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INFINITY WAR WEEKEND THREAD | Actuals ~ 257.698M OW (RECORD) | 106.334M Friday, 82.131M Saturday (RECORD), 69.231M Sunday (RECORD) | 640.9M Worldwide Opening (RECORD) | Read the Rules on the First Post | SALE NOW LIVE

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33 minutes ago, Sam said:

Of all people that got banned so far@MovieMan89‘s ban gotta be the most cruel lol.

4 people banned this weekend so far plus a few threadbans here and there.

 

This weekend is delivering! How many more left, I wonder?

 

Edited by Arlborn
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TA was 11.1x the previews. AOU did 6.9x.

I doubt if AIW can do 6x+. IMO it will be ~5.5x which with 40-45 previews gives 220-250 ow.

 

EDIT:

39 gives 215. if 5.5x+ sounds a bit low. 5.75x+ probably for 224+. but don't think it will do 6x+.

Edited by a2knet
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16 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Range hasn't "gone up", it's just shrunk down to where the low end ain't likely to happen now. Still, whatever ends up being it is a HUUUUUGE number, all things considered. And if it makes 45, OW record is likely to go down, as superhero movies (especially Marvel ones) tend to have much more backloaded IM's than Star Wars movies have had so far (but then again, no superhero movie has ever had as much as 40M on previews alone, so this is uncharted territory).

 

Some internal multipliers from other Infinity War potential comparables for a 40M Thursday:

 

AGE OF ULTRON MULTI - 40 + 82.5 real Fri (106.2% increase) + 82.1 Sat (33% drop from 122.5 OD) + 73.1 Sun (11% drop) = 277.7

BATMAN V SUPERMAN MULTI - 40 + 77.8 real Fri (94.6% increase) + 73.2 Sat (37.9% drop from 117.8 OD) + 48.8 Sun (33.3% drop) = 239.8

CIVIL WAR MULTI - 40 + 80.8 real Fri (102% increase) + 98 Sat (18.9% drop from 120.8 OD) + 67.9 Sun (30.7% drop) = 286.7

DARK KNIGHT RISES MULTI - 40 + 59 real Fri (47.7% increase) + 58.8 Sat (40.7% drop from 99.1 OD) + 52.9 Sun (10.1% drop) = 210.7

 

A TDKR multi sounds awfully pessimistic, and unrealistic given that the Aurora tragedy haunted that movie badly on OW, but that is the only superhero film that opened over 30 on Thursdays, so I had to use it. And even on that scenario - a damn near worst case scenario - IW still winds up as the #1 superhero film opening and #3 opening of all time :ohmygod:

 

Safe to say that the Ultron and Civil War multis are also preposterous, though (and I didn't use Black Panther as that wasn't a sequel btw), so imo the BVS multi is probably the closer to what reality will look like. And I still find it a bit of a lowball, as I think IW will have a softer Saturday drop than nearly 40% (remember, BVS came in with really poor wom out of a 80+ holiday Friday).

This is looking pretty spot on now!

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3 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Clickbaiterz be clickbaitinnnnnn'

 

John Campea the other day went fucking HAM on Forbes for their spoiler post on IW, screaming and acting like a child crying because someone took their favorite toy away:hahaha: (That being said, he has a point: the Forbes post really had no reason to exist apart from CLICKZ.)

already out of likes but LMAO I watched that video and almost laughed out loud at how pissed the dude was

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Just now, WrathOfHan said:

If it follows Civil War:

 

118.2M Friday

95.9M Saturday

66.5M Sunday

280.6M Weekend

'

300M is dead boys. Bury it.

 

Kind of hard for something to be dead that was never alive to begin with.... :D

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Deadline is like a hot girl, that promises you these sexy 45M melons, but then you realize they are just big enough for 39M. Its like you cant be really disappointed, they are still massive, but its just...weve been promised MORE :ohmygod:

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