The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Stewart]

3 minutes ago, Nova said:

I just feel like The Nun is in the right spot at the right time. Maybe I am forgetting a film (probably am) but the last real horror film to be released was A Quiet Place back in April. I guess if you count the purge as a horror film then it's that. But the point is that the horror audience has been starved for a film in their genre for several months. And given the good reception for the trailer plus the imo effective marketing, I can really see it breaking out where it's at. It just feels like it's a movie that's going to have everything work for it and break out.

Hereditary, Truth or Dare and Slenderman all count I think. All came out after AQP.

 

However iirc these weren’t received greatly and all made less than what The Nun will open to

[TalismanRing]

5 minutes ago, Nova said:

I just feel like The Nun is in the right spot at the right time. Maybe I am forgetting a film (probably am) but the last real horror film to be released was A Quiet Place back in April. I guess if you count the purge as a horror film then it's that. But the point is that the horror audience has been starved for a film in their genre for several months. And given the good reception for the trailer plus the imo effective marketing, I can really see it breaking out where it's at. It just feels like it's a movie that's going to have everything work for it and break out.

Also, Truth or Dare and Hereditary

 

and Death of a Nation 

[Nova]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

Also, Truth or Dare and Hereditary

 

and Death of a Nation 

I knew I forgot them 

2 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

Hereditary, Truth or Dare and Slenderman all count I think. All came out after AQP.

 

However iirc these weren’t received greatly and all made less than what The Nun will open to

All forgettable and thus the general audience probably forgot about them too 

[KeepItU25071906]

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

and Death of a Nation 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Final A.X.L. sales at my theater:

 

4:00: 7/78

6:45: 7/78

Total: 14/156

 

Comps (all using PTA):

 

10% of Hotel Transylvania 3 (1.8M)

15% of Christopher Robin (1.8M)

30% of Teen Titans Go! (1.7M)

 

These sales are indicating O/U 1k for the PTA. Terrible  

[WrathOfHan]

The Happytime Murders: 32/124

Beautifully Broken: 2/78

 

Beautifully Broken has some of the worst previews at my theater this year, but that's not surprising at all. BOM still hasn't released a TC for this  

 

Happytime comps:

 

85% of Tag (12.7M)

90% of Uncle Drew (13.7M)

95% of Game Night (16.2M)

100% of The Spy Who Dumped Me (12.1M)

105% of Mile 22 (14.4M)

110% of Blockers (22.7M)

180% of Life of the Party (32.2M)

 

The summer movies are probably better comps even though school is in session.

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

The Happytime Murders: 32/124

Beautifully Broken: 2/78

 

Beautifully Broken has some of the worst previews at my theater this year, but that's not surprising at all. BOM still hasn't released a TC for this  

 

Happytime comps:

 

85% of Tag (12.7M)

90% of Uncle Drew (13.7M)

95% of Game Night (16.2M)

100% of The Spy Who Dumped Me (12.1M)

105% of Mile 22 (14.4M)

110% of Blockers (22.7M)

180% of Life of the Party (32.2M)

 

The summer movies are probably better comps even though school is in session.

But what if it follows Life of the Party 🤔

Joke is on us then, right? 

[excel1]

THE DARK KNIGHT has near sold out all Imax showings in LA this weekend.

[Ryan Reynolds]

Paramount releasing 3 films in November each a week apart, seems odd

[Ryan Reynolds]

3 hours ago, excel1 said:

THE DARK KNIGHT has near sold out all Imax showings in LA this weekend.

they were sold out the day they went on sale, only one showing per day

[dxmatrixdt]

8 hours ago, Nova said:

I just feel like The Nun is in the right spot at the right time. Maybe I am forgetting a film (probably am) but the last real horror film to be released was A Quiet Place back in April. I guess if you count the purge as a horror film then it's that. But the point is that the horror audience has been starved for a film in their genre for several months. And given the good reception for the trailer plus the imo effective marketing, I can really see it breaking out where it's at. It just feels like it's a movie that's going to have everything work for it and break out.

 

It is in a good spot, but if it does not build from the current demand and get good reviews, it could go Kingsman 2 and open around 90% of 40 million for 36 OW.  Good, but could damage the franchise if The Nun is a dud.  

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

9:35AM ET - MT Update

 

36.5% - Crazy Rich Asians

8.8% - The Happytime Murders

7.1% - The Meg

5.8% - Mission Impossible: Fallout

5.3% - Disney's Christopher Robin

 

[filmlover]

8 hours ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

Paramount releasing 3 films in November each a week apart, seems odd

It's not unusual for studios to put out movies over consecutive weeks when they're all aimed at different audiences.

[DAJK]

Damn... BO saying Halloween’s OW range at 50-85mln goddamn here we go Jamie Lee Curtis let’s get that record

[Krissykins]

On 8/23/2018 at 11:19 PM, Nova said:

I knew I forgot them 

All forgettable and thus the general audience probably forgot about them too 

 

Hereditary wasn’t forgettable. 

[poweranimals]

24 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

 

Hereditary wasn’t forgettable. 

I wish I could forget.

[dxmatrixdt]

tough weekend to predict spots #11-#30.  anyone know which ones will get re-released in theaters this weekend? 

Ant-Man 2, HT3, Incredibles 2 will probably occupy the increased showings (or vacant slots) and have the other expansions dominated.

 

 

[TalismanRing]

21 minutes ago, dX airdry zid said:

tough weekend to predict spots #11-#30.  anyone know which ones will get re-released in theaters this weekend? 

Ant-Man 2, HT3, Incredibles 2 will probably occupy the increased showings (or vacant slots) and have the other expansions dominated.

 

 

AFAIK there haven't been any announced expansions and BOM won't probably won't have the screen counts up until Thur .

[dxmatrixdt]

Sorry to Bother You and Jurassic World might be making a final push this weekend.

Incredibles 2 should be adding what it can.

 

I've been guessing Hereditary would expand too, but any expansions will only damage WOM, lol.

Also guessing - Teen Titans, Skyscraper, Eighth Grade, 

[WrathOfHan]

On 8/21/2018 at 4:10 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Dog Days and Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again are gone.

 

A.X.L.: 4 (Average)

Beautifully Broken: 4 (2nd Biggest)

BlacKkKlansman: 4 (Biggest x0.5 and Average x0.5)

The Happytime Murders: 4 (Average)

 

Alpha: 4 (Flat and lost 3D; 4th Smallest)

Crazy Rich Asians: 4 (Flat; Average)

Disney's Christopher Robin: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

The Meg: 4 (Flat; 3 2D/1 3D; Average)

Mile 22: 4 (Biggest x0.5 and Average x0.5)

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 4 (Flat; Average)

The Equalizer 2: 2 (Down 2; 2nd Smallest x0.5)

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation: 2 (Down 2; 2nd Smallest x0.5)

Slender Man: 2 (Down 2; 3rd Smallest x0.5)

The Spy Who Dumped Me: 2 (Down 2; 3rd Smallest x0.5)

 

During the weekend, the biggest auditorium is split between Alpha and The Meg while the 2nd Biggest is Klansman/Happytime.

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:  

  Hide contents

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

 

 

Beautifully Broken, The Equalizer 2, and Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation are gone.

 

Kin: 4 (Biggest x0.5 and 2nd Biggest x0.5)

Operation Finale: 4 (Average)

Incredibles 2: 2 (Return; Smallest x0.5)

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: 2 (Return; Smallest x0.5)

 

Alpha: 4 (Flat; Average)

A.X.L.: 4 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

BlacKkKlansman: 4 (Flat; Average)

Crazy Rich Asians: 4 (Flat; Biggest x0.5 and 2nd Biggest x0.5)

Disney's Christopher Robin: 4 (Flat; 2nd Smallest)

The Happytime Murders: 4 (Flat; Average)

The Meg: 4 (Flat and lost 3D; 3rd Smallest)

Mile 22: 4 (Flat; Average)

Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 4 (Flat; Average)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:  

Spoiler

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

Edited August 28, 2018 by WrathOfHan