Weekend Thread | Estimates per BOM ~ BP 65.7M, RS 17M, DW 13M, GN 10.7M, PR 10M, ANL 5.65M, J:WTTJ 4.5M, FSF 3.3M, TGS 2.68M

[a2k]

BP needed 2.65x to beat TDK after a 202 ow. By no means at that time it was locked. No one knew how it would hold up and how much it was front-loaded. It didn't have consistent holidays like Dec or Summer has. DP's multiplier of the 3-day was 2.74x and sub-2.65x for BP with it's huge previews and ow would have been just fine. But it could cross 550 by next Sunday.

 

497.6 + 18 Mon-Thu (-44%) + 34.5 FSS (-44.5%) = 550.1

[The Futurist]

Is the newly announced Disney schedule through 2023 discussed somewhere on BOT ?

 

5 Live action movies a year, what the actual fuck ?

 

Edited March 3, 2018 by The Futurist

[IronJimbo]

5 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Is the newly announced Disney schedule through 2023 discussed somewhere on BOT ?

 

5 Live action moives a year, what the actual fuck ?

 

couldn't you have dropped a link!

[Fancyarcher]

38 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Sticking to only 3 movies per year.

 

Smart.

As last year proves, it really is a smart strategy. 

Edited March 3, 2018 by Fancyarcher

[The Futurist]

1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:

couldn't you have dropped a link!

A Wrinkle in Time	Buena Vista	3/9/18
Avengers: Infinity War	Buena Vista	4/27/18
Solo: A Star Wars Story (3D)	Buena Vista	5/25/18
The Incredibles 2	Buena Vista	6/15/18
Ant-Man and the Wasp	Buena Vista	7/6/18
Disney's Christopher Robin	Buena Vista	8/3/18
The Nutcracker and the Four Realms	Buena Vista	11/2/18
Ralph Breaks the Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2	Buena Vista	11/21/18
Mary Poppins Returns	Buena Vista	12/25/18
Captain Marvel	Buena Vista	3/8/19
Dumbo (2019)	Buena Vista	3/29/19
Penguins (Disneynature)	Buena Vista	4/19/19
Untitled Avengers	Buena Vista	5/3/19
Aladdin (2019)	Buena Vista	5/24/19
Toy Story 4	Buena Vista	6/21/19
The Lion King (Live Action)	Buena Vista	7/19/19
Artemis Fowl	Buena Vista	8/9/19
Untitled Disney Live Action I (2019)	Buena Vista	10/4/19
Untitled Disney Live Action II (2019)	Buena Vista	11/8/19
Frozen 2	Buena Vista	11/27/19
Star Wars: Episode IX	Buena Vista	12/20/19
Untitled Disney Live Action I (2020)	Buena Vista	2/14/20
Untitled Pixar Animation (March 2020)	Buena Vista	3/6/20
Mulan (Live Action)	Buena Vista	3/27/20
Untitled Marvel Movie (May 2020)	Buena Vista	5/1/20
Untitled Disney Live Action (2020)	Buena Vista	5/29/20
Untitled Pixar Animation (June 2020)	Buena Vista	6/19/20
Untitled Indiana Jones (2019)	Buena Vista	7/10/20
Untitled Marvel Movie (July 2020)	Buena Vista	7/31/20
Untitled Disney Live Action IV (2020)	Buena Vista	10/9/20
Untitled Marvel Movie (November 2020)	Buena Vista	11/6/20
Untitled Disney Animation (3D)	Buena Vista	11/25/20
Untitled Disney Live Action V (2020)	Buena Vista	12/23/20
Untitled Disney Live Action I (2021)	Buena Vista	2/12/21
Untitled Disney Live Action (2021)	Buena Vista	3/12/21
Untitled Marvel I (2021)	Buena Vista	5/7/21
Untitled Disney Live Action II (2021)	Buena Vista	5/28/21
Untitled Pixar Animation (3D)	Buena Vista	6/18/21
Untitled Disney Live Action III (2021)	Buena Vista	7/9/21
Untitled Marvel II (2021)	Buena Vista	7/30/21
Untitled Disney Live Action IV (2021)	Buena Vista	10/8/21
Untitled Marvel III (2021)	Buena Vista	11/5/21
Untitled Disney Animation (Nov 2021)	Buena Vista	11/24/21
Untitled Disney Live Action V (2021)	Buena Vista	12/22/21
Untitled Marvel I (2022)	Buena Vista	2/18/22
Untitled Pixar Animation I (2022)	Buena Vista	3/18/22
Untitled Marvel II (2022)	Buena Vista	5/6/22
Untitled Disney Live Action I (2022)	Buena Vista	5/27/22
Untitled Pixar Animation II (2022)	Buena Vista	6/17/22
Untitled Disney Live Action II (2022)	Buena Vista	7/8/22
Untitled Marvel III (2022)	Buena Vista	7/29/22
Untitled Disney Live Action III (2022)	Buena Vista	10/7/22
Untitled Disney Live Action IV (2022)	Buena Vista	11/4/22
Untitled Disney Animation (2022)	Buena Vista	11/23/22
Untitled Disney Live Action V (2022)	Buena Vista	12/16/22
Untitled Disney Live Action I (2023)	Buena Vista	2/17/23

[IronJimbo]

Untitled Disney Live Action V (2020)

 

Rest in peace in advance.

 

I guess Batb opening the flood gates on live action remakes of Disney classics.

Edited March 3, 2018 by IronJimbo

[AJG]

24 minutes ago, Alli said:

Shit opening for RS, but JLaw will be fine. Apparently she has a new DOR movie in the works. Get ready for another Oscar nom/win

 

Theres some stuff about that guy in the Sony Leaks. Won’t be shocked if he gets #MeToo’d outta here.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Finally seeing BP today!!!!! First day off in weeks, so excited.

[a2k]

10 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Is the newly announced Disney schedule through 2023 discussed somewhere on BOT ?

 

5 Live action moives a year, what the actual fuck ?

 

some of them could be just to save the date if they are unsure of the schedule and gives them flexibility. they seem to have reserved early october every year which is interesting. the other dates make more sense (early nov, summer, feb 4-day weekend)

Aladdin (2019)	Buena Vista	5/24/19
Toy Story 4	Buena Vista	6/21/19
The Lion King (Live Action)	Buena Vista	7/19/19
Artemis Fowl	Buena Vista	8/9/19
Untitled Disney Live Action I (2019)	Buena Vista	10/4/19
Untitled Disney Live Action II (2019)	Buena Vista	11/8/19

[Alli]

1 minute ago, a2knet said:

some of them could be just to save the date if they are unsure of the schedule and gives them flexibility. they seem to have reserved early october every year which is interesting. the other dates make more sense (early nov, summer, feb 4-day weekend)

Aladdin (2019)	Buena Vista	5/24/19
Toy Story 4	Buena Vista	6/21/19
The Lion King (Live Action)	Buena Vista	7/19/19
Artemis Fowl	Buena Vista	8/9/19
Untitled Disney Live Action I (2019)	Buena Vista	10/4/19
Untitled Disney Live Action II (2019)	Buena Vista	11/8/19

July 2019 is DEATH

[titanic2187]

3 hours ago, MaxAggressor said:

 

7)   Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (SONY), 2,313 theaters (-206) / $950K Fri (-27%)/3-day: $4.2M (-25%)/Total:$392.9M/ Wk 11

 

9) The Greatest Showman  (FOX), 1,407 theaters (-194) / $663K Fri (-27%) / 3-day: $2.5M (-26%)/Total: $164.4M/Wk 11

 

Are the audiences for Jumanji and TGS aware of there is some other new movies out there every week? Do they know black panther is now in release? Why these two movies are so undropable!!!  

[cookie]

7 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Untitled Disney Live Action V (2020)

 

Rest in peace in advance.

 

I guess Batb opening the flood gates on live action remakes of Disney classics.

Isn't Avatar 2 going to be a Disney movie?

[IronJimbo]

1 minute ago, cookie said:

Isn't Avatar 2 going to be a Disney movie?

Disney owns the movie but not using their brand, I believe. I just know what ever is getting released on the Untitled Disney Live Action V (2020), DEC 23rd  is going to have a really hard time.

Edited March 3, 2018 by IronJimbo

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, RRA said:

It’s meh considering clearly the # of screens it got, but again it’s preferable obviously to a post-release collapse 

[Brainbug]

5 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

Disney owns the movie but not using their brand, I believe. I just know what ever is getting released on the Untitled Disney Live Action V (2020), DEC 23rd  is going to have a really hard time.

 

Its probably just a placeholder date. Weve seen these 2+ years away-movies move all the time. Mulan was originally coming out this year i believe and now its in March 2020.

[mattie08]

6 hours ago, Alexiswills12 said:

Man, I didn’t realize how out of the norm a 60 million 3rd weekend woud be until I saw this list. 

I didn’t either! Damn, Black Panther just stays massive/record-breaking. What a phenom...Hope to help by contributing tonight, which would be my third time seeing it. Keeping my fingers crossed that it will hit that nice, round $500 million mark by tomorrow. Come on, Disney! Black Panther didn’t need your help the last two weekends, and may not need t for this one, but if it does, I think it’s more than earned the rare Disney fudge. #letsgo

 

 

Edited March 3, 2018 by mattie08

[wildphantom]

I’ll still be amazed if Dumbo, Aladdin and Lion King all come out within four or so months. Makes no sense to me. 

 

[MCKillswitch123]

23 minutes ago, Alli said:

July 2019 is DEATH

Yuppity. Homecoming sequel which could outopen the original + Lion King which has a strong 200M+ OW shot + Top Gun sequel + New Line horror movie + Terminator reboot + Fast & Furious spin-off all set in the same month. Plus June leftovers (Toy Story, in particular).

 

No way one of these doesn't move. Terminator and Hobbs & Shaw have the best shot of it.

 

Another month that is starting to become a Death month is November. This year's has one or two massive releases every weekend; 2019 already has Frozen 2, Wonder Woman 2, an untitled Disney live-action flick (it really should be either Dumbo or Aladdin tbh, I wouldn't keep these two w/such a small separation from each other and Lion King), James Bond 25, Death On The Nile and Sonic The Hedgehog slated.

Edited March 3, 2018 by MCKillswitch123

[filmlover]

23 minutes ago, cookie said:

Isn't Avatar 2 going to be a Disney movie?

Only if the Fox deal comes to pass.

[Jake Gittes]

21 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

a 39% drop off a $17m OW is fine but nothing remarkable, and doesn't even promise a 3.5x multiplier in the end. Just in terms of R-rated comedies, "great" applies to something like The Hangover's 27% drop off a $45m OW in summer, or Bridesmaids' 20% drop after a $26m OW. This is middle-of-the-road at best.