Weekend Thread - Insidious 29.6M, Jumanji 37.2M, TLJ 23.7M, TGS 13.8M, PP3 10.3

[filmlover]

Great expansion for I, Tonya. It's definitely being positioned well for when it goes "wide" in two weeks (I'm predicting Robbie takes home the Globe tonight).

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Trashmerica better not let this outgross it.

only <1m away after a 1.28m weekend. so will go over Mother!

MLK 4-day coming up too. Don't think it will touch 20m though.

[Ezen Baklattan]

46 minutes ago, filmlover said:

We getting a live chat thread for the Golden Globes tonight? @CJohn @aabattery

Oui.

[EmpireCity]

1 hour ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

I posted about this some yesterday, but the numbers for I, Tonya are pointing towards a big breakout in the next 2 weeks.  

 

It made about $750k on Friday after adding roughly 200 locations and then actually went up to $1m on Saturday.  Given there was likely a lot of Thursday shows packed into that Friday number, to have that sort of jump on Saturday points to really strong word of mouth.  

 

This movie likely plays in middle america better than most of the award season contenders and if it wins something tonight at the Golden Globes it could really take off as they expand next week and then wide on 1/19

 

Something to keep an eye on.  

[La Binoche]

 

[The Panda]

2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

Maybe this time around, they’ll finally release one of these films in October

I’m rather surprised major horror franchises haven’t tried to take advantage of October for the last few years.  I think Halloween may be the first big one in the last few years.

[YM!]

Halloween and Venom should both do over $60M/$200M imo. They’ll benefit from Halloween but both have to be good.

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, La Binoche said:

 

 

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Halloween and Venom should both do over $60M/$200M imo. They’ll benefit from Halloween but both have to be good.

 

You predict every fucking movie in existence to hit 200M

[BK007]

10 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Let's talk this holiday season...we all know that it's now gonna be an unprecedented one, with not one, but two movies looking at a possible 10x multiplier...

 

Part of that can be explained by TLJ overshadowing the market its 1st week...part of that can be explained by Wed openers and holiday set up...part of that can be explained by good WOM...but part of it can't...

 

Add in this weekend's opener which just "popped"...and the fact that the company that is probably causing some of this "market upheaval" may or may not exist in 6 months and cannot even answer its customer service questions, let alone get us any real usable data...ever...since it probably has almost no employees working on it...

 

I think I can say this will be a very interesting (and I think HUGE year, til Moviepass goes under or changes) for the 2018 DOM BO, maybe with the tag "expect the unexpected"...my bold prediction was the year itself would break records...and this weekend is a good starting point for that prediction...

 

(PS - This is why I'm so down on TLJ's legs...every other movie is getting folks in by the boat loads, probably thanks to "free", but TLJ still can't...in a regular market, I'd brush it off more, but I think every day, we see this is no longer a "regular" movie going market, at least right now)...

 

(And PPS - Theaters better hope Moviepass never fails, b/c it's changing mindsets so fast, I don't think there's any return if it goes under...it goes under and they may also fall off a cliff rapidly without adopting rapid changes...but that's for a separate thread:)...

 

What is this MoviePass that keeps being spouted as having some sort of effect?

[The Panda]

I’d wait for the Venom and Halloween trailers before predicting 200m

 

Im thinking First Man goes over 200m though due to the success of the Martian and Gravity.

[titanic2187]

5 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

 

I smell mini american sniper.....

[BK007]

3 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Halloween and Venom should both do over $60M/$200M imo. They’ll benefit from Halloween but both have to be good.

 

Halloween? As in, the horror franchise?

 

Not gonna make it past $50m.

[MaxAggressor]

1	2	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony	$36,000,000	-28.1%	3,801	+36	$9,471	$244,372,666	$90	3
2	N	Insidious: The Last Key	Uni.	$29,265,000	-	3,116	-	$9,392	$29,265,000	$10	1
3	1	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$23,551,000	-55.2%	4,232	-	$5,565	$572,513,602	-	4
4	4	The Greatest Showman	Fox	$13,800,000	-11.1%	3,342	+26	$4,129	$75,904,372	$84	3
5	3	Pitch Perfect 3	Uni.	$10,225,000	-39.2%	3,458	-10	$2,957	$85,984,090	$45	3
6	5	Ferdinand	Fox	$7,730,000	-32.1%	3,156	-181	$2,449	$70,499,118	$111	4
7	13	Molly's Game	STX	$7,000,000	+197.9%	1,608	+1,337	$4,353	$14,216,560	-	2
8	8	Darkest Hour	Focus	$6,355,000	+15.8%	1,733	+790	$3,667	$28,393,107	-	7
9	6	Coco	BV	$5,539,000	-25.8%	1,894	-210	$2,924	$192,081,961	-	7
10	7	All the Money in the World	TriS	$3,550,000	-36.4%	2,123	+49	$1,672	$20,131,909	-	2
11	11	The Shape of Water	FoxS	$3,100,000	-12.2%	804	+48	$3,856	$21,653,464	-	6
12	23	I, Tonya	Neon	$2,426,319	+297.4%	242	+193	$10,026	$5,294,538	-	5
13	12	Wonder	LGF	$2,400,000	-26.2%	1,258	+65	$1,908	$126,657,086	-	8
14	9	Downsizing	Par.	$2,130,000	-54.7%	2,020	-648	$1,054	$22,860,118	$68	3
15	24	The Post	Fox	$1,700,000	+203.0%	36	+27	$47,222	$3,849,656	$50	3
16	14	Lady Bird	A24	$1,558,800	+6.3%	562	+170	$2,774	$34,114,891	-	10
17	10	Father Figures	WB	$1,280,000	-66.5%	1,717	-1,185	$745	$16,790,460	-	3
18	16	The Disaster Artist	A24	$781,530	-16.2%	478	-29	$1,635	$19,467,278	-	6
19	21	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	FoxS	$705,000	+4.4%	310	+44	$2,274	$25,392,714	-	9
20	15	Justice League	WB	$550,000	-54.1%	518	-697	$1,062	$227,025,639	-	8
21	19	Thor: Ragnarok	BV	$534,000	-37.5%	325	-215	$1,643	$312,478,786	$180	10
22	17	Daddy's Home 2	Par.	$500,000	-45.7%	429	-341	$1,166	$102,961,502	$69	9
23	22	Murder on the Orient Express (2017)	Fox	$445,000	-27.8%	314	-77	$1,417	$101,550,135	$55	9
24	39	Hostiles	ENTMP	$310,000	+826.6%	46	+41	$6,739	$435,192	-	3
25	26	Phantom Thread	Focus	$245,000	+13.2%	6	+2	$40,833	$951,950	-	2

[filmlover]

Just now, New Year New Panda said:

I’d wait for the Venom and Halloween trailers before predicting 200m

 

Im thinking First Man goes over 200m though due to the success of the Martian and Gravity.

I'm pretty sure First Man is going to be a very different movie from those two.  $100M+ should definitely happen if everything goes right for it though.

[Brainbug]

Last Jedi Worldwide update:

 

Domestic:	$572,513,602	47.5%
+ Foreign:	$632,700,000	52.5%
= Worldwide:	$1,205,213,602

 

 

Seeing big numbers makes me happy every time

[YM!]

2 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

 

You predict every fucking movie in existence to hit 200M

Well fuck me for being an optimist

[That One Girl]

Absolute best case scenario for Halloween (as in everything goes right for it) is Get Out numbers

[That One Girl]

Just now, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Well fuck me for being an optimist

 

There’s a difference between being optimistic and unrealistic

[TwoMisfits]

4 minutes ago, BK007 said:

 

What is this MoviePass that keeps being spouted as having some sort of effect?

https://www.moviepass.com/

 

They had their 3rd big subscription pop as Xmas presents, when Costco ran a $89.95 annual deal the 2nd week of December...adding in their original late August pop when they 1st reduced their price to $9.95/month and then in November when they made the 1st $89.95 annual deal that sold out (so the deal ended faster)...it's gone from 10K subscribers in Jan 2017 to between 1-2M as of Jan 2018 (they released data they hit 1 million at some point in December, but the Costco deal had not ended yet:)...

Edited January 7, 2018 by TwoMisfits