BOX OFFICE THEORY WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM WEEKEND THREAD | 150 OW OFFICIAL ESTIMATE | No Spoilers, Read Rules First Post! | First Post Updated with Sale Info

[MinaTakla]

Happy for Universal! The only studio aside from Disney that continues to churn $1B WW movies with several franchises.

Since 2014, no other studio aside from Disney and Universal has succeeded in reaching $1B WW with any of its movies.

Sony in 2017 came close with Jumanji but still couldn't reach the mark.

[grey ghost]

3 minutes ago, ChipMunky said:

 

Of the films I listed?

 

If I take out the SM outlier, it's 27%. With pretty much everything +-10% of that.

Okay I said 25%.

 

How much will FK drop with 140 m OW and standard 2.5 legs?

[Jake Gittes]

Looking in from the outside, people gloating over this number & other people mocking them for it is a real Alien vs Predator situation

[filmlover]

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-mile-22-crazy-rich-asians-alpha/

 

Looks like Mile 22 just got moved back two weeks. Good since August 3 has way too many movies.

[oMeriMombatti]

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-mile-22-crazy-rich-asians-alpha/

 

Skyscraper

$40,000,000

-9%

$117,000,000

-9%

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp

$77,000,000

$205,000,000

3,900

 

Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!

$33,000,000

$105,000,000

 

Mission: Impossible – Fallout

$65,000,000

$200,000,000

 

Crazy Rich Asians

$13,000,000

NEW

$42,000,000

NEW

 

Alpha

$8,500,000

NEW

$24,000,000

NEW

 

Mile 22

$15,000,000

15%

$44,000,000

16%

Edited June 22, 2018 by oMeriMombatti

[ChipDerby]

Just now, Brainbug said:

 

17% actually. I think you mixed up the 15,3M number to 13,5M which gets you to 28%.

 

Heh, you're right. Too many numbers. (but that further proves my point)

 

The preview number is a good number. A weekend number of $145 mil or so is right inline with other sequel drops.

[WrathOfHan]

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-mile-22-crazy-rich-asians-alpha/

 

Crazy Rich Asians: 13/42

Alpha: 8.4/24

Mile 22: 15/44 (+15/+16%)

No Happytime Murders

 

TCs:

 

Ant-Man: 3,900

The First Purge: 2,800

[eVerYtHING]

3 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

No its not the same.

 

120 is huge for an animated movie.

 

 

Not as big as Shrek 2's opening of 190M.

[grey ghost]

Just now, grey ghost said:

Okay I said 25%.

 

How much will FK drop with 140 m OW and standard 2.5 legs?

^^^Zero perspective or a solid talking point?

[Brainbug]

Just now, Jake Gittes said:

Looking in from the outside, people gloating over this number & other people mocking them for it is a real Alien vs Predator situation

 

Totally off-topic but i watched The Innocents 2 days ago, forgot to tell you. Its amazing. Definetly Top 50 material. Claytons directing is magnificient.

[Jonwo]

4 minutes ago, nevermore said:

Yeah. In any case, this is another big hit for Universal.

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again might end up being more profitable than both JWFK and Grinch if it makes $400-550m WW

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Wouldn't surprise me if they get Neill, Dern, and Goldblum (and not just for a one scene cameo) back for the next film for one last hurrah.

It'd be good to have the original characters back with Owen and Claire, I think making Jurassic World 3 the 'final' film would work before Universal decides to reboot it or do a prequel trilogy. 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

59 minutes ago, picores said:

150m OW/400 DOM are very much alive. Dinnos kicking haters asses for sure.

Well, just for fun.....Transformers 2 opened with $108M (Granted it opened on a Wednesday) and made $402M back in 2009....but with worse reception from critics. Then again, that film was critic-proof, and the negative reviews didn’t stop that movie.

[eVerYtHING]

2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Okay I said 25%.

 

How much will FK drop with 140 m OW and standard 2.5 legs?

Why would a film like Jurassic World that doesn't have fans like Marvel, and has a much broader audience reach, only have 2.5x legs?

Just because 2.5 is standard for Avengers does not mean it is standard for other films.

[grey ghost]

1 minute ago, eVerYtHING said:

Not as big as Shrek 2's opening of 190M.

Is this a joke?

[That One Girl]

4 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Nothing about that preview locks more than 120

 

Unless this has absolutely horrible legs, sub-120M ain't happening lmao

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again might end up being more profitable than both JWFK and Grinch if it makes $400-550m WW

It'd be good to have the original characters back with Owen and Claire, I think making Jurassic World 3 the 'final' film would work before Universal decides to reboot it or do a prequel trilogy. 

Mamma Mia is gonna make serious bank everywhere. I'm thinking it has a $40M/$120M run here now. Perfect counterprogramming.

[Jonwo]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-mile-22-crazy-rich-asians-alpha/

 

Crazy Rich Asians: 13/42

Alpha: 8.4/24

Mile 22: 15/44 (+15/+16%)

No Happytime Murders

 

TCs:

 

Ant-Man: 3,900

The First Purge: 2,800

Isn't Crazy Rich Asians coming out on a Wednesday? 

 

Surprised Ant-Man isn't in over 4000 theaters. 

[eVerYtHING]

2 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again might end up being more profitable than both JWFK and Grinch if it makes $400-550m WW

It'd be good to have the original characters back with Owen and Claire, I think making Jurassic World 3 the 'final' film would work before Universal decides to reboot it or do a prequel trilogy. 

Mamma Mia will cost best part of 100M to produce, and big marketing costs as well, if it made 500M I don't think it would turn more profit than Jurassic World which will gross over $1 billions.

[ChipDerby]

1 minute ago, grey ghost said:

Okay I said 25%.

 

How much will FK drop with 140 m OW and standard 2.5 legs?

 

Why would it have 2.5 legs with a lower OW? All the Jurassic films have had a 3.1 multi or higher.

[Jonwo]

Just now, filmlover said:

Mamma Mia is gonna make serious bank everywhere. I'm thinking it has a $40M/$120M run here now. Perfect counterprogramming.

I think it'll be closer to $30/115m domestic but it's going to be huge OS. Even if it drops from the first film domestically, I think $350-450m is doable.