Official Oct 5 to Oct 7 Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Venom - 80M (205M WW OW); A Star is Born - 42.6M

[Eric Duncan]

25 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Nah, Jamie will still beat Tom.

Will Gerard beat Jamie tho?  

[AndyK]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Sounds low, how many markets has it opened in?

[dxmatrixdt]

Star/Born - 12.6 (+33%) 16.75 (-25%) 12.6 = 41.95/45.15/46.50

Smallfoot - 3.5 (+80%) 6.3 (-21%) 5.0 = 14.80

Night School - 3.48 (+50%) 5.22 (-24%) 3.95 = 12.65

The Nun - 0.77 (+55%) 1.19 (-29%) 0.84 = 2.80

Crazy Rich - 0.60 (+55%) 0.93 (-25%) 0.70 = 2.23

House/Clock - 1.78 (+87%) 3.32 (-20%) 2.66 = 7.76

Predator - 0.24 (+67%) 0.40 (-20%) 0.32 = 0.96

[Damianport1]

1 minute ago, dtairdryZid said:

Star/Born - 12.6 (+33%) 16.75 (-25%) 12.6 = 41.95/45.15/46.50

Smallfoot - 3.5 (+80%) 6.3 (-21%) 5.0 = 14.80

Night School - 3.48 (+50%) 5.22 (-24%) 3.95 = 12.65

The Nun - 0.77 (+55%) 1.19 (-29%) 0.84 = 2.80

Crazy Rich - 0.60 (+55%) 0.93 (-25%) 0.70 = 2.23

House/Clock - 1.78 (+87%) 3.32 (-20%) 2.66 = 7.76

Predator - 0.24 (+67%) 0.40 (-20%) 0.32 = 0.96

Isn't that too big of increase?

[John Marston]

Nostalgia for movies like Daredevil and Ghost Rider is helping Venom

[James]

10 hours ago, AndyK said:

Sounds low, how many markets has it opened in?

UK, France, Germany and Russia plus some minor markets. The rest of major EU plus LA and Asia starting from next week and on.

[dxmatrixdt]

Hellfest - 0.612 (+40%) 0.857 (-20%) 0.685 = 2.15

 

Venom - 22.75 (+10%) 25.0 (-30%) (-23%) 19.25 = 67/77

[MrGlass2]

 

80 now?!?!

 

YouTube, its power.

[dxmatrixdt]

11 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

Isn't that too big of increase?

I have Star/Born at a generous +33% even though it has sunk all my theories of overpredictions thus far.

but, Night School increased 38% last weekend.

Star/Born will increase 33% if Star/Born does 25% more on Saturday than Night School did with PTA

Star/Born should increase close to 36% if it doubles the PTA of Smallfoot's opening Saturday too

 

Edited October 6, 2018 by dtairdryZid

[Nova]

10 minutes ago, AndyK said:

Sounds low, how many markets has it opened in?

Box Office Pro says 31 markets but I am not sure which markets exactly. I know for sure UK but not sure about other big ones 

[sfran43]

 

[filmlover]

The Hate U Give is off to a very good start. Hopefully spells good news for when it goes wide in two weeks.

 

And lol its audience approval rating is 45% on RT, and almost definitely from people who haven't seen it. Never change, trolls.

Edited October 6, 2018 by filmlover

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

1	VENOM (2018) Sony / Columbia 4,250	$32,750,000 -- / $7,706 $32,750,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	A STAR IS BORN (2018) Warner Bros. 3,686	$15,800,000 -- / $4,286 $15,800,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	SMALLFOOT Warner Bros. 4,131	$3,500,000 +275.4% / $847 $31,360,945 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	NIGHT SCHOOL (2018) Universal 3,019	$3,482,000 +187.2% / $1,153 $37,958,355 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	THE HOUSE WITH A CLOCK IN ITS WALLS Universal 3,463	$1,779,000 +244.9% / $514 $49,535,560 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	A SIMPLE FAVOR Lionsgate 2,408	$1,050,000 +86.7% / $436 $46,629,356 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	THE NUN Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,264	$770,000 +125.2% / $340 $111,527,310 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	HELL FEST Lionsgate 2,297	$612,000 +137.2% / $266 $7,401,476 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	CRAZY RICH ASIANS Warner Bros. 1,466	$600,000 +112% / $409 $167,674,942 / 52	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	THE PREDATOR (2018) Fox 1,643	$240,000 +28.2% / $146 $49,325,889 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	FREE SOLO National Geographic Entertainment 41	$227,000 +839.9% / $5,537 $641,911 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	THE HATE U GIVE Fox 36	$174,868 -- / $4,857 $174,868 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	WHITE BOY RICK Studio 8 880	$170,000 +1.3% / $193 $22,918,086 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	SEARCHING Sony / Screen Gems 412	$140,000 +135.7% / $340 $25,346,660 / 43	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE OLD MAN & THE GUN Fox Searchlight 49	$104,571 +947.9% / $2,134 $295,026 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	DISNEY'S CHRISTOPHER ROBIN Buena Vista 1,638	$96,000 +273.4% / $59 $97,763,382 / 64	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FALLOUT Paramount 361	$87,000 +98.6% / $241 $219,519,429 / 71	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	INCREDIBLES 2 Buena Vista 244	$72,000 +285.3% / $295 $606,917,087 / 113	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE SISTERS BROTHERS Annapurna Pictures 54	$57,522 +210% / $1,065 $544,020 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	LITTLE WOMEN (2018) Pinnacle Peak 451	$51,000 -5% / $113 $1,049,616 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	UNBROKEN: PATH TO REDEMPTION Pure Flix 335	$48,000 -2% / $143 $5,879,063 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	ANT-MAN AND THE WASP Buena Vista 178	$38,000 +98.4% / $213 $216,274,826 / 92	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	PEPPERMINT STX Entertainment 813	$13,000 -87.9% / $16 $34,256,394 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	A.X.L. Global Road 55	$6,591 +127.8% / $120 $6,472,660 / 43	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	GOD BLESS THE BROKEN ROAD Freestyle Releasing 54	$6,511 +33.8% / $121 $2,807,156 / 29	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE RIOT ACT Hannover House 3	$4,460 (actual) +527.3% / $1,487 $67,221 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	LOVING PABLO Universal 15	$4,000 -- / $267 $4,000 / 1	N/A	N/A	N/A

[Nova]

How did Peppermint drop 87% from Thursday to Friday  It's still in over 800 theaters 

[filmlover]

The Old Man & the Gun is headed for about a $5M total.

[filmlover]

Just now, Nova said:

How did Peppermint drop 87% from Thursday to Friday  It's still in over 800 theaters 

I'm guessing a 0 is missing in there.

[a2k]

Deadline is using a number marginally higher than Sony's 32.75 estimate

Quote

Sony can breathe a giant sigh of relief as their Marvel-verse Venom is absolutely working at the domestic box office with what is now estimated to be an $80M weekend after a $32.9M Friday...

 

[Nova]

Deadline has ASIB for $15.8M now and revised the weekend down so it did go down from their previous $16.4M estimate. I am guessing they didn't use the Tuesday and Wednesday preview number from before in their Friday estimate reported late last night.  

 

 

 

 

Edited October 6, 2018 by Nova

[Nova]

7 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I'm guessing a 0 is missing in there.

I am guessing as well because no way it dropped like that. wtf