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1724

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST 2 DAYS	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
8646	162	22870	37.80%	9	182

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 20.99M

Final Maleficent count comp: 24.52M

Final IT 2 count comp: 23.38M

Final Hobbs count comp: 24.44M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 24.87M

Final Lion King count comp: 26.21M

 

Average: 24.07M

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1704

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1738

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
8731	85	22870	38.18%	9	182

 

Final Frozen 2 count comp: 21.19M

Final Maleficent count comp: 24.76M

Final IT 2 count comp: 23.61M

Final Hobbs count comp: 24.68M

Adjusted final OUATiH count comp: 25.14M

Final Lion King count comp: 26.47M

 

Average: 24.31M

[keysersoze123]

SW9 Update

 

MTC1 Prev - overall 5122 shows 303880/854899 4542258.48  +12557
MTC2 Prev - overall 2991 shows 195384/440002 2495895.00 +6745
MTC1 OD - overall 5342 shows 207581/1090310 3273374.51 post 6PM 2464 shows 124984/504375 2092821.60 +16638
MTC2 OD - overall 4432 shows 155635/725262 1765260.00 1424526.00 post 6PM 1690 shows 82551/285284 1065511.00 769640.00 +19219
MTC1 D2 - overall 5284 shows 171681/1080203 2549257.48 post 6PM 2458 shows 68427/503233 1173608.76 +20206
MTC2 D2 - overall 4441 shows 124843/729489 1359200.00 1142445.00 post 6PM 1694 shows 35908/286174 475402.00 344403.00 +20001
MTC1 D3 - overall 5122 shows 91300/1047504 1355369.44 post 6PM 2403 shows 30102/493790 522827.99 +14775
MTC2 D3 - overall 4393 shows 61318/724606 646330.00 566626.00 post 6PM 1625 shows 13915/276533 174711.00 135442.00 +13240

 

I had done a update of previews earlier this week and OD at MTC 1 as well. Rest are week of data. That is more than 123K tickets sold between 2 MTC. Not bad at all. its definitely ramping up as we are almost into December.

 

 

[ZackM]

The Rise of Skywalker - Various theater chains (Michigan) - Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	0	0	0	0	0
Seats Added	3	2	1	-1	0
Seats Sold	168	158	163	105	131
11/30/2019	Showings	Seats Left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Pct. Sold
Total	237	28,079	41,866	13,787	32.93%

[Eric the IF]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	165	9,596	30,741	31.22%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 89

 

Comp

5.045x of Once Upon’s final count (29.26M)

2.770x of It: Chapter Two (29.09M)

1.954x of Joker (25.99M)

13.767x of Maleficent (31.66M)

11.017x of Terminator (25.89M)

2.855x of Frozen II (24.27M)

 

Adjusted Comp

0.827x of Lion King (19.03M)

3.927x of Hobbs & Shaw (22.78M)

[Eric the IF]

@keysersoze123

 

I still have major doubts on this hitting that high, but do you still think your data is pacing towards a possible 50M Thursday?

[Porthos]

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	209	11140	24474	13334	54.48%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

139

 

T-19 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-19	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	367.42		78	3462		2/83	7247/10709	32.33%		76.06m
EG	73.76		247	17245		8/221	5779/23024	74.90%		44.25m
TROS (adj)	n/a		116	12720		2/209	10492/23212	54.80%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel and Endgame. 

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Endgame had 24 days of pre-sales.

 

T-19 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-19	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
IW	157.65		67	7179		2/116	3946/11125	64.53%		61.49m
Solo	405.52		161	2791		0/87	6557/9348	29.86%		57.18m
TROS (adj)	n/a		99	11318		2/209	7775/19093	59.28%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War and Solo.

THEATER NOTE: If a theater in the region was not open for the above movies but is for TROS it WILL be counted as part of this adjustment.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales and Solo 21 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	74.66		15159		11318		29.12m
DP2	139.16		8133		11318		25.88m
Solo	195.51		5789		11318		27.57m
JW:FK	181.73		6228		11318		27.80m
AM&tW	245.78		4605		11318		28.26m
Venom	263.30		4493		11830		26.33m
CM	120.53		10553		12720		24.95m
EG	47.72		26655		12720		28.63m
TLK	115.88		10977		12720		26.65m
It 2	235.62		5659		13334		24.74m
AVG							26.99m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

 

==

 

Brought back in Endgame (on its fifth day of sales) and Solo (on its second full day of sales).  EG, as you can see, is still in nuttyville, and will be for a while.  The Solo comp is also next to useless, not just because of TROS' massive head start, but even on a day-to-day basis, little to be gleaned from something on its second day of sales and something on its forty-first.  Still, might as well rip the bandaid off.

 

Probably start putting the comp off of final total in a spoiler box to save screen real-estate.  See how I feel about it in the morning.  

 

Not planning on bringing in any other comps, so we'll see how these go as we get closer to release.

Edited December 2, 2019 by Porthos

[charlie Jatinder]

7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

SW9 Update

MTC1 Prev - overall 5122 shows 303880/854899 4542258.48 +12557
MTC2 Prev - overall 2991 shows 195384/440002 2495895.00 +6745

MTC1 OD - overall 5342 shows 207581/1090310 3273374.51 +16638
MTC2 OD - overall 4432 shows 155635/725262 1765260.00  +19219

MTC1 D2 - overall 5284 shows 171681/1080203 2549257.48 +20206
MTC2 D2 - overall 4441 shows 124843/729489 1359200.00  +20001

MTC1 D3 - overall 5122 shows 91300/1047504 1355369.44 +14775
MTC2 D3 - overall 4393 shows 61318/724606 646330.00  +13240

 

So we have 19 Days Out at

Previews: $19mn

OD: $14mn

Sat: $11mn

Sun: $5.5mn

Total: $49.5mn

Roughly $1.7mn added in last week. Outside FSS say another $6mn for $55mn. Seems kind of low. Shall cross $60mn this week I reckon and $70mn by next week.

 

I think final number will be around $90mn, around 75% of TFA & TLJ and half of Endgame.

 

Going by Wang’s number Endgame final PS were $180-190mn while TFA would be $125mn and TLJ just about around.

 

Edited December 1, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	4	256	14252	53600	39348	26.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 150

[pepsa]

3 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

So we have 19 Days Out at

 

Previews: $19mn

OD: $14mn

Sat: $11mn

Sun: $5.5mn

 

Total: $49.5mn

 

Roughly $1.7mn added in last week. Seems kinda low. Shall cross $52mn this week I reckon and $60mn by next week. I think final number will be around $80mn, around 75% of TFA and half of Endgame.

 

What the % compared to the last jedi? It's higher right?

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, pepsa said:

What the % compared to the last jedi? It's higher right?

Don't know but per @Deep Wang final numbers, two were close. So I guess TLJ was around $100mn final.

[pepsa]

11 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Don't know but per @Deep Wang final numbers, two were close. So I guess TLJ was around $100mn final.

That would mean that SW9 will end lower than SW8? What OW do you expect?

[charlie Jatinder]

Looking in the thread, the oldest number we have on EG is 13 days out

On 4/13/2019 at 4:43 AM, Deep Wang said:

EG - 29.4m for those of you that don't venture over to the tracking thread.

That would be $95mn Approx. Yeah it's like a week later than now for TROS but TROS is selling like for a month and week while EG was 11 days. TROS is currently half of this number.

 

Per @Deep Wang data, estimating to

13 Days Out: $95mn

7 Days Out: $115-120mn

4 Days Out: $140mn

1 Day Out: $170mn

Final: $185mn Approx

 

[charlie Jatinder]

19 minutes ago, pepsa said:

That would mean that SW9 will end lower than SW8? What OW do you expect?

Trivially it will but we actually don't know how much TROS gonna sell in next 20 days, but yeah, it is gonna open much lesser.