Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

[a2k]

BP should at least do 62 imo,

16.5

28.0 (+70%)

17.5 (-37.5%) // considering how strong it has been on Sundays this is bad enough a drop if Oscars has a big effect

= 62 (-44%)

 

2-4 more possible too.

Edited March 3, 2018 by a2knet

[dxmatrixdt]

i'd say 64.6 for clean 500

[Legion Again]

That would be a 43% Friday to Friday drop, so same Sat and Sun increase and drop as last weekend would give us only 64, to miss on 500M.    

 

 

Of course if the actual is like 16.7 then it would just barely be on track to make it with weekend drop matching the Fri-to-Fri.

Edited March 3, 2018 by Sliver Legion

[aabattery]

16 minutes ago, Sam said:

She’s beautiful, talented and a very down to earth, likable actress.

 

Her career choices though, are a bit more on the questionable side.

 

That, or because Marvel was too persistent about getting her with those offers, that she finally just accepted that thankless role just to shut them up lol.

 

She's really great in Game Night!

[a2k]

Biggest 3rd weekends

1	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$90,241,673	9.6%	4,134	$21,829	$936,662,225	12/18/15
2	Avatar	Fox	$68,490,688	9.1%	3,461	$19,789	$749,766,139	12/18/09
3	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$55,644,102	8.9%	4,249	$13,096	$623,357,910	5/4/12
4	Jurassic World	Uni.	$54,532,615	8.4%	4,198	$12,990	$652,270,625	6/12/15
5	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$52,520,140	8.5%	4,232	$12,410	$618,863,636	12/15/17

[dxmatrixdt]

.

Edited May 6, 2018 by Thematrixfilm

[grey ghost]

7 minutes ago, a2knet said:

BP should at least do 62 imo,

16.5

28.0 (+70%)

17.5 (-37.5%) // considering how strong it has been on Sundays this is bad enough a drop if Oscars has a big effect

= 62 (-44%)

 

2-4 more possible too.

The battle between JW is a nail biter.

 

BP could fall slightly behind or slightly ahead by Sunday.

[dxmatrixdt]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

Biggest 3rd weekends

1	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$90,241,673	9.6%	4,134	$21,829	$936,662,225	12/18/15
2	Avatar	Fox	$68,490,688	9.1%	3,461	$19,789	$749,766,139	12/18/09
3	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$55,644,102	8.9%	4,249	$13,096	$623,357,910	5/4/12
4	Jurassic World	Uni.	$54,532,615	8.4%	4,198	$12,990	$652,270,625	6/12/15
5	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$52,520,140	8.5%	4,232	$12,410	$618,863,636	12/15/17

ADJUSTED

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/moreweekends.htm?page=3&adjust_yr=2018&p=.htm

1	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$96,552,300	9.7%	4,134	$23,356	$992,496,600	12/18/15
2	Avatar	Fox	$79,087,400	9.0%	3,461	$22,851	$880,523,700	12/18/09
3	Spider-Man	Sony	$71,159,900	11.2%	3,615	$19,684	$637,870,000	5/3/02
4	Titanic	Par.	$65,209,900	5.5%	2,727	$23,913	$1,178,215,200	12/19/97
5	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$62,908,000	8.9%	4,249	$14,806	$705,769,500	5/4/12
6	Twister	WB	$61,571,300	12.3%	2,808	$21,926	$502,037,000	5/10/96
7	Jurassic Park	Uni.	$61,400,700	7.8%	2,444	$25,123	$791,369,600	6/11/93
8	Jurassic World	Uni.	$60,679,900	8.4%	4,198	$14,454	$725,671,700	6/12/15
9	Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace	Fox	$59,438,100	7.6%	3,024	$19,654	$778,700,900	5/19/99
10	Shrek 2	DW	$56,073,000	8.6%	4,131	$13,573	$652,247,500	5/19/04
11	The Dark Knight	WB	$54,548,400	8.0%	4,266	$12,787	$681,789,600	7/18/08
12	The Lion King	BV	$53,642,600	7.8%	2,565	$20,914	$685,051,800	6/24/94
13	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$52,520,100	8.5%	4,232	$12,410	$618,863,600	12/15/17

[grey ghost]

2 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

still looking good for 666.00 total.  I feel like a good person and all, but every time i root for a film to make a number that involves 666, i feel i have to take deep breaths because I am afraid my heart is going to skip a beat.  does anyone else have this problem or know what I am talking about?

I'm not getting the significance.

 

Why should the gross end of being the sign of the beast?

[Ledmonkey96]

Well I know my theater will be providing below average ticket sales to this weekend, guy who owns the theater decided Thursday night to change over to using Fandango as our online seller, so of course come Friday night when a bunch of people pre-bought tickets online there was an issue between the servers in displaying which seats were already sold, que us having to give out probably about 100 refunds in the 7 o'clock set because we sold the same exact seat to 2 people. After that the manager decided 'fuck it' and we just pretended like our 7 showings of BP were already sold out and had an easy night.

[dxmatrixdt]

 

.

Edited May 6, 2018 by Thematrixfilm

[a2k]

Just now, grey ghost said:

The battle between JW is a nail biter.

 

BP could fall slightly behind or slightly ahead by Sunday.

If by this weekend it's on 435.4 + 62.6 = 498, BP needs to add 2.47x the 3rd weekend more to beat JW.

DP added 2.50x more (added 77.8 after a 31.1 weekend) and BP has been trending better.

I think chance of beating JW is 60-40.

[Chewy]

9 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Biggest 3rd weekends

1	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$90,241,673	9.6%	4,134	$21,829	$936,662,225	12/18/15
2	Avatar	Fox	$68,490,688	9.1%	3,461	$19,789	$749,766,139	12/18/09
3	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$55,644,102	8.9%	4,249	$13,096	$623,357,910	5/4/12
4	Jurassic World	Uni.	$54,532,615	8.4%	4,198	$12,990	$652,270,625	6/12/15
5	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$52,520,140	8.5%	4,232	$12,410	$618,863,636	12/15/17

 

That's one of those records that TFA is gonna hold for an incredibly long time

[dxmatrixdt]

.

Edited May 6, 2018 by Thematrixfilm

[Alexiswills12]

500m come on BP!

 

[Alexiswills12]

14 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Biggest 3rd weekends

1	Star Wars: The Force Awakens	BV	$90,241,673	9.6%	4,134	$21,829	$936,662,225	12/18/15
2	Avatar	Fox	$68,490,688	9.1%	3,461	$19,789	$749,766,139	12/18/09
3	Marvel's The Avengers	BV	$55,644,102	8.9%	4,249	$13,096	$623,357,910	5/4/12
4	Jurassic World	Uni.	$54,532,615	8.4%	4,198	$12,990	$652,270,625	6/12/15
5	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	BV	$52,520,140	8.5%	4,232	$12,410	$618,863,636	12/15/17

Man, I didn’t realize how out of the norm a 60 million 3rd weekend woud be until I saw this list. 

[Legion Again]

RIP dreams of beating Civil War and IM3’s 2nd weekends (also, did you know those two had 2nd weekend that were only 112k apart? Spooky). Can we please at least beat GotG2’s 2nd weekend?

[dxmatrixdt]

BP has roughly a $4,000 PTA today. 

$4,000 Friday

$7,000 Saturday

$5,000 Sunday

 

PTA = $16,000 = 65.344.  That is probably the best we will get this weekend.

 

 

edit: cannot rule out a 30M Saturday.

 

edit:  Perhaps a good ceiling number would be 30M Sat, 20M SUnday, or just 50M between Sat & Sunday + whatever it does on Friday = around 66.6 max.

 

edit: Or Perhaps he's wondering why someone would shoot a man before throwing him out of a plane.

Edited March 3, 2018 by Matrix4You

[grey ghost]

51 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

BP has roughly a $4,000 PTA today. 

$4,000 Friday

$7,000 Saturday

$5,000 Sunday

 

PTA = $16,000 = 65.344.  That is probably the best we will get this weekend.

 

 

edit: cannot rule out a 30M Saturday.

 

edit:  Perhaps a good ceiling number would be 30M Sat, 20M SUnday, or just 50M between Sat & Sunday + whatever it does on Friday = around 66.6 max.

 

edit: Or Perhaps he's wondering why someone would shoot a man before throwing him out of a plane.

The only way BP isn't the black nerd rapture is if it's a "Wishmaster" scenario where a demon or jinn is playing Corrupt A Wish with black nerds.

 

Is that what you're suggesting Matrix person? 

 

 

[Porthos]

Mods might want to recheck the title of this thread.

 

Just sayin'.