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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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I wouldn't be surprised if Oceans 8 and Hereditary both performed better than their tracking range. Hotel Artemis is doomed if these presales are any indication of how it will play this weekend. 

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Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: T-15 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

0

97

8764

10113

13.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:      92

 

.2210x as many tickets sold as Infinity War after 8 days of pre-sales.

.1795x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 15 days before release. (IW had 19 more days of pre-sales)

.5241x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 15 days before release (BP had 16 more days of pre-sales)  [I don't have info for day one of pre-sales for BP]

.5797x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2  15 days before release (DP2 had one plus more days of pre-sales) [Some theaters also went on sale early for DP2]

.4269x as many tickets sold as Solo 15 days before release pre-sales (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to JW:FK's 22 days of presales)

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Fandango Presales Volume.

 

Date           Name                      Monday      Tuesday       Wednesday
04/06/18    A Quiet Place           2177          4003            10665
04/06/18    Blockers                  504            1106            2931
04/13/18    Rampage                705            1508            4109
04/13/18    Truth Or Dare         385            760              2133
04/20/18    Super Troopers 2    2825          3447            6811
04/20/18    I Feel Pretty             871            1610           4423
04/27/18    Avengers 3              49836        54892         68826   
05/04/18    Overboard               84              409            1044

05/11/18    Breaking In              727            1204           2899
05/11/18    Life Of The Party      587            1310          3010

05/18/18    Deadpool 2              23134        28896         41212
05/18/18    Show Dogs              6               128             369
05/18/18    Book Club                836            1599           3283

05/25/18    Solo : Star Wars       13688       15855         28533

06/01/18    Action Point             17              48               197

06/01/18    Adrift                       63              308             1268

06/01/18    Upgrade                  9                119              522

06/08/18    Hotel Artemis          28              177              507

06/08/18    Hereditary               669            1201            3108

06/08/18    Oceans 8                 3048          4429            11225

 

http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt

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On ‎5‎/‎31‎/‎2018 at 3:45 AM, mathmadness said:

20 theater report.  accumulation of Wednesday shows.  then accumulation of Friday shows.

            shows / theaters

Rampage - 18 / 5

I Feel Pretty - 17 / 4

A Quiet Place - 47 / 12

Overboard - 80 / 17

Breaking In - 35 / 9

Life of the Party - 59 / 14

Book Club - 94 / 20

Infinity War - 138 / 20

Deadpool 2 - 214 / 20

Solo: Star Wars - 323 / 20

Action Point - 119 / 20 

Adrift - 107 / 19

Upgrade - 101 / 20

20 theater report.  accumulation of Friday shows.

               shows / theaters

Rampage - 18 / 4 

I Feel Pretty - 15 / 4

A Quiet Place - 38 / 8

Overboard - 64 / 16

Breaking In - 21 / 6

Life of the Party - 54 / 14

Book Club - 70 / 15 (-25%)

Infinity War - 97 / 19

Deadpool 2 - 150 / 20

Solo: Star Wars - 183 / 20 (lost almost all premiums to O8)

Action Point - 65 / 20 (-45% showtime reduction)

Adrift - 99 / 20

Upgrade - 97 / 20

Hotel Artemis - 102 / 20

Hereditary - 99 / 19

Oceans Eight - 213 / 20

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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Tonight at my theater:

 

Ocean's 8: 17/78

Hereditary: 6/78

Hotel Artemis: 1/78

If Ocean's is going for 40-45, that puts Hered at 14-16, that's some good territory

 

How's your theater looking for I2 btw?

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6 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

If Ocean's is going for 40-45, that puts Hered at 14-16, that's some good territory

 

How's your theater looking for I2 btw?

Next Thursday:

 

6:00: 38/124

7:00 3D: 9/78

8:00 3D: 0/69

9:00: 1/124

Total: 48/395

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Their June 15 Incredibles 2 is currently pacing to become Fandango’s biggest animated pre-seller off all-time beating the pre-sales records of Disney/Pixar’s Finding Dory at the same point in its sales cycle, as well as a number of live-action superhero titles including last summer’s Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming and 2016’s Suicide Squad.

 

Similar to Finding Dory three summers ago, Incredibles 2 is a long-awaited legacy sequel primed to stoke not only its older fans, but younger too with the potential to pull in a swath from 3-years old to 90. The most ambitious forecasts for the Brad Bird-directed title are in the upper $140Ms, meaning Incredibles 2 could topple Finding Dory‘s $135M opening to become the highest debut for an animated film ever at the domestic box office.

 

https://deadline.com/2018/06/the-incredibles-2-advance-ticket-sales-animated-record-fandango-1202405422/

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Just now, TalismanRing said:

Heredity would be far more front loaded as horror

yeah I know, I just didn't know how to shrink it, so went for the lazy simple maths route :P 

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So, there's an Atom deal for Ocean's 8 with $8 off 2 tickets...not sure how this will play at theaters, but I have presales tonight for my 2 locals...

 

Non-Atom (Cinemark) - 3 showings - 25/600 tickets sold - that's it so far...not looking very good for a big breakout...in fact, kinda looks disappointing...

Atom (Regal) - 2 showings - 49/180 tickets sold - better with a lot less availability, but still not $50M weekend kinda numbers...

 

PS - And checked Friday night primetime (7pm) showings and there is a large difference in presales...very few at the Cinemark (under 20), but 2/3rd of a 200 seater at the Regal...so individual theaters might have wildly different "looks" for how this movie will do...

Edited by TwoMisfits
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Keep in mind for Ocean's 8 that there were some previews last night as well that may have eaten away at some of the demand in certain areas but also keep it in mind because of its preview number. That and the 4PM start time for tonight which imo is rather pointless when you consider the demo they're trying to reach. 

I dont think we will know how this is gonna play out until we get the Friday number to be honest because of how previews are set up. 

 

Based on looking at theaters in my area, unless this is extremely walk up heavy I'm not sensing a $50M+ weekend that I'd hoped for....but again I have no clue how this movie will perform so it's preview number may not matter. At the moment I'm thinking $40-45M for it. 

 

 Also the 4PM showtimes as I said above are looking to be useless. They start in 4.5 hours here and at 4 different theaters in my area they've sold nothing. Whereas the 7PM/7:15PM showtimes have sold high single digits/low double digits for comparison. 

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