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FlashMaster659

Wed #s IW - 16.8m

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Infinity War’s Mon-Thurs will run about 27% ahead of TA1 (I’m assuming $15.5 million today). 

 

I would put the weekend range between $124m and $133m, realistically. 

 

Of course if it plays like AOU we’re going over $140m. 

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1 minute ago, JB33 said:

IW 2nd Saturday O/U AoU 1st Saturday?

Wow, crazy that it's actually possible. At the moment I'd say:

 

Thu: 15.8

Fri: 37.5 (+137%)

Sat: 55 (+46%)

Sun: 39 (-28%)

132

 

So I think 1-2m below AoU's opening Sat (56.5m), but who knows. 

 

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Rounds up to $17 million. ;)

 

1 (1) Avengers: Infinity War Walt Disney $16,966,862 -28% 4,474 $3,792   $322,831,270 6
2 (2) A Quiet Place Paramount Pictures $835,189 -27% 3,565 $234   $151,400,732 27
3 (3) I Feel Pretty STX Entertainment $745,820 -30% 3,440 $217   $32,146,567 13
4 (4) Rampage Warner Bros. $450,483 -39% 3,508 $128   $79,722,617 20
5 (5) Black Panther Walt Disney $350,729 -27% 1,650 $213   $689,626,132 76
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Now this is an older thing and I don't know if he changed his prediction closer to release, but I remember Ethan once predicting Infinity War would go under Civil War DOM. This is almost a bigger fail than his Deadpool prediction. :hahaha:

Not trying to hate on Ethan btw. We all make predictions for which we look stupid later on, but I just remembered this right now.

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GREAT!

 

Daily Domestic Chart for Wednesday May 2nd, 2018

← Previous Chart Chart Index  
 
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
1 (1) Avengers: Infinity War Walt Disney $16,966,862 -28% 4,474 $3,792   $322,831,270 6
2 (2) A Quiet Place Paramount Pictures $835,189 -27% 3,565 $234   $151,400,732 27
3 (3) I Feel Pretty STX Entertainment $745,820 -30% 3,440 $217   $32,146,567 13
4 (4) Rampage Warner Bros. $450,483 -39% 3,508 $128   $79,722,617 20
5 (5) Black Panther Walt Disney $350,729 -27% 1,650 $213   $689,626,132 76
6 (6) Super Troopers 2 20th Century Fox $324,443 -22% 2,125 $153   $23,318,321 13
7 (7) Blockers Universal $282,745 -28% 2,324 $122   $54,209,135 27
8 (9) Ready Player One Warner Bros. $215,175 -24% 2,365 $91   $131,543,368 35
9 (8) Truth or Dare Universal $214,595 -34% 2,420 $89   $36,151,870 20
- (11) Isle of Dogs Fox Searchlight $146,115 -15% 1,001 $146   $27,522,645 41
- (12) Chappaquiddick Entertainment Studi… $82,567 -26% 704 $117   $16,089,616 27
- (14) Sherlock Gnomes Paramount Pictures $41,043 -20% 731 $56   $40,776,054 41
- (-) A Wrinkle in Time Walt Disney $32,350 -21% 371 $87   $95,051,113 55
- (-) Lean on Pete A24 $28,458 -11% 167 $170   $758,015 27
- (-) The Miracle Season LD Entertainment $26,210 -20% 430 $61   $9,524,961 27
- (-) Pandas IMAX Films $15,479 +15% 33 $469   $848,249 27
- (-) Game Night Warner Bros. $15,075 -18% 208 $72   $68,461,635 69
- (-) Peter Rabbit Sony Pictures $14,979 -14% 229 $65   $114,608,054 83
- (-) Love, Simon 20th Century Fox $12,005 -20% 173 $69   $40,536,507 48
- (-) The Greatest Showman 20th Century Fox $10,656 -10% 146 $73   $173,708,219 134
- (-) Pacific Rim: Uprising Universal $9,995 -23% 224 $45   $58,974,955 41
- (-) Tomb Raider Warner Bros. $8,002 -42% 162 $49   $56,927,137 48
- (-) Red Sparrow 20th Century Fox $4,066 -33% 130 $31   $46,734,995 62
- (-) God’s Not Dead: A Light i… Pure Flix Entertain… $3,559 +5% 65 $55   $5,616,526 34
- (-) Midnight Sun Open Road $3,050 -42% 93 $33   $9,536,090 41
- (-) The Strangers: Prey at Night Aviron Pictures $3,027 -15% 62 $49   $24,380,274 55
- (-) Death Wish MGM $2,422 -17% 42 $58   $33,926,028 62
- (-) Hostiles Entertainment Studi… $171   1 $171   $29,818,207 132
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1 hour ago, MovieMan89 said:

#2: Why oh why did I edit my summer game predictions that same night at literally the very last second from 800 DOM to 720 and 2.1b to 1.85b WW? Even though it might not hit the former, it will at least make a play at it and I should have stuck to what my guns were for months.

 

DOM it is still likely to do closer to 720m than 800m, so your change here is okay even in retrospect at this juction. However, yea, WW you should have stuck to 2.1b.

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7 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Probably and I think it will more likely than not overtake TFA WW. But we dont know yet how its legs will be in China

 

Black Panther’s presales were huge too and people were expecting 80-90m OW for that and 150m+ total. But it only opened to around 65 and then had only about 1.5x multi. IW presales are massive but we dont know how frontloaded it is gonna be. For all we know it could open to 175 only and then only manage a 1.75 multi like SMH and finish at 300m. 

 

I dont think IW’s ratings and WoM will be as weak as BP’s though and it should manage a better multi that that

It is mistaken to compare BP to AIW in a Chinese context. BP to the Chinese is just another MCU film (and a bit weird one at that) whereas AIW is the "real deal" so to speak. It's also extremely loaded with top-notch action which is extremely attractive to Chinese audiences. BP was extremely light on set-pieces and this hurt it a lot in some international markets. 

 

For some reason, I am 99% certain that AIW will be a phenomenon in China. Will beat Transformers & Furious over there. 

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3 minutes ago, That One Guy said:

Found out that this movie was a thing today

 

kiwi_xmas1_extra.png

 

@aabattery thoughts?

 

The trailer for this is soooo bad and I wanna watch it.  When is this getting released in America?

 

 

I would post this in the CCT but i'm threadbanned sorry guys

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5 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

Now this is an older thing and I don't know if he changed his prediction closer to release, but I remember Ethan once predicting Infinity War would go under Civil War DOM. This is almost a bigger fail than his Deadpool prediction. :hahaha:

Not trying to hate on Ethan btw. We all make predictions for which we look stupid later on, but I just remembered this right now.

Excuse me, but this is an insult to Ethan. You severely underestimate him. He predicted IW under IM1, thank you very much.

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