The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[XXR vs XXR]

@Inceptionzq Your comps for Friday and Saturday (vs Thursday) at both chains are highly encouraging that this won't be as frontloaded as some on here are predicting. At least not OW. 

 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

242

794

30.48%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

156

1036

15.06%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1006	105	10302	9.77%	15	64

 

AMCs sold	655
Cinemarks sold	118
Regals sold	153
Harkins sold	80

 

102.24% of Dune T-11

Matrix Resurrections Wednesday Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

255

794

32.12%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

175

1036

16.89%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1079	73	10302	10.47%	15	64

 

AMCs sold	705
Cinemarks sold	124
Regals sold	160
Harkins sold	90

 

102.37% of Dune T-10

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-11 days Wednesday(55 showings): 620(+40)/12049(+1498) in 13 theaters

 

T-12 days Thursday(51 showings): 228(+30)/11437(+1498) in 12 theaters

 

T-13 days Friday(26 showings): 129(+15)/5436 in 9 theaters

 

T-14 days Saturday(39 showings): 158(+32)/8861 in 9 theaters

 

T-15 days Sunday(25 showings): 34(+7)/4882 in 6 theaters

Matrix Resurrections Megaplex

 

T-10 days Wednesday(55 showings): 699(+79)/12049 in 13 theaters

 

T-11 days Thursday(51 showings): 272(+44)/11437 in 12 theaters

 

T-12 days Friday(26 showings): 142(+13)/5436 in 9 theaters

 

T-13 days Saturday(39 showings): 179(+21)/8861 in 9 theaters

 

T-14 days Sunday(25 showings): 34/4882 in 6 theaters

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-11 days Wednesday(90 showings): 4032(+248)/11765

 

T-12 days Thursday(87 showings): 2323(+191)/10840

 

T-13 days Friday(53 showings): 648(+36)/6175

 

T-14 days Saturday(70 showings): 1073(+101)/7840

 

T-15 days Sunday(58 showings): 604(+96)/6744

Matrix Resurrections Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-10 days Wednesday(90 showings): 4243(+211)/11765

 

T-11 days Thursday(87 showings): 2499(+176)/10840

 

T-12 days Friday(53 showings): 725(+77)/6175

 

T-13 days Saturday(70 showings): 1204(+131)/7840

 

T-14 days Sunday(58 showings): 671(+67)/6744

[Inceptionzq]

25 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

@Inceptionzq Your comps for Friday and Saturday (vs Thursday) at both chains are highly encouraging that this won't be as frontloaded as some on here are predicting. At least not OW. 

 

I wouldn’t compare FSS vs Thursday. My final FSS numbers are in the morning or late the night before, and my final Thursday numbers are as previews are starting. So I miss a lot of walkups especially on FSS.

 

It’s not really a problem for movies that have similar percentages of presales vs total sold, but it’s a problem here. NWH is already gonna be more presale loaded than any other movie on every day, of course, but it will be extra presale loaded vs these other movies on FSS. So even though the Friday final comps are higher than the Thursday final comps, it really just shows how much more presale loaded NWH is.

[ZackM]

Spider-Man: No Way Home Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago
Showings Added	29	190	205	275
Seats Added	6,725	15,975	20,008	24,954
Seats Sold	17,519	14,597	13,783	12,603
12/12/2021	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	433	8,001	637,172	1,253,847	50.82%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	86	740	1,579	2,540	3,547
ATP
$14.62

 

 

*Yesterday's numbers have been updated to include sales from two theaters that were apparently missing.

Edited December 14, 2021 by ZackM

[Landon1195]

54 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

I wouldn’t compare FSS vs Thursday. My final FSS numbers are in the morning or late the night before, and my final Thursday numbers are as previews are starting. So I miss a lot of walkups especially on FSS.

 

It’s not really a problem for movies that have similar percentages of presales vs total sold, but it’s a problem here. NWH is already gonna be more presale loaded than any other movie on every day, of course, but it will be extra presale loaded vs these other movies on FSS. So even though the Friday final comps are higher than the Thursday final comps, it really just shows how much more presale loaded NWH is.

Do you still think No Way Home will open with $200M?

Edited December 13, 2021 by Landon1195

[Inceptionzq]

16 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

Do you still think No Way Home will open with $200M?

Yes

[Menor the Destroyer]

26 minutes ago, ZackM said:

Spider-Man: No Way Home Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago
Showings Added	29	190	205	275
Seats Added	6,725	15,975	20,008	24,954
Seats Sold	17,519	14,597	13,783	12,603
12/12/2019	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	433	8,001	637,172	1,253,847	50.82%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	86	740	1,579	2,540	3,547
ATP
$14.62

 

 

*Yesterday's numbers have been updated to include sales from two theaters that were apparently missing.

Sunday acceleration happening with this fun being fairly early is encouraging. Tomorrow should be a sizable pace jump.

[XXR vs XXR]

On 12/9/2021 at 7:20 PM, Multiverse of XXR said:

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 7PM - December 9, 2021

50 show times, 2495 tickets sold 
4 private screenings sold (160 tickets equivalent)
 

Comparisons to Final Ticket Sales Tracked

Endgame — 50 show times, 3623 tickets sold 

Captain Marvel -- 30 show times, 1140 tickets sold 
Infinity War -- 37 show times, 2449 tickets sold 

The Rise or Skywalker — 44 show times, 1826 tickets sold 


Comps to Final Previews
EG = $41.32M or $43.97M with private screenings
CM = $45.30M or $48.21M with private screenings
IW = $39.73M or $42.28M with private screenings 
TROS = $54.65M or $58.16M with private screenings 

 

 

Notes: Show times are up to 50 + 5 private screenings (4 have sold, 1 more is available), so it's already matched Endgame for total shows even without the private screenings. I'm not sure if they'll add any more times. It's also now crossed Infinity War as of my final track (outright, even without private screenings). 

 

 

 

Spider-Man: No Way Home Current Number, 24 Screen Theater, 7PM - December 12, 2021

50 show times, 2684 tickets sold 
4 private screenings sold (160 tickets equivalent)
 

Comparisons to Final Ticket Sales Tracked

Endgame — 50 show times, 3623 tickets sold 

Captain Marvel -- 30 show times, 1140 tickets sold 
Infinity War -- 37 show times, 2449 tickets sold 

The Rise or Skywalker — 44 show times, 1826 tickets sold 


Comps to Final Previews
EG = $44.45M or $47.10M with private screenings
CM = $48.73M or $51.64M with private screenings
IW = $42.74M or $45.29M with private screenings 
TROS = $58.80M or $62.30M with private screenings 

 

 

Notes: Nothing new to note. I will do my next update on December 14th. 

[Landon1195]

What do you think is the most presale heavy movie ever?

[XXR vs XXR]

5 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

What do you think is the most presale heavy movie ever?

 

We know it's Endgame. 

[Landon1195]

1 minute ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

 

We know it's Endgame. 

I mean more like something that had huge presales but didn't really show in the opening weekend, or something where a big chunk of the opening came from presales.

[Legion Again]

2 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

 

We know it's Endgame. 

Nope. TFA and TLJ were probably slightly more, TROS much more.

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

I mean more like something that had huge presales but didn't really show in the opening weekend, or something where a big chunk of the opening came from presales.

That's what they were answering.  

 

Edit: I was mistaken.

Edited December 13, 2021 by Product Driven Legion

[XXR vs XXR]

2 minutes ago, Landon1195 said:

I mean more like something that had huge presales but didn't really show in the opening weekend, or something where a big chunk of the opening came from presales.

 

1 minute ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Nope. TFA and TLJ were probably slightly more, TROS much more.

 

Ahh yea I thought you were just asking which movie had the most presales. 

But yea as a presale ratio to OW, it's TROS.

Edited December 13, 2021 by Multiverse of XXR

[Landon1195]

17 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

 

 

Ahh yea I thought you were just asking which movie had the most presales. 

But yea as a presale ratio to OW, it's TROS.

What was the ratio and why was it so presale heavy compared to the other Star Wars films?

Edited December 13, 2021 by Landon1195

[charlie Jatinder]

@ZackM did you do Friday run yday?

[ZackM]

3 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

@ZackM did you do Friday run yday?

No, I can do one tonight though.

[SpiderByte]

2 hours ago, Landon1195 said:

I mean more like something that had huge presales but didn't really show in the opening weekend, or something where a big chunk of the opening came from presales.

Oh, Solo and TROS I'd guess. Those were insanely frontloaded.

Edited December 13, 2021 by SpiderByte