BLACK PANTHER WEEKEND THREAD | Current Estimates - 202.4M 3-day / 242.6M 4-day | Record 40.167 Monday; more than TFA!

[stripe]

1 hour ago, junkshop36 said:

This is doing 600m. I’m thinking, at worse, 605-610m.  

 

Agree. This might beat the original Avengers. Clear signs of SH fatigue 

[KP1025]

6 minutes ago, Alexiswills12 said:

Because the massive Latino population is a mix of different cultures too. It probably did do huge numbers with Mexicans.

True, but Coco also had stellar WOM in most of Latin America outside Brazil. In Spanish-speaking countries, it was very well received despite the holiday being a Mexican event.

 

Coco also had a rare A+ Cinemascore, which makes it even more strange it didn't break out domestically.

[stripe]

Coco grossed more or less as expected. Anyways, it is sad that it didn't breakout big, because it's gorgeous.

 

Now see Incredibles 2 deliver the 2nd biggest BO run for Pixar.

[dxmatrixdt]

I would say about 5,000 of this weeks theater counts will be removed to make way for new product next week.  500 will probably go towards Fifty Shades.  Play around with those numbers and there might be good holds for Shape of Water, the Post, and Three Billboards. 

Edited February 20, 2018 by Matrix4You

[a2k]

I think competition for screen space coupled with Jumanji ending up a family-phenomena shaved a few more than expected from Coco's December run. Looked good for 220-230 but will end up close to 210.

 

It opened 10 less than Moana over the 5-day ow. With same legs as Moana (3x the 5-day) it was looking at 219 dom. It beat Moana's legs for a few days before starting to trail and then falling back significantly in the late run.

 

Globally it's looking at minimum 780 once it releases in Japan. Is on 730+ and is looking at 750+ without Japan.

[MikeQ]

Nobody needs to feel bad for Coco - it's going to end up being in the top 5 grossing Pixar films worldwide.

 

And while Coco could have done better domestically, from what I recall, general expectations before Coco opened did not have it hitting $200M domestic. Indeed, it seemed many were worried it wouldn't have much appeal at all.

 

Peace,
Mike

 

[Avatree]

agreed, Coco is more niche so expectations were lower, it's not underperformed it just never had the appeal of other Pixar movies.

[dxmatrixdt]

after Coco blew up in Mexico and the hot start it had in America, I am a little disappointed it did not cruise past Moana.  i remember seeing above exceptional word of mouth

Edited February 20, 2018 by Matrix4You

[MCKillswitch123]

It is sad that Coco didn't reach Moana numbers DOM, but ultimately, it did better than it OS/WW, and it made 700M WW, so it is on the higher range of Pixar flicks in that regard.

 

Incredibles 2 is looking like it'll be the 2nd highest grossing Pixar film ever, 3rd on worst case scenario. I still don't see it outgrossing Dory, but w/the massive hype, I now believe in it having a very decent shot in breaking the animated OW record.

[dxmatrixdt]

i am so lost without Ferdinand's theater counts.  I cannot crunch any numbers until tomorrow night because of this. 

[KP1025]

1 minute ago, Matrix4You said:

after Coco blew up in Mexico and the hot start it had in America, I am a little disappointed it did not cruise past Moana.  

I was expecting a much leggier run after it opened given the amazing reception from both critics and audiences (one of only 6 Pixar films with A+ CinemaScore). 

[DAR]

2 hours ago, Sliver Legion said:

At this point I’m willing to believe that “Marvel: Ham Sandwhich” would break 250 DOM and 700WW.

[fabiopazzo2]

19 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

It is sad that Coco didn't reach Moana numbers DOM, but ultimately, it did better than it OS/WW, and it made 700M WW, so it is on the higher range of Pixar flicks in that regard.

 

Incredibles 2 is looking like it'll be the 2nd highest grossing Pixar film ever, 3rd on worst case scenario. I still don't see it outgrossing Dory, but w/the massive hype, I now believe in it having a very decent shot in breaking the animated OW record.

I think TI2 will beat Dory worldwide 

[aabattery]

4 hours ago, ronisssantos said:

 

 

[Bordlove]

Not sure if anyone noticed this yet but Lupita Nyong'o could have 2 of the Top 3 box office of all time - DOM

[AJG]

29 minutes ago, DAR said:

 

Fun Fact: Sony could've made this but Marvel blocked them after they got the movie merchandise rights back 7 years ago.

[KeepItU25071906]

4 hours ago, ronisssantos said:

 

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, fabiopazzo2 said:

I think TI2 will beat Dory worldwide 

That's possible, yeah. Dory's OS performance was a big letdown, and Incredibles definitely seems more OS friendly. Although.... Incredibles 1 topped out at 600M+ WW if memory doesn't fail me, so.... who knows.

[wildphantom]

Imagine if it beat Avengers. Lol. 

 

To be fair, anything is possible. It’s the water cooler movie of the year. Everyone is talking about it in my office. People that don’t know anything about movies I’m overhearing saying they’ve heard it’s meant to be good. A film this talked about and this widely seen - dynamite. 

[DAR]

1 hour ago, Bordlove said:

Not sure if anyone noticed this yet but Lupita Nyong'o could have 2 of the Top 3 box office of all time - DOM

Andy Serkis too