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WrathOfHan

Weekend Actuals (Page 80) | Black Panther 111.7M | Game Night 17M | Peter Rabbit 12.8M | Annihilation 11.1M | Fifty Shades Freed 7.1M | Jumanji 5.7M

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5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

IW can beat expectations and cross 550 and still end 100-150 below BP. "a ton of folks who saw BP won't come out for AIW" makes sense without entailing AIW falling below 500-550.

This is definitely true. Even if you're not in the IW>BP camp, predicting sub 500 for IW at this point is pretty much certified insanity.

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Decided to look for a historical comp and Spider-Man's second weekend Saturday fits the bill nicely:

 

(adj for inflation)

Rank Title (click to view) Studio Single Day Gross Theaters Average Date / Days in Release Gross to Date* Final
                   
16 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $59,861,500 4,134 $14,480 12/26/15 9 $524.3 $108.1
39 Marvel's The Avengers BV $48,506,500 4,349 $11,154 5/12/12 9 $386.8 $76.9
41 Spider-Man Sony $48,200,400 3,615 $13,334 5/11/02 9 $319.2 $69.5
57 Jurassic World Uni. $43,521,500 4,291 $10,143 6/20/15 9 $405.5 $79.0
68 Shrek 2 DW $40,260,600 4,223 $9,533 5/29/04 11 $313.6 $71.1

 

 

So does the The Avengers, for that matter.

 

Spider-Man adjusts to 637.8m total while The Avengers adjusts to 705.8m

 

Doesn't mean that 625m+ is locked.  But if history repeats...

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7 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

This is definitely true. Even if you're not in the IW>BP camp, predicting sub 500 for IW at this point is pretty much certified insanity.

 

Everyone except for you is not in the IW>BP camp lol

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1 minute ago, Krissykins said:

Does “fine” = losing money now? 

Annihilation made most of the budget back from the Netflix deal, and with the way this weekend is turning out, it'll probably get a 2.7x at the very least. Paramount will make money.

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Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Annihilation made most of the budget back from the Netflix deal, and with the way this weekend is turning out, it'll probably get a 2.7x at the very least. Paramount will make money.

 

Netflix, otoh

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