Easter Weekend Thread: Official Weekend Actuals: RPO $41.8M ($53.7M 4-Day), Acrimony $17.2M, BP $11.5M, ICOI $10.4M, PRU $9.4M, IOD $2.9M, GND3 $2.7M

[The Futurist]

Is there a Star Wars JJ's Redemption Under Jumanji : Living for the City club  open ?

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Boxofficerules said:

But how will Truth Or Dare do?

I have no idea how that'll do beyond at least a decent first day.

[MikeQ]

After the insistence of some that Ready Player One would drop on Saturday, it ended up increasing. Its $53.2M 4-day is a good start, and its $181.2M worldwide opening is terrific. The big opening in China could mean huge numbers overall, as it looks to ride really strong WOM there.

 

Peace,

Mike

[grey ghost]

So what DOM milestones does BP have left?

 

Beating JW?

 

Beating Titanic?

 

Beating TDK adjusted (681 m)?

 

Beating 700 m?

 

Beating The Avengers adjusted (705 m)?

 

Did I miss any?

[filmlover]

There were a lot of families at my showing of Ready Player One yesterday. Might help give it some staying power at least.

[Webslinger]

Ready Player One opened well. It's still a little surprising that Warner Bros didn't try harder to push it as a massive event further out from the release date - the book had enough of a following to justify it - but a four-day opening of $53 million is acceptable, especially in light of the huge $128 million international debut. We'll see about the legs; I get the sense that most audiences will enjoy it, but big fans of the source material may take issues with the many changes the film makes.

 

Acrimony did okay. Its per-theater average is strong and it's bound to be very profitable against Tyler Perry's standard small budget, but I'm a little surprised that the presence of another marketable name like Taraji P. Henson couldn't take it above Temptation's opening over Easter weekend five years ago.

 

Once again, Black Panther continues to show excellent staying power. We'll see whether it has the stamina to make a run at $700 million, but it should at least continue posting solid holds until Avengers arrives.

 

I Can Only Imagine reaped the dual benefits of another expansion and Easter weekend. It's probably done with significant expansions, but strong word-of-mouth could still allow it to make a run at the top five on the all-time Christian movie chart, which would require it to take down Heaven Is for Real at $91.4 million.

 

Pacific Rim: Uprising had a horrendous drop. To put it into perspective, the first film dropped 57% in a far more crowded marketplace. With how bad this hold is, there's a legitimate chance this film could fail to hit $60 million domestically.

 

Sherlock Gnomes held up well and should continue to notch good holds in the next several weeks. Nevertheless, it's still a far cry from the original film's shockingly strong performance.

 

Love, Simon held well again. A finish in the mid-to-high-40s would be solid against the $17 million budget.

 

A Wrinkle in Time is recovering after two rough holds, but it's probably too late to give it a reasonable shot at surpassing $100 million.

 

Isle of Dogs is still putting up strong numbers in limited release, though its performance still doesn't quite measure up to that of The Grand Budapest Hotel - just like last weekend, it posted a smaller average in fewer theaters than Grand Budapest did at a similar point in its expansion rollout ($17k in 165 theaters this weekend vs. $22k in 304 theaters for Grand Budapest's third weekend). I'm still guessing it will land closer to Moonrise Kingdom than Grand Budapest in total, but that would still be quite good for an offbeat stop-motion-animated film.

 

God's Not Dead 3 bombed hard. The fact that neither of the sequels came remotely close to the first film's success further highlights what a bizarre anomaly it was.

 

Game Night has quietly put up really strong legs. Finishing at or around $70 million off of a $17 million opening is very impressive.

[MikeQ]

I'm running out of ways to express just how incredible Black Panther's run is continuing to be. I feel like a broken record, but it has already hit a 3.22 multiplier off of a $202M holiday-inflated opening weekend in February. It will pass Iron Man (3.23 multiplier) very soon.

 

If Black Panther can reach ~$684M total or more domestically, it will best The Dark Knight's 3.38 multiplier (off a $158.4M opening weekend in the summer). Black Panther is just doing incredibly impressive numbers - really strong legs off a huge opening.

 

Updated list:

 

Live Action Comic Book Film Multipliers for $40+ million Openers

Spoiler

(3+ multipliers in red)

Rank / Title (Year) / Opening Weekend Gross (Multiplier)

 

1. Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 207.4 million (3.00)
2. Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.22)^
3. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 191.3 million (2.40)
4. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 179.1 million (2.28)
5. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 174.1 million (2.35)
6. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 166.0 million (1.99)
7. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 160.9 million (2.79)
8. The Dark Knight (2008) — 158.4 million (3.38)
9. Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 151.1 million (2.23)
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 146.5 million (2.66)
11. Suicide Squad (2016) — 133.7 million (2.43)
12. Deadpool (2016) — 132.4 million (2.74)
13. Iron Man 2 (2010) — 128.1 million (2.44)
14. Thor: Ragnarok (2017) — 122.7 million (2.57)
15. Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) — 117.0 million (2.86)
16. Man of Steel (2013) — 116.6 million (2.50)
17. Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52)
18. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
19. X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 102.8 million (2.28)
20. Iron Man (2008) — 98.6 million (3.23)
21. Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 95.0 million (2.73)
22. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
23. Justice League (2017) — 93.8 million (2.44)
24. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 91.6 million (2.21)
25. X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 90.8 million (2.58)
26. Logan (2017) — 88.4 million (2.56)
27. Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 88.2 million* 
28. Thor: The Dark World (2013) — 85.7 million (2.41)
29. X2: X-Men United (2003) — 85.6 million (2.51)
30. Doctor Strange (2016) — 85.1 million (2.74)
31. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009) — 85.1 million (2.11)
32. 300 (2007) — 70.9 million (2.97)
33. X-Men: Apocalypse (2016) — 65.8 million (2.36)
34. Thor (2011) — 65.7 million (2.75)
35. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (2014) — 65.6 million (2.92)
36. Captain America: The First Avenger (2011) — 65.1 million (2.72)
37. Hulk (2003) — 62.1 million (2.13)
38. The Amazing Spider-Man (2012) — 62.0 million**
39. Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007) — 58.1 million (2.27)
40. Ant-Man (2015) — 57.2 million (3.15)
41. Fantastic Four (2005) — 56.1 million (2.76)
42. The Incredible Hulk (2008) — 55.4 million (2.43)
43. Watchmen (2009) — 55.2 million (1.95)
44. X-Men: First Class (2011) — 55.1 million (2.66)
45. MIB 3 (2012) — 54.6 million (3.28)
46. X-Men (2000) — 54.5 million (2.89)
47. Green Lantern (2011) — 53.2 million (2.19)
48. The Wolverine (2013) — 53.1 million (2.49)
49. Batman Forever (1995) — 52.8 million (3.49)
50. Superman Returns (2006) — 52.5 million*
51. Men in Black II (2002) — 52.1 million*
52. Men in Black (1997) — 51.1 million*
53. Batman Begins (2005) — 48.7 million*
54. Batman Returns (1992) — 45.7 million (3.56)
55. Ghost Rider (2007) — 45.4 million (2.55)
56. 300: Rise of an Empire (2014) — 45.0 million (2.37)
57. Batman and Robin (1997) — 42.9 million (2.50)
58. Batman (1989) — 40.5 million (6.20)
59. Daredevil (2003) — 40.3 million (2.54)

 

*Wednesday Opener (thus not comparable)
**Tuesday Opener (thus not comparable)
^So Far - Box Office Run Not Yet Complete

 

 

Peace,

Mike

Edited April 1, 2018 by MikeQ

[LonePirate]

Given its massive box office success, I'm wondering if Black Panther will be able to break through at the Oscars next year. The film is a critical hit in addition to being adored by audiences. I'm sure it is a sure thing in the usual tech categories and maybe even Original Score. Can it grab a Director or Picture nomination as well? Should be interesting film to follow next winter during awards season.

[WrathOfHan]

33 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

After the insistence of some that Ready Player One would drop on Saturday, it ended up increasing. Its $53.2M 4-day is a good start, and its $181.2M worldwide opening is terrific. The big opening in China could mean huge numbers overall, as it looks to ride really strong WOM there.

 

Peace,

Mike

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, LonePirate said:

Given its massive box office success, I'm wondering if Black Panther will be able to break through at the Oscars next year. The film is a critical hit in addition to being adored by audiences. I'm sure it is a sure thing in the usual tech categories and maybe even Original Score. Can it grab a Director or Picture nomination as well? Should be interesting film to follow next winter during awards season.

Gotta wait and see how the rest of the year will play out on the awards front.

[MikeQ]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

  I didn't want to single you out, because I've poked fun at you before (re: Wonder Woman). 

 

Honestly, I appreciate your predictions, even when you're off. You put yourself out there and it generates good discussion.

 

Peace,

Mike

[YLF]

53 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Not surprised by Ready Player ONe numbers in China, they do love their incoherent, CGI Heavy action set pieces that go nowhere there.

seriously. they love that shit. and it is a movie about gaming and even warcraft did well there. 

[Avatree]

26 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

I'm running out of ways to express just how incredible Black Panther's run is continuing to be. I feel like a broken record, but it has already hit a 3.22 multiplier off of a $202M holiday-inflated opening weekend in February. It will pass Iron Man (3.23 multiplier) very soon.

if you treat the OW as a 3 day not a 4 day then it should have opened with 222.1M, and it's still on 2.93x  

[Godzilla]

Hopefully we'll have 3 break outs in the next couple of weeks with A Quiet Place, Blockers and Rampage. Truth or Dare looks sh-t so I hope it flops so it doesn't give studios an excuse to make bad and lazy horror movies.

[Avatree]

16 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

Given its massive box office success, I'm wondering if Black Panther will be able to break through at the Oscars next year. The film is a critical hit in addition to being adored by audiences. I'm sure it is a sure thing in the usual tech categories and maybe even Original Score. Can it grab a Director or Picture nomination as well? Should be interesting film to follow next winter during awards season.

It's performing very similarly to the avengers, a critical success and adored by audiences. Remind me how many oscars that got?

 

It wont get a nomination for VFX let alone noms for sound or whatever tech categories you're suggesting. Maybe costumes but that's it.

[CoolioD1]

one of those kendrick songs is getting nominated i'd put money on it. probably all the stars.

[MrPink]

It'll probably get a few nods, even without a serious push.

 

I know Disney was running the ground game early last month but we'll see if they can mirror Get Out's approach in keeping it in the conversation

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

Truth or Dare looks sh-t so I hope it flops so it doesn't give studios an excuse to make bad and lazy horror movies.

[Avatree]

I know Kendrick Lamar made an album but I don't remember any songs actually in the film itself?

[CoolioD1]

Just now, November Treejax said:

I know Kendrick Lamar made an album but I don't remember any songs actually in the film itself?

3 of the songs are in the movie.