BOX OFFICE THEORY WORLD: FALLEN KINGDOM WEEKEND THREAD | 150 OW OFFICIAL ESTIMATE | No Spoilers, Read Rules First Post! | First Post Updated with Sale Info

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, Hatebox said:

What's the record OW drop from one mega-opener to its sequel? JW2 will surely approach it, depending on your definition of 'mega-opener'?

BVS 166=>JL 93.8 is -43.5% ... but release period was less ow friendly and more leg friendly (2.44x vs 1.99x)

with 130-135 FK is looking at 35-38% drop from JW.

[JohnnyGossamer]

13 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

I dont think WOM will be bad or even mixed. People said the same about the first JW and that had amazing audience reception.

 

People just want to have a fun time seeing people getting eaten by dinosaurs. They get that.

I think JW did a much better job at delivering something the GA would adore. Park open. Innocents getting torn to pieces. New dinos. Revels in nostalgia. Dino team up to take out the mixed breed dino in the end. Rex gets his roar towering over the park. Pterosaurs doing all kinds of damage. Even go back to the original spot with the Jeeps, etc. People loved that shit. There was an awe and wonder to the Mosasaur, riding in the giant hamster ball, etc. 

 

This one has some fun stuff but I don't see it appealing to the GA like JW. Not at all honestly. Anecdotally, folks I know that saw both and liked or even loved JW didn't like JWFK much. Generally found it boring and just didn't sweep them up in the action or adventure. I wouldn't be shocked if that's the general consensus.

Edited June 22, 2018 by JohnnyGossamer

[Mekanos]

I don't expect higher than a 2.6x multi for FK but it has a pretty good slate ahead of it. Besides Ant-Man there's pretty much no competition for blockbusters anytime soon.

[grey ghost]

Where's @Telemachos?

 

I'll pay him 5 jugs of prune juice to take my son to see JW2. 

[Fancyarcher]

Just got back from the theater. Fallen Kingdom was awesome.

[Impact]

Saw JW2 last night-better then the last 2, not as good as the first 2.

 

(When I saw the Incredibles 2 last Saturday I got tickets for Friday by mistake, luckily I didn't have to pay twice and they exchanged our tickets, I missed the trailers and most of the short, but at least I didn't miss any of the film)

[YM!]

1 minute ago, grey ghost said:

Where's @Telemachos?

 

I'll pay him 5 jugs of prune juice to take my son to see JW2. 

He left

[a2k]

If 'Park is Open' => 'See you in theaters!', then 'Park is Closed' => 'Don't bother, watch I2'

[Mekanos]

I feel like a lot of the GA are in my boat for JW: I generally liked the movie but it didn't compel me to go see a sequel, I had my fix. If OW is 130 and it gets a 2.5x multi it will have pretty much exactly a 50% dropoff from the first. At least they aren't greenlighting Blue: A Jurassic World Story.

 

JW3 might have a better hook for the GA. I could see that being a 400M grosser.

[filmlover]

7 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Where's @Telemachos?

 

I'll pay him 5 jugs of prune juice to take my son to see JW2. 

He flew away.

[JohnnyGossamer]

7 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

He left

Wait, wait... I assumed it was just a temporary hiatus. This is forever? 

[CJohn]

14 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

Where's @Telemachos?

 

I'll pay him 5 jugs of prune juice to take my son to see JW2. 

Don't bother calling Tele. My fanfic is based on real events

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Wait, wait... I assumed it was just a temporary hiatus. This is forever? 

We all know he'll be back in time for Tom Hardy's newest movie.

[YM!]

1 minute ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Wait, wait... I assumed it was just a temporary hiatus. This is forever? 

He left back in April and sadly, it's forever 

[Blaze Heatnix]

Fallen Kingdom is now at 49% on RT and its Audience Score is at 63%. That's very surprising.

 

I really liked the movie but yeah, there are many problems and flawsthat you can't ignore. 

[Jonwo]

23 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Buzz does feel pretty muted for Ant-Man. Then again, the first movie was one of the lowest-grossing MCU movies.

I think after two huge MCU films this year, a smaller hit wouldn't be a bad thing. Probably will be enough for another Ant-Man film. $75-85m OW would be fine. 

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

We all know he'll be back in time for Tom Hardy's newest movie.

 

Upgrade just came out, no?

[Jake Gittes]

Game Night has joined the elite club of films with nice™ domestic grosses. 

 

1116	Seven Pounds	Sony	$69,951,824	2008
1117	Private Benjamin	WB	$69,847,348	1980
1118	Splash	BV	$69,821,334	1984
1119	Swordfish	WB	$69,772,969	2001
1120	The Best Little Whorehouse in Texas	Uni.	$69,701,637	1982
1121	Disney's The Kid	BV	$69,691,949	2000
1122	Nine Months	Fox	$69,684,532	1995
1123	Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya Sisterhood	WB	$69,599,016	2002
1124	Hot Shots!	Fox	$69,467,617	1991
1125	The Thomas Crown Affair	MGM	$69,305,181	1999
1126	Vertical Limit	Sony	$69,243,859	2000
1127	Lost in Space	NL	$69,117,629	1998
1128	Game Night	WB (NL)	$69,001,013	2018

 

 

Gotta say it's awkward though that the film with the nicest gross of all time is

 

[grey ghost]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

He flew away.

Why do I feel like the kid at the end of Shane or Logan? 😫

[RealLyre]

43 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

For reference, this was JW's first Friday update in 2015:

 

UPDATE, Friday 12:53 PM: Jurassic World is currently estimating a $65M Friday off midday sales — that’s inclusive of last night’s $18.5M B.O.

 

We all know what the number was in the end.

Did this ever happen before?

 

How can they be off by almost $20M..