terrestrial Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Through Friday, here’s the overseas breakdown from Disney: Territories GBO China $34.3M Korea $9.3M Indonesia $6.4M Brazil $5.4M Russia $5.4M UK $5.3M Australia $4.5M France $4.3M Mexico $4.1M Thailand $3.7M Germany $3.4M Other $40.9M Total $127.0M out of article https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-estimates-captain-marvel-mcu-domestic-global-higher-further-faster/ 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Looks like we’ll fall just short of the pie in the Sky 500m, but just an incredible debut for Carol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThomasNicole Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 39 minutes ago, LexJoker said: The slight trouble is that the biggest OS market, China, will end up with less than 2x multiplier. That means to get to $700M the multiplier for the other markets should be more than 2.5x. Possible but very difficult. in Asia i agreed, but in Europe / Australia / Latin America is kinda normal to have 3x or more let me put in this way: Asia debut will probably be something like $ 160 - 175M, i think it will have a bad multiplier and finish with $ 300 - 320M; But in the rest of the world, debut will probably be like $ 140M, and multipliers tends to be better, so probably at least 2.5x for a $ 350M total. I think it could be a little better, so + 700M is a possibility. But of course could be a little lower and really finish with $ 650M, which is enough anyway to a billion worldwide. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said: in Asia i agreed, but in Europe / Australia / Latin America is kinda normal to have 3x or more let me put in this way: Asia debut will probably be something like $ 160 - 175M, i think it will have a bad multiplier and finish with $ 300 - 320M; But in the rest of the world, debut will probably be like $ 140M, and multipliers tends to be better, so probably at least 2.5x for a $ 350M total. I think it could be a little better, so + 700M is a possibility. But of course could be a little lower and really finish with $ 650M, which is enough anyway to a billion worldwide. Yeah 2.5 would be bad in lot of countries in Europe, LA and Australia. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Hard to see it below TDKR at this rate, or above I2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Hard to see it below TDKR at this rate, or above I2. But China is heading in the wrong direction. Maoyan is now predicting less than $90M OW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 (edited) 9 minutes ago, UserHN said: But China is heading in the wrong direction. Maoyan is now predicting less than $90M OW. “Less than 90” as in 89.5+ 😛 I still think it will beat that, low 90s. But anyway that was accounted for in my range, the OS-C gross overperformance more than compensates forChina coming in slightly below I hoped. Edited March 9, 2019 by Thanos Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Every time China and DOM is looming a tad lower than expected OS-China somehow picks up the slack. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 (edited) 127 OS thru Friday which means ~93 OS-China thru Friday. Wed+Thu was 44 so OS-China Friday is 93-44 = 49 Sat and Sun together could bring ~125 OS-China which gives a bit under 220 OS-China 5-day? Removing Wed-Thu and giving 3x multiplier to 175 OS-China FSS gives 570 OS-China after adding back Wed-Thu. 425 Dom + 160 China + 570 OS-China = 1155 ww looks like the high-end? Edit: I think Japan is to come. don't know about other markets. That could add 15 for 1170. Edited March 9, 2019 by a2k 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 (edited) 2 minutes ago, a2k said: 127 OS thru Friday which means ~93 OS-China thru Friday. Wed+Thu was 44 so OS-China Friday is 93-44 = 49 Sat and Sun together could bring ~125 OS-China which gives a bit under 220 OS-China 5-day? Removing Wed-Thu and giving 3x multiplier to 175 OS-China FSS gives 570 OS-China after adding back Wed-Thu. 425 Dom + 160 China + 570 OS-China = 1155 ww looks like the high-end? well i hope it can get another 45 mill in my opinion high end is 1.2 Edited March 9, 2019 by john2000 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omni Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 2 hours ago, a2k said: 127 OS thru Friday which means ~93 OS-China thru Friday. Wed+Thu was 44 so OS-China Friday is 93-44 = 49 Sat and Sun together could bring ~125 OS-China which gives a bit under 220 OS-China 5-day? Removing Wed-Thu and giving 3x multiplier to 175 OS-China FSS gives 570 OS-China after adding back Wed-Thu. 425 Dom + 160 China + 570 OS-China = 1155 ww looks like the high-end? Edit: I think Japan is to come. don't know about other markets. That could add 15 for 1170. That's a very realistic scenario. China's opening makes IM3 look too difficult to reach. Yet another blockbuster that finishes in the 500's OS-Ch-Jap. This is becoming a little boring. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 so what markets are there to open? Japan, Italy,??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raulbalarezo Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Valonqar said: so what markets are there to open? Japan, Italy,??? Only Japan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 9, 2019 Share Posted March 9, 2019 Just now, raulbalarezo said: Only Japan Ok, that makes sense. the numbers do look like it opened everywhere but maybe 1 or 2 markets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 AUS per Asgard Quote CM Huge Sat increase from Fri +70% (biggest Comic Book) bigger than increase BATB, 7th biggest Sat (behind MCU AIW,TA, AOU) others TFA, TLJ,HPDH2. Looking We lc13.5(BP 10.5m)/15m +wed Pvev . will be top 10 Sunday as well. lc = local currency Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 doesn't Oz foreshadow dom performance? Could we expect such jump today for CM? 🙏 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 I didn't expect this to outopen Black Panther in so many of the more traditional markets. Insane OS performance so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XXRDJisDoctorDoom Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 4 minutes ago, Valonqar said: doesn't Oz foreshadow dom performance? Could we expect such jump today for CM? 🙏 Definitely not in this case. Might leg out 40% over true Friday but probably 30%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 2 minutes ago, VenomXXR said: Definitely not in this case. Might leg out 40% over true Friday but probably 30%. so what would 40% and 30% be? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 10, 2019 Share Posted March 10, 2019 NZ per Asgard Quote CM WE looking lc2.2m/2.5m +wed prev ,big Sat increase , 2.2m 2nd biggest Mar behind BvS and 4th biggest MCU OWE Behind AIW,AOU,IM3, ahead TA (it did Open on wed Holiday) & CW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...